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Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$25.95 +3.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.08

Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.59B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LCLN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LCLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: LCLN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $25.95 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LCLN ranks #477 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LCLN compare to GDV and GCMG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LCLN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GDV (Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.57B) and GCMG (GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 56.4x, ROIC 82.5%, cap $2.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APAM leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while GCMG leads on capital efficiency (82.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCLN?
▼

Per LCLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001925283), Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) generated $469.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.08 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 15.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$30 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE LCLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LCLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LCLN SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 79% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$24.57-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$24.14-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$23.76+9.2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$25.95-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LCLN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LCLN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.70) or 200D SMA ($23.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.83) toward Bear Floor ($20.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LCLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LCLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LCLN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $25.95: 385.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $20.15
$7,765
$-2,235 (-22.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $25.83
$9,954
$-46 (-0.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.48
$11,746
+$1,746 (+17.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LCLN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LCLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LCLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $24.98H $25.95L $24.97C $25.95VOL 339.1K
RES: $29.13SUP: $22.33SMA50: $24.70SMA200: $23.87
$28.08$25.90$23.73$21.55$19.38RES $29.13SUP $22.33$25.952026-05-202026-07-012026-08-122026-09-232026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LCLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LCLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LCLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LCLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LCLN)

Financials Rank #477 of 1097 ⚔️ GDV vs LCLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LCLN vs. GDV, GCMG, APAM, NAN)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) ranks #477 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #389 by equity capitalization ($2.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APAM leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while GCMG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 82.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GCMG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LCLN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LCLN ACTIVE
Lincoln International Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — — — +3.93% $2.59B Benchmark Subject
GDV
Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of
D 44/100 — — — +0.88% $2.57B /gdv-vs-lcln →
GCMG
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 56.4x — 82.5% +2.53% $2.56B /gcmg-vs-lcln →
APAM
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 10.2x — 71.9% +5.06% $2.97B /apam-vs-lcln →
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
D 45/100 — — — +0.30% $3.03B /nan-vs-lcln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001925283 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) reported GAAP revenue of $469.6M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, LCLN closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $469.6M $0 — — $1.12B —

3. LCLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LCLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: LCLN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $25.95 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LCLN ranks #477 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LCLN compare to GDV and GCMG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LCLN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GDV (Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.57B) and GCMG (GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 56.4x, ROIC 82.5%, cap $2.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APAM leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while GCMG leads on capital efficiency (82.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCLN?

Per LCLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001925283), Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) generated $469.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LCLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LCLN last traded at $25.95 (+3.93% on volume of 259,168 shares), positioning the stock +5.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.70) and +8.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.87). Across its 52-week range of $20.05 to $27.55, LCLN sits at the 78.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($24.00 to $27.90).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LCLN — Lincoln International Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $25.95 (+3.93% 1D, market capitalization $2.59B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry. The issuer has a market capitalization of $2.6B. — The specific products or services sold, customer base, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) reported $469.6M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $1.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.05 – $27.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects from sector-wide moves cannot be traced through this framework for LCLN.

  • Key Question #1: Can LCLN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $469.6M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LCLN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LCLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) (LCLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LCLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 16d ago
3 Founder Led Stocks With Up To 31% ROE

High interest rates have not cooled the AI investment boom, and that wave of spending is rewarding founders who are still deeply involved in day to day decisions. When capital is expensive, investors often look for leade

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LCLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LCLN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LCLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.71 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics score 13 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and cash of $320.2M, indicating financial staying

Balance-sheet forensics score 13 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and cash of $320.2M, indicating financial staying power.. When you look under the hood at LCLN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $27.55. My 12M target is $31.71.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 57/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $24.97 and keeping dry powder in case we test $23.22.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.97 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $24.97

Fundamental cash engine scores only 10 of 20 with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0%, and insider conviction scores 9 of 20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LCLN: Fundamental cash engine scores only 10 of 20 with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0%, and insider conviction scores 9 of 20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Investment Managers triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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