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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LICN / earnings
GRNQ (22) ACCS (34) DFNS (32) FOFO (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.57 -24.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.54

Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $9.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LICN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LICN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lichen International Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: LICN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.57 (-24.16% 1D, market cap $9.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LICN compare to GRNQ and ACCS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), LICN carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -32.7%. By comparison, GRNQ (Greenpro Capital Corp.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.1M) and ACCS (ACCESS Newswire Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $13.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LICN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACCS leads on capital efficiency (-5.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LICN?
▼

Per LICN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001876766), Lichen International Limited (Class A) generated $809.0K in revenue, -$22.0M in net income, and -$17.8M in free cash flow against $75.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.54 (-4.54%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE LICN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LICN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LICN SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (35% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.57 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.02-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$0.87-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$0.86-33.7% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$0.57-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LICN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LICN currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.00) and Max Pain ($0.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LICN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LICN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.07 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.57$0.64 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LICN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 23/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (23/100)Model Risk Weight (77/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$809.0K-$22.0M-$17.8M98%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$6.1M-$5.6M92%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$8.3M$557.0K92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LICN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LICN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LICN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -86.65%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $0.75H $0.75L $0.57C $0.57VOL 81.8K
RES: $1.03SUP: $0.56SMA50: $1.00SMA200: $2.47
$10.11$7.53$4.94$2.35$-0.23RES $1.03SUP $0.56$0.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LICN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LICN Butterfly Map → + Track LICN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LICN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LICN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LICN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LICN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #960 of 1011 ⚔️ GRNQ vs LICN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LICN vs. GRNQ, ACCS, DFNS, FOFO)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN) ranks #960 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #930 by equity capitalization ($9.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LICN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ACCS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.1% ROIC and 76.5% gross margin. ACCS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 34/100 (E) compared with LICN at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LICN ACTIVE
Lichen International Limited (Class A)
E 23/100 — 96.0% -32.7% -24.16% $9.3M Benchmark Subject
GRNQ
Greenpro Capital Corp.
E 22/100 — 80.4% -35.0% -3.12% $12.1M /grnq-vs-licn →
ACCS
ACCESS Newswire Inc.
E 34/100 — 76.5% -5.1% -6.67% $13.4M /accs-vs-licn →
DFNS
T3 Defense Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -1.91% $13.8M /dfns-vs-licn →
FOFO
Hang Feng Technology Innovation Co. Ltd.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -7.85% $13.9M /fofo-vs-licn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001876766

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN) reported GAAP revenue of $809.0K (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.0M, operating cash flow of -$17.8M, and free cash flow of -$17.8M (-218.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LICN closed FY2025 with $75.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $809.0K -$22.0M -$17.8M -$17.8M $75.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$6.1M -$5.6M -$5.6M $79.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $8.3M $557.0K $557.0K — —

3. LICN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LICN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lichen International Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: LICN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.57 (-24.16% 1D, market cap $9.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does LICN compare to GRNQ and ACCS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), LICN carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -32.7%. By comparison, GRNQ (Greenpro Capital Corp.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.1M) and ACCS (ACCESS Newswire Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $13.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LICN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ACCS leads on capital efficiency (-5.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LICN?

Per LICN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001876766), Lichen International Limited (Class A) generated $809.0K in revenue, -$22.0M in net income, and -$17.8M in free cash flow against $75.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LICN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LICN last traded at $0.57 (-24.16% on volume of 81,832 shares), positioning the stock -43.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.00) and -76.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.47). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $9.49, LICN sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.64).

LICN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LICN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LICN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for LICN, spanning a range between $1 and $0.64.

Direct Sub-Reports: LICN RQD Cockpit LICN 12M Forecast LICN Earnings & Move LICN Dividends & DRIP LICN Insiders & 13F LICN Whale Options LICN Profit Sankey LICN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LICN — Lichen International Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LICN scores 24 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -32.7%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 1.57; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits in the low range, so the rating is broad-based rather than driven by one weak factor. For a prospective investor, the principal implication is that the cash engine is not producing returns on capital and the balance-sheet and insider signals offer little offsetting support. Upside drivers, as sourced, are limited to the Macro Regime Fit pillar's beta-driven sensitivity; valuation tradeoffs are difficult to quantify because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The rating is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Open Questions

  • What were the price, rationale, and financial impact of the Bondly Enterprises Limited disposal for HKD 1?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2023 operating income of $12.3M to FY 2025 operating loss of $-18.1M?
  • What is the composition of the $26.9M cash balance, and what is the funding runway at the FY 2025 burn rate?
  • What are the reported debt figures, since debt is listed as N/A in every period?
  • What is the company's revenue model and customer base, given revenue of $0.8M against a 96% gross margin?

LICN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lichen International Limited (Class A) (LICN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LICN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LICN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.57?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LICN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LICN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LICN (E • RQD 24/100) a Buy at $0.75?

Welcome to the LICN (Lichen International Limited (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Professional Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-17.3%)
Spot @ $0.75

Pump the brakes on LICN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LICN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Lichen International Limited (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.86 (+14.7%)
Spot @ $0.75

LICN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LICN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Professional Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.75 (52-wk range $0.57 - $9.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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