Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.93 +1.55% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.93

Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $20.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LFT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: LFT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.93 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $20.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LFT ranks #960 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LFT compare to GPMT and MDRR in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LFT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, GPMT (Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.4%, cap $20.6M) and MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?
β–Ό

Per LFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001547546), Lument Finance Trust Inc. generated $510.7M in revenue (+7.7% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $10.1M in free cash flow against $1.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.93 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$17 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LFT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LFT SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($10.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$4.67-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$4.26-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$4.22-6.9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$3.93-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LFT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LFT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.51) and Max Pain ($4.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.32.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LFT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LFT.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.12%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.90H $3.93L $3.87C $3.93VOL 13.8K
RES: $7.29SUP: $3.77SMA50: $5.51SMA200: $9.75
$17.32$13.67$10.02$6.37$2.72RES $7.29SUP $3.77$3.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFT)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LFT vs. GPMT, MDRR, NYC, AHT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) ranks #960 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #1054 by equity capitalization ($20.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with LFT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LFT ACTIVE
Lument Finance Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -1.3% +1.55% $20.3M Benchmark Subject
GPMT
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” β€” -7.4% +3.04% $20.6M /gpmt-vs-lft β†’
MDRR
Medalist Diversified Inc.
C- 59/100 β€” β€” 6.4% 0.00% $19.1M /mdrr-vs-lft β†’
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 5.5% -0.08% $18.9M /nyc-vs-lft β†’
AHT
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D- 41/100 β€” β€” 85.0% -0.78% $16.6M /aht-vs-lft β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001547546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) reported GAAP revenue of $510.7M (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $474.0M , and +443.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $10.1M, and free cash flow of $10.1M (-62.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LFT closed FY2025 with $1.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $510.7M -$2.7M $10.1M $10.1M $1.22B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $474.0M $22.6M $27.1M $27.1M $1.13B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $94.0M $19.7M $24.7M $24.7M β€” β€”

3. LFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: LFT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.93 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $20.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LFT ranks #960 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LFT compare to GPMT and MDRR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LFT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, GPMT (Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.4%, cap $20.6M) and MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?

Per LFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001547546), Lument Finance Trust Inc. generated $510.7M in revenue (+7.7% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $10.1M in free cash flow against $1.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFT last traded at $3.93 (+1.55% on volume of 7,664 shares), positioning the stock -28.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.51) and -59.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.75). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $16.50, LFT sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.7% ($3.51 to $4.35).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LFT β€” Lument Finance Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:49:51Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LFT scores 36 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): ROIC is -1.3% and FCF yield is 0%. For an investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital, and the stock offers no free-cash-flow yield to support valuation.
  • Whale / 13F Flow (3/20): institutional accumulation and options positioning score very weakly. The data supplied does not include 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the low score reflects the rating's own inputs rather than a verified holder breakdown.
  • Insider Conviction (5/20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak. Insider buying signals are a common confidence indicator; their absence here is a caution.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20): beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is scored modestly. The stock is assessed as moving in line with the market, offering no defensive cushion nor a clear macro tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These point to a moderately stressed balance sheet with limited financial-health strength.

Taken together, the rating frames LFT as a stock where upside drivers are thin and balance-sheet and flow concerns dominate. Valuation tradeoffs are sharp: with market capitalization of $20.5M and a share price near its 52-week low, a prospective investor would need to weigh whether the low price reflects a durable value or continued deterioration in cash generation and shareholder support.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lument Finance Trust Inc. Is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry.

Net income moved from $19.7M (FY 2023) to $22.6M (FY 2024) and then to -$2.7M (FY 2025), a swing into loss in the most recent reported year. ROIC is -1.3%. Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, indicating a moderately stressed balance sheet. Cash declined from $69.2M (FY 2024) to $23.1M (FY 2025) .

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: The stock trades near its 52-week low at a $20.5M market cap and regained NYSE minimum share price compliance, which could support a recovery if cash generation stabilizes. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC -1.3%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $3.85 – $16.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income swung to -$2.7M in FY 2025 from $22.6M in FY 2024, cash fell to $23.1M from $69.2M, and a Q2 2026 earnings miss flags share dilution risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should watch for dilution effects tied to the earnings miss noted in the news wire, since that item explicitly flags share dilution risk.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's revenue and operating income figures, given that the financials show β€” across all periods?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the swing from $22.6M net income in FY 2024 to -$2.7M in FY 2025, and is it expected to persist?
  • Key Question #3: What is the size of the share dilution flagged in the Q2 2026 earnings item, and how does it affect per-share value?

LFT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LFT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LFT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.93?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LFT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LFT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.03 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The stock trades near its 52-week low at a $20.5M market cap and regained NYSE minimum share price compliance, which could support a re

Here is why I am bullish on LFT here at $3.87: The stock trades near its 52-week low at a $20.5M market cap and regained NYSE minimum share price compliance, which could support a recovery if cash generation stabilizes.. Compare LFT's 0.0% operating margin and -1.3% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $3.68 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” LFT's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.13 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $3.87

Net income swung to -$2.7M in FY 2025 from $22.6M in FY 2024, cash fell to $23.1M from $69.2M, and a Q2 2026 earnings miss flags share

I respect the product at Lument Finance Trust Inc., but the stock at $3.87 is a different story. Net income swung to -$2.7M in FY 2025 from $22.6M in FY 2024, cash fell to $23.1M from $69.2M, and a Q2 2026 earnings miss flags share dilution risk.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%