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Why LGHL Stock dropped -3.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.19 -3.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.17

Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $101.1K
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LGHL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LGHL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Lion Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: LGHL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $101.1K). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LGHL ranks #1056 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LGHL compare to AXG and EBON in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), LGHL carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, AXG (Solowin Holdings Class A Ordinary Share) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.9M) and EBON (Ebang International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LGHL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while COHN leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LGHL?
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Per LGHL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001806524), Lion Group Holding Ltd. generated $9.4M in revenue (+293.0% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$3.5M in free cash flow against $54.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.17 (-0.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.6% Base Target
$2292 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LGHL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LGHL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LGHL SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$2.86-7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$2.65-16.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$2.22-1.4% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$2.19-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LGHL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LGHL currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.45) and Max Pain ($2.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2,292.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LGHL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LGHL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LGHL Stock dropped -3.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) dropped -3.52% to $2.19, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2 – $2183.22). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2 – $2183.22) with RSI-14 at 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LGHL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 7d ago
9 Financials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Intraday Session

Gainers SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) shares moved upwards by 14.7% to $16.59 during Tuesday's regular session. The company's market cap stands at $18.6 billion. As per the news, the Q3 earnings report came

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 57d ago
Lion Announces Plan to Implement ADS Ratio Change

Lion Group Holding Ltd. ("Lion" or "the Company") (NASDAQ: LGHL), operator of an all-in-one trading platform that offers a wide spectrum of products and services, today announced that it plans to change the ratio of its

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LGHL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LGHL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LGHL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.50%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $2.27H $2.27L $2.19C $2.19VOL 25.2K
RES: $-10.20SUP: $1.04SMA50: $5.45SMA200: $106.1
$1,983.0$1,446.1$909.2$372.3$-164.63RES $-10.20SUP $1.04$2.192026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LGHL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +293.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LGHL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LGHL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LGHL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LGHL)

Financials Rank #1056 of 1097 ⚔️ AXG vs LGHL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LGHL vs. AXG, EBON, PLUT, COHN)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) ranks #1056 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #1097 by equity capitalization ($101.1K). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LGHL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while COHN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. COHN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with LGHL at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LGHL ACTIVE
Lion Group Holding Ltd.
E 26/100 — — -19.3% -3.52% $101.1K Benchmark Subject
AXG
Solowin Holdings Class A Ordinary Share
D- 37/100 — — — -6.19% $1.9M /axg-vs-lghl →
EBON
Ebang International Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $12.4M /ebon-vs-lghl →
PLUT
Plutus Financial Group Limited
E 20/100 — — -35.0% +5.80% $22.4M /plut-vs-lghl →
COHN
Cohen & Company Inc.
C- 59/100 — — 85.0% +0.50% $32.3M /cohn-vs-lghl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001806524 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) reported GAAP revenue of $9.4M (+293.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of -$4.9M , and -55.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.0M, operating cash flow of -$3.5M, and free cash flow of -$3.5M (+81.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LGHL closed FY2025 with $54.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.4M -$5.0M -$3.5M -$3.5M $54.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 -$4.9M -$27.4M -$19.1M -$19.1M $36.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $21.1M -$5.3M $13.4M $13.4M — —

3. LGHL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LGHL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lion Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: LGHL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $101.1K). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LGHL ranks #1056 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LGHL compare to AXG and EBON in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), LGHL carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, AXG (Solowin Holdings Class A Ordinary Share) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.9M) and EBON (Ebang International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LGHL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while COHN leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LGHL?

Per LGHL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001806524), Lion Group Holding Ltd. generated $9.4M in revenue (+293.0% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$3.5M in free cash flow against $54.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LGHL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LGHL last traded at $2.19 (-3.52% on volume of 25,174 shares), positioning the stock -59.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.45) and -97.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($106.10). Across its 52-week range of $2.00 to $2,183.22, LGHL sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.92 to $2.46).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LGHL — Lion Group Holding Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.19 (-3.52% 1D, market capitalization $101.1K).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -19.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lion Group Holding Ltd. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Financials sector and the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The source data reports a 0% gross margin and 0% operating margin, and a net margin of -52.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) reported $9.4M in annual revenue and -$5.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($21.1M revenue, -$5.3M net income) through FY2025, LGHL scaled operating cash flow to -$3.5M and free cash flow to -$3.5M, backed by $54.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.00 – $2,183.22 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links recorded. No sector correlations or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can LGHL sustain or expand its — operating margin and -19.3% ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.4M and free cash flow of -$3.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LGHL's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LGHL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lion Group Holding Ltd. (LGHL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LGHL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 57d ago
Lion Announces Plan to Implement ADS Ratio Change

Lion Group Holding Ltd. ("Lion" or "the Company") (NASDAQ: LGHL), operator of an all-in-one trading platform that offers a wide spectrum of products and services, today announced that it plans to change the ratio of its

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LGHL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LGHL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LGHL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.95 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash rose from $16.9M to $20.1M in FY 2025 while the stock posted a 19.37% price change, suggesting some liquidity support alongside re

Here is why I am bullish on LGHL here at $2.27: Cash rose from $16.9M to $20.1M in FY 2025 while the stock posted a 19.37% price change, suggesting some liquidity support alongside recent momentum.. Compare LGHL's 0.0% operating margin and -19.3% ROIC against the rest of Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.16 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 26/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.27 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.11.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.91 (-15.9%)
Spot @ $2.27

Net income was negative in all three reported periods, ROIC is -19.3%, and the RQD rating sits at 26 with a grade of E.

Careful chasing LGHL at $2.27. Net income was negative in all three reported periods, ROIC is -19.3%, and the RQD rating sits at 26 with a grade of E.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.91 on multiple compression.

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