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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LITB / earnings
GROV (30) HOUR (58) LVLU (32) GIFT (28) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.1% Move

$2.72 +24.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $43.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (+24.49% 1D, market cap $43.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LITB compare to GROV and HOUR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M) and HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?
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Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83 (+4.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.8% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LITB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LITB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LITB SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (36% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($6.2M FCF) & 65% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$2.90-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$2.80+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$2.80-2.9% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$2.72-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LITB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LITB currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.94) and Max Pain ($2.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LITB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LITB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.1% Swing Band

±$0.33 Expected Swing
$2.39 (-12.1%)Spot $2.72$3.05 (+12.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LITB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.42 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$224.3M$8.3M$6.2M65%
FY 20242024-12-31$255.3M-$2.5M-$48.9M60.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$29.1M-$9.6M-$20.7M65%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LITB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LITB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LITB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.77%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.80H $2.80L $2.19C $2.72VOL 7.8K
RES: $3.01SUP: $2.16SMA50: $2.94SMA200: $2.81
$4.03$3.47$2.91$2.35$1.79RES $3.01SUP $2.16$2.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LITB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LITB Butterfly Map → + Track LITB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LITB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LITB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LITB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LITB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #618 of 1009 ⚔️ GROV vs LITB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LITB vs. GROV, HOUR, LVLU, GIFT)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) ranks #618 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #823 by equity capitalization ($43.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with LITB at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LITB ACTIVE
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve
D 47/100 6.7x 65.0% 85.0% +24.49% $43.1M Benchmark Subject
GROV
Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 53.7% -35.0% -3.67% $46.5M /grov-vs-litb →
HOUR
Hour Loop Inc.
D+ 58/100 32.6x 52.4% 27.8% -0.64% $55.3M /hour-vs-litb →
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — 43.2% -35.0% -2.87% $32.8M /lvlu-vs-litb →
GIFT
Giftify Inc.
E 28/100 — 18.6% -35.0% -27.68% $25.1M /gift-vs-litb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001523836 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) reported GAAP revenue of $224.3M (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.3M , and +670.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $6.2M, and free cash flow of $6.2M (+112.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LITB closed FY2025 with $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $224.3M $8.3M $6.2M $6.2M $72.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $255.3M -$2.5M -$48.2M -$48.9M $69.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $29.1M -$9.6M -$20.7M -$20.7M — —

3. LITB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (+24.49% 1D, market cap $43.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does LITB compare to GROV and HOUR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M) and HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?

Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LITB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LITB last traded at $2.72 (+24.49% on volume of 47,932 shares), positioning the stock -7.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.94) and -3.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.89, LITB sits at the 48.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($2.39 to $3.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: LITB RQD Cockpit LITB 12M Forecast LITB Earnings & Move LITB Dividends & DRIP LITB Insiders & 13F LITB Whale Options LITB Profit Sankey LITB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LITB — LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. Each representing twelve (LITB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.72 (+24.49% 1D, market capitalization $43.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 65.0%, operating margin of 3.6%, and free cash flow yield of 11.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. Each representing twelve (LITB) is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry..1B. — The sources do not describe the specific products sold, the customer base, or the revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. Each representing twelve (LITB) reported $224.3M in annual revenue (up from $255.3M in FY2024, -12.1% YoY) and $8.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($29.1M revenue, -$9.6M net income) through FY2025, LITB scaled operating cash flow to $6.2M and free cash flow to $6.2M, backed by $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 11.17% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.63 – $3.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 6.7x trailing P/E and 3.9x EV/EBITDA against 3.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level linkage is the liquidity signal, which states a 5.19x Net Liquidity beta for LITB. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the stock's price behavior may be unusually responsive to changes in the Fed balance sheet, Treasury General Account, and overnight reverse repo flows, which is a second-order macro ripple rather than a supply-chain one. The 5.19x beta also means that a liquidity contraction could amplify downside moves, a risk that sits alongside the weak forensic balance-sheet scores in the RQD rating.

  • Key Question #1: Can LITB sustain or expand its 3.6% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $224.3M and free cash flow of $6.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LITB's 6.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LITB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LITB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 69d ago
LightInTheBox Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

LightInTheBox (NYSE:LITB) reported second-quarter revenue of $57 million, down 4% from a year earlier, as the company continued to phase out long-tail products. Despite the revenue decline and what management described a

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LITB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LITB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LITB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.61 (+19.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

High ROIC of 85% and an 11.17% FCF yield at a 6.7 trailing P/E suggest the market is pricing the cash engine at a steep discount.

Don't sleep on LITB's setup in Consumer Discretionary. High ROIC of 85% and an 11.17% FCF yield at a 6.7 trailing P/E suggest the market is pricing the cash engine at a steep discount.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (47/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LITB's 7/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.77 (-19.2%)
Spot @ $2.19

An Altman Z of 0.2 and a revenue decline from $255.3M to $224.3M raise doubts about balance-sheet durability and earnings sustainabilit

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LITB: An Altman Z of 0.2 and a revenue decline from $255.3M to $224.3M raise doubts about balance-sheet durability and earnings sustainability.. At 6.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Catalog/Specialty Distribution triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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