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Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.03 -4.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $737.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $737.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?
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Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (+146.8% YoY), -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$2.20-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$2.14+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$2.16-6% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$2.03-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LAC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.60) and Max Pain ($2.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LAC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LAC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LAC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.36%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $2.13H $2.13L $2.03C $2.03VOL 8.34M
RES: $2.10SUP: $1.91SMA50: $2.60SMA200: $3.92
$6.67$5.40$4.13$2.86$1.59RES $2.10SUP $1.91$2.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LAC Butterfly Map → + Track LAC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +146.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAC)

Materials Rank #222 of 270 ⚔️ ASM vs LAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LAC vs. ASM, GSM, SGML, DC)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) ranks #222 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #153 by equity capitalization ($737.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LAC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAC ACTIVE
Lithium Americas Corp.
E 32/100 — — -8.1% -4.69% $737.0M Benchmark Subject
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 44/100 — — — -5.86% $733.8M /asm-vs-lac →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D 45/100 — — — -3.74% $721.3M /gsm-vs-lac →
SGML
Sigma Lithium Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -8.62% $788.0M /sgml-vs-lac →
DC
Dakota Gold Corp.
E 30/100 — — -29.3% -7.31% $680.3M /dc-vs-lac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001966983 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (+146.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $438.9M , and +621.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$86.3M, operating cash flow of -$61.2M, and free cash flow of -$826.3M (-333.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAC closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.08B -$86.3M -$61.2M -$826.3M $2.58B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $438.9M -$42.6M -$13.0M -$190.7M $1.04B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $150.2M -$5.1M -$39.5M -$39.5M — —

3. LAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $737.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?

Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (+146.8% YoY), -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAC last traded at $2.03 (-4.69% on volume of 8,335,850 shares), positioning the stock -21.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.60) and -48.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.92). Across its 52-week range of $1.98 to $6.96, LAC sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($1.83 to $2.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: LAC RQD Cockpit LAC 12M Forecast LAC Earnings & Move LAC Dividends & DRIP LAC Insiders & 13F LAC Whale Options LAC Profit Sankey LAC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LAC — Lithium Americas Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.03 (-4.69% 1D, market capitalization $737.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lithium Americas Corp. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry, with a market capitalization of $0.8B. Reported revenue is — in each period shown, so the source does not establish a revenue-generating business as of the reported periods.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported $1.08B in annual revenue (up from $438.9M in FY2024, +146.8% YoY) and -$86.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($150.2M revenue, -$5.1M net income) through FY2025, LAC scaled operating cash flow to -$61.2M and free cash flow to -$826.3M, backed by $2.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.98 – $6.96 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish supplier dependencies, customer concentration, or sector-correlation pathways for LAC. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can LAC sustain or expand its — operating margin and -8.1% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.08B and free cash flow of -$826.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LAC's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.52 (+24.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported cash of $568.2M at FY 2025 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 10 of 20 provide some balance-sheet cushion.

Here is why I am bullish on LAC here at $2.03: Reported cash of $568.2M at FY 2025 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 10 of 20 provide some balance-sheet cushion.. Compare LAC's 0.0% operating margin and -8.1% ROIC against the rest of Metal Mining. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.93 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.03 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.60 (-21.2%)
Spot @ $2.03

Free cash flow was -$826.3M in FY 2025 with ROIC at -8.1% and no reported revenue, scoring 6 of 20 on the Fundamental Cash Engine pilla

Free cash flow was -$826.3M in FY 2025 with ROIC at -8.1% and no reported revenue, scoring 6 of 20 on the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar.. Look at the math on LAC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -8.1% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Metal Mining demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.79 before getting long.

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