RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Price Sinks As Q3 Results Expose Thin Profit CushionYahoo Finance report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LBRT Stock dropped -13.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.68 -13.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.31
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.75B
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Is LBRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: LBRT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $14.68 (-13.03% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, LBRT ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.
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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LBRT compare to WTTR and NESR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), LBRT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.2x, gross margin of 20.9%, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, WTTR (Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 130.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.73B) and NESR (National Energy Services Reunited Corp) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $2.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRT leads on earnings multiple (19.2x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LBRT?
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Per LBRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001694028), Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $4.01B in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $147.9M in net income, and $609.6M in free cash flow against $3.56B in total assets and $241.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.31 (-2.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LBRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LBRT SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.2% FCF Margin ($609.6M FCF) & 20.9% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$19.11-13.2% Next Q
58
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$16.58+2.2% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$16.94-13.3% Next Q
53
CurrentGrade D$14.68-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LBRT Turnaround Squeeze
While LBRT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.61) and Max Pain ($15.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.20.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LBRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LBRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LBRT Stock dropped -13.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) dropped -13.03% to $14.68, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($14.76 – $34.48). Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($14.76 – $34.48) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12% around $14.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 20.9% gross margin and $609.6M annual free cash flow.
Live LBRT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Liberty Energy: The Oil Field Upcycle Has Been ForgottenSeeking Alpha report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYST24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago
What Liberty Energy’s Dividend Raise Says About Management’s Confidence24/7 Wall St. report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Liberty Energy: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsThe Motley Fool report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTFinancialContent • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (NYSE:LBRT) beats Q3 2026 sales expectations, stock soarsFinancialContent report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After Its 18% Five Year ReturnYahoo Finance report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTGuruFocus • 1d ago
Liberty Energy Inc (LBRT) Shares Surge 4.0% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells InvestorsGuruFocus report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Conflicted on These Energy Names: Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Liberty Energy (LBRT)The Globe and Mail report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
LBRT Stock Down 8.2% YTD: Should Investors Hold or Buy the Dip?Liberty Energy's shares slip 8.2% YTD despite revenue growth and AI power deals. Can expansion overcome rising debt and profitability concerns for investors?
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Dividend Announcements: October 17-23, 2026 (Part 2 Of 2)I track dividend announcements across 1,200+ stocks. This week, 42 companies increased their dividend, including two stocks I own.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LBRT)
- ✓Walkthrough of LBRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LBRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $17.41H $17.41L $14.68C $14.68VOL 4.01M
RES: $17.60SUP: $14.24SMA50: $18.61SMA200: $24.71
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LBRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LBRT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LBRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LBRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LBRT)
Energy Rank #133 of 211
⚔️ WTTR vs LBRT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (LBRT vs. WTTR, NESR, WBI, XPRO)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) ranks #133 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #110 by equity capitalization ($2.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LBRT leads on earnings valuation at 19.2x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. XPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with LBRT at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LBRT
ACTIVE
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | 19.2x | 20.9% | 2.5% | -13.03% | $2.75B | Benchmark Subject |
| WTTR Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | 130.0x | 14.4% | 2.1% | -7.45% | $2.73B | /wttr-vs-lbrt → |
| NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp | D+ | 52/100 | 42.3x | 12.4% | 7.5% | -1.59% | $2.15B | /nesr-vs-lbrt → |
| WBI WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC Representing Limited Liability Company Interests (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | — | 27.1% | 3.1% | -8.74% | $3.81B | /wbi-vs-lbrt → |
| XPRO Expro Ltd | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -8.05% | $1.96B | /xpro-vs-lbrt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001694028 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) reported GAAP revenue of $4.01B (-7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.32B , and -15.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.9M, operating cash flow of $609.6M, and free cash flow of $609.6M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LBRT closed FY2025 with $3.56B in total assets against $241.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.84, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.01B | $147.9M | $609.6M | $609.6M | $3.56B | $241.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.32B | $316.0M | $829.4M | $829.4M | $3.30B | $190.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.75B | $556.3M | $1.01B | $1.01B | — | — |
3. LBRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LBRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: LBRT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $14.68 (-13.03% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, LBRT ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LBRT compare to WTTR and NESR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), LBRT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.2x, gross margin of 20.9%, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, WTTR (Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 130.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.73B) and NESR (National Energy Services Reunited Corp) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $2.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRT leads on earnings multiple (19.2x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LBRT?
Per LBRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001694028), Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $4.01B in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $147.9M in net income, and $609.6M in free cash flow against $3.56B in total assets and $241.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LBRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LBRT last traded at $14.68 (-13.03% on volume of 4,634,128 shares), positioning the stock -21.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.61) and -40.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.71). Across its 52-week range of $14.76 to $34.48, LBRT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($12.92 to $16.44).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
LBRT — Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.68 (-13.03% 1D, market capitalization $2.75B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.5%, gross margin of 20.9%, operating margin of 1.8%, and free cash flow yield of 21.46%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.84, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.12x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector and the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. Per the market data, its gross margin is 20.9%, operating margin 1.8%, and net margin 3.7%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) reported $4.01B in annual revenue (up from $4.32B in FY2024, -7.2% YoY) and $147.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.75B revenue, $556.3M net income) through FY2025, LBRT scaled operating cash flow to $609.6M and free cash flow to $609.6M, backed by $3.56B in total assets against $241.5M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 21.46% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.76 – $34.48 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 19.2x trailing P/E and 42.0x EV/EBITDA against 1.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Oilfield Services/Equipment (Energy), LBRT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 20.9%.
- Key Question #1: Can LBRT sustain or expand its 1.8% operating margin and 2.5% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.01B and free cash flow of $609.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $241.5M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LBRT's 17.9x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
LBRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Price Sinks As Q3 Results Expose Thin Profit Cushion Yahoo Finance report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Liberty Energy: The Oil Field Upcycle Has Been Forgotten Seeking Alpha report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST 24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago
What Liberty Energy’s Dividend Raise Says About Management’s Confidence 24/7 Wall St. report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago
Liberty Energy: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors The Motley Fool report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST FinancialContent • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (NYSE:LBRT) beats Q3 2026 sales expectations, stock soars FinancialContent report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After Its 18% Five Year Return Yahoo Finance report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago
Liberty Energy Inc (LBRT) Shares Surge 4.0% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells Investors GuruFocus report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Conflicted on These Energy Names: Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Liberty Energy (LBRT) The Globe and Mail report covering Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) (LBRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
LBRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.68?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LBRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $19.92 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate A 21.46% FCF yield and $609.6M of FY 2025 free cash flow point to strong cash generation relative to the $2.84B market cap.
Here is why I am bullish on LBRT here at $16.88: A 21.46% FCF yield and $609.6M of FY 2025 free cash flow point to strong cash generation relative to the $2.84B market cap.. Compare LBRT's 1.8% operating margin and 2.5% ROIC against the rest of Oilfield Services/Equipment. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $16.04 are getting bought.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.88 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.
RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $13.34 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $16.88 Operating income fell from $760.6M in FY 2023 to $72.7M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.5%, and institutional flow scores only 6 of 20.
Operating income fell from $760.6M in FY 2023 to $72.7M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.5%, and institutional flow scores only 6 of 20.. Look at the math on LBRT: paying 19.2x trailing P/E for 2.5% ROIC and 1.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oilfield Services/Equipment demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $14.85 before getting long.