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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LCID
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Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.00 -0.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.99

Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 16/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.19B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LCID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $3.00 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCID ranks #1006 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LCID compare to AEBI and PSNY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LCID carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E 91.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $880.0M) and PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSS leads on earnings multiple (28.5x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCID?
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Per LCID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811210), Lucid Group Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+67.6% YoY), -$2.70B in net income, and -$3.80B in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $2.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.99 (-0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510016
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-19% Base Target
$19 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LCID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LCID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (16/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LCID SCORES 16/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$3.29-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$3.21+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$3.41-12% Next Q
Current
16
Grade E$3.00-12.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (16)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LCID Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LCID currently carries a cautious 16/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.93) and Max Pain ($3.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LCID• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LCID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $2$3.00H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LCID

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and -18.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (18)

Altman-Z 0.45 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LCID
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LCID)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LCID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LCID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.16%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.20H $3.20L $3.00C $3.00VOL 14.36M
RES: $3.51SUP: $2.93SMA50: $3.93SMA200: $6.76
$15.89$12.23$8.56$4.90$1.23RES $3.51SUP $2.93$3.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LCID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LCID Butterfly Map → + Track LCID →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +67.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LCID today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LCID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LCID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LCID)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1006 of 1009 ⚔️ AEBI vs LCID Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LCID vs. AEBI, PSNY, LOT, FSS)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) ranks #1006 by composite RQD confidence (16/100, grade E) and #488 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSS leads on earnings valuation at 28.5x trailing P/E, while FSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 28.9% gross margin. FSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with LCID at 16/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LCID ACTIVE
Lucid Group Inc.
E 16/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -0.66% $1.19B Benchmark Subject
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
E 25/100 91.1x 19.9% 4.6% +3.97% $880.0M /aebi-vs-lcid →
PSNY
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS
D 45/100 — — — +6.34% $673.5M /psny-vs-lcid →
LOT
Lotus Technology Inc.
E 22/100 — 8.7% -35.0% +1.78% $252.3M /lot-vs-lcid →
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
C 63/100 28.5x 28.9% 15.5% +3.85% $6.87B /fss-vs-lcid →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811210 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+67.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $807.8M , and +127.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.70B, operating cash flow of -$2.93B, and free cash flow of -$3.80B (-30.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LCID closed FY2025 with $8.39B in total assets against $2.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B -$2.70B -$2.93B -$3.80B $8.39B $2.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $807.8M -$2.71B -$2.02B -$2.90B $9.65B $2.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $595.3M -$2.83B -$2.49B -$2.52B $714.3M $167.2M

3. LCID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LCID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $3.00 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCID ranks #1006 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LCID compare to AEBI and PSNY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LCID carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E 91.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $880.0M) and PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSS leads on earnings multiple (28.5x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCID?

Per LCID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811210), Lucid Group Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+67.6% YoY), -$2.70B in net income, and -$3.80B in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $2.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LCID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LCID last traded at $3.00 (-0.66% on volume of 12,710,603 shares), positioning the stock -23.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.93) and -55.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.76). Across its 52-week range of $2.37 to $18.10, LCID sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.62 to $3.38).

Direct Sub-Reports: LCID RQD Cockpit LCID 12M Forecast LCID Earnings & Move LCID Dividends & DRIP LCID Insiders & 13F LCID Whale Options LCID Profit Sankey LCID News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 16/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LCID — Lucid Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 16/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.00 (-0.66% 1D, market capitalization $1.19B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -18.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.12x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.45, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lucid Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under Consumer Discretionary, in the Auto Manufacturing industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) reported $1.35B in annual revenue (up from $807.8M in FY2024, +67.6% YoY) and -$2.70B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($595.3M revenue, -$2.83B net income) through FY2025, LCID scaled operating cash flow to -$2.93B and free cash flow to -$3.80B, backed by $8.39B in total assets against $2.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 16/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -18.00% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.37 – $18.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.12x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks beyond the sector and industry classification are — Per the news feed, the headlines reference demand, production cuts, and funding risk, which are the only ripple-relevant themes available in the inputs.

  • Key Question #1: Can LCID sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Auto Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.35B and free cash flow of -$3.80B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LCID's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.12x)?

LCID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LCID Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LCID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LCID 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LCID:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.62 (+19.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 23 implies the market is pricing in an earnings recovery from negative trailing EPS of -6.85.

Long LCID at $3.02 targeting $3.62. Forward P/E of 23 implies the market is pricing in an earnings recovery from negative trailing EPS of -6.85.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.37 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 16/100 quality, though with 1.12 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.02 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.81.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.51 (-16.9%)
Spot @ $3.02

ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$3.80B, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal severe cash-generation and balance-sheet stress.

I respect the product at Lucid Group Inc., but the stock at $3.02 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$3.80B, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal severe cash-generation and balance-sheet stress.. FCF yield is -18.0% and RQD sits at 16/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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