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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.07 -0.96% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.06

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $23.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KTCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Key Tronic Corporation (NASDAQ: KTCC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.07 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, KTCC ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KTCC compare to ELTK and KULR in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), KTCC carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.2%, and ROIC of -5.9%. By comparison, ELTK (Eltek Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 48.9x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $42.4M) and KULR (KULR Technology Group Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.4%, cap $75.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while RFIL leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTCC?
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Per KTCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0000719733), Key Tronic Corporation generated $386.7M in revenue (-17.4% YoY), -$47.8M in net income, and -$1.9M in free cash flow against $325.3M in total assets and $90.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.06 (-0.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KTCC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KTCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KTCC SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.74 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 6.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$2.09+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$2.14-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$2.12-2.4% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$2.07-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KTCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KTCC currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.34) and Max Pain ($2.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.64.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KTCCβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKTCC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±9.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KTCC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KTCC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KTCC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KTCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KTCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.87%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.16H $2.16L $2.07C $2.07VOL 8.1K
RES: $4.24SUP: $1.79SMA50: $2.34SMA200: $3.07
$4.59$3.90$3.21$2.52$1.83RES $4.24SUP $1.79$2.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KTCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KTCC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KTCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KTCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KTCC)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KTCC vs. ELTK, KULR, RFIL, CETX)

Industry: Electrical Products (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) ranks #674 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #602 by equity capitalization ($23.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELTK leads on earnings valuation at 48.9x trailing P/E, while RFIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.6% ROIC and 33.2% gross margin. RFIL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with KTCC at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KTCC ACTIVE
Key Tronic Corporation
E 24/100 β€” 6.2% -5.9% -0.96% $23.1M Benchmark Subject
ELTK
Eltek Ltd.
D- 35/100 48.9x 15.4% 4.2% -3.33% $42.4M /eltk-vs-ktcc β†’
KULR
KULR Technology Group Inc.
E 26/100 β€” 4.8% -31.4% +1.22% $75.9M /kulr-vs-ktcc β†’
RFIL
RF Industries Ltd.
D+ 54/100 β€” 33.2% 4.6% +0.20% $83.4M /rfil-vs-ktcc β†’
CETX
Cemtrex Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 42.2% 2.4% -4.84% $2.2M /cetx-vs-ktcc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-06-27 β€’ CIK 0000719733 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27), Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) reported GAAP revenue of $386.7M (-17.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.9M , and -36.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$47.8M, operating cash flow of $4.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.9M (-113.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KTCC closed FY2025 with $325.3M in total assets against $90.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.74, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-27 $386.7M -$47.8M $4.4M -$1.9M $325.3M $90.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-28 $467.9M -$8.3M $18.9M $14.8M $327.8M $106.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-07-01 $605.3M $5.2M -$11.3M -$11.3M β€” β€”

3. KTCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KTCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Key Tronic Corporation (NASDAQ: KTCC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.07 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, KTCC ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KTCC compare to ELTK and KULR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), KTCC carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.2%, and ROIC of -5.9%. By comparison, ELTK (Eltek Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 48.9x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $42.4M) and KULR (KULR Technology Group Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.4%, cap $75.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while RFIL leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTCC?

Per KTCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0000719733), Key Tronic Corporation generated $386.7M in revenue (-17.4% YoY), -$47.8M in net income, and -$1.9M in free cash flow against $325.3M in total assets and $90.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KTCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KTCC last traded at $2.07 (-0.96% on volume of 13,447 shares), positioning the stock -11.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.34) and -32.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.07). Across its 52-week range of $2.04 to $4.42, KTCC sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.4% ($1.88 to $2.26).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 24/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KTCC β€” Key Tronic Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.07 (-0.96% 1D, market capitalization $23.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5.9%, gross margin of 6.2%, operating margin of -3.8%, and free cash flow yield of -8.06%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.74, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Key Tronic Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Electrical Products industry (per the company profile). Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $386.7M, down from $467.9M in FY 2024. Per the recent news feed, a Letter of Intent with TP-Link Systems Inc. Relates to bringing router assembly to the United States, as reported by the news wire.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-27), Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) reported $386.7M in annual revenue (up from $467.9M in FY2024, -17.4% YoY) and -$47.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($605.3M revenue, $5.2M net income) through FY2025, KTCC scaled operating cash flow to $4.4M and free cash flow to -$1.9M, backed by $325.3M in total assets against $90.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.06% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.04 – $4.42 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector-correlation edges, and no proprietary signals recorded. The source data therefore does not map upstream suppliers or downstream customers. The one identifiable dependency is the TP-Link router-assembly arrangement referenced in the news feed; an investor would watch whether U.S. Approval proceeds on the expected timeline, since the news item conditions the assembly start on that approval. Second-order bottlenecks, including regulatory timing and the capacity to ramp assembly, are not resolved in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can KTCC sustain or expand its -3.8% operating margin and -5.9% ROIC against Electrical Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $386.7M and free cash flow of -$1.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $90.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KTCC's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KTCC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KTCC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KTCC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.07?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KTCC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KTCC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.72 (+30.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A pending TP-Link router-assembly Letter of Intent could add a U.S. manufacturing revenue stream if approval proceeds.

Here is why I am bullish on KTCC here at $2.09: A pending TP-Link router-assembly Letter of Intent could add a U.S. manufacturing revenue stream if approval proceeds.. Compare KTCC's -3.8% operating margin and -5.9% ROIC against the rest of Electrical Products. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.99 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.09 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.57 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $2.09

ROIC of -5.9%, FCF yield of -8.06%, and $90.2M of debt against $0.8M of cash leave little balance-sheet cushion.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short KTCC above $2.09. ROIC of -5.9%, FCF yield of -8.06%, and $90.2M of debt against $0.8M of cash leave little balance-sheet cushion.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (-8.06%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $4.42.

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