Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (NASDAQ: LLYVK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $104.37 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $9.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LLYVK ranks #729 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LLYVK carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.2%, and ROIC of -5.4%. By comparison, LLYVA (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $9.12B) and DKNG (DraftKings Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $10.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MSGK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
Per LLYVK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078416), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group generated $382.0M in revenue (+12.2% YoY), -$87.0M in net income, and -$46.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $862.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 1.96 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
While LLYVK currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($99.81) and Max Pain ($109.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $115.24.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) advanced +0.94% to $104.37, trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($76.93 – $109.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LLYVK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LLYVK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) ranks #729 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #177 by equity capitalization ($9.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHDN leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while MSGK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MSGK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with LLYVK at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLYVK
ACTIVE
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group | D- | 40/100 | — | 19.2% | -5.4% | +0.94% | $9.51B | Benchmark Subject |
| LLYVA Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group | D- | 38/100 | — | 19.2% | -5.6% | +1.55% | $9.12B | /llyva-vs-llyvk → |
| DKNG DraftKings Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 41.3% | -1.1% | +0.92% | $10.29B | /dkng-vs-llyvk → |
| MSGK MSG Knickerbockers Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.88% | $7.48B | /msgk-vs-llyvk → |
| CHDN Churchill Downs Incorporated | D+ | 55/100 | 16.3x | — | 9.2% | +4.03% | $6.25B | /chdn-vs-llyvk → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) reported GAAP revenue of $382.0M (+12.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $340.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$87.0M, operating cash flow of -$29.5M, and free cash flow of -$46.6M (-15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LLYVK closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $862.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $382.0M | -$87.0M | -$29.5M | -$46.6M | $1.89B | $862.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $340.5M | -$112.8M | -$25.2M | -$40.6M | $1.59B | $1.56B |
As of 2026-11-02, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (NASDAQ: LLYVK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $104.37 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $9.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LLYVK ranks #729 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LLYVK carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.2%, and ROIC of -5.4%. By comparison, LLYVA (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $9.12B) and DKNG (DraftKings Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $10.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MSGK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
Per LLYVK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078416), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group generated $382.0M in revenue (+12.2% YoY), -$87.0M in net income, and -$46.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $862.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
LLYVK last traded at $104.37 (+0.94% on volume of 184,054 shares), positioning the stock +4.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($99.81) and +6.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($97.78). Across its 52-week range of $76.93 to $109.75, LLYVK sits at the 83.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($99.67 to $109.07).
Why LLYVK Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, LLYVK scores 40 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow."
Taken together, the rating frames LLYVK as a stock where weak profitability and cash flow dominate the risk profile. Upside would depend on operational turnaround evidence, while the valuation tradeoff is that forward P/E of 19 is being paid against negative trailing EPS.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $382.0M | $-51.7M | $-87.0M | N/A | $-46.6M | $545.5M | $862.2M |
| FY 2024 | $340.5M | $-116.3M | $-112.8M | N/A | $-40.6M | $402.6M | $1556.4M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $340.5M in FY 2024 to $382.0M in FY 2025, but both years reported operating and net losses. Per the market data, the gross margin is 19.2%, the operating margin is -13.5%, and the net margin is -22.8%, with ROIC at -5.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.96 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt fell from $1556.4M to $862.2M while cash rose from $402.6M to $545.5M, indicating deleveraging over the reported period.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. No upstream or downstream dependencies or sector correlations are identified in the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
MEXICO CITY, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fundación Reintegra has been named the Mexican winner of the F1® Allwyn Global Community Award at the FORMULA 1 GRAN PREMIO DE LA CIUDAD DE MÉXICO 2026. The organisation, wh
Pacsun went full throttle in Austin, closing out its fourth FORMULA 1 UNITED STATES GRAND PRIX with its biggest race weekend yet. Trackside sales surged 19% compared to 2025, bringing total sales growth to more than 177%
Liberty Live Holdings has seen its share price move meaningfully in recent years, which naturally puts a spotlight on what investors are paying for its sales today. With that backdrop, the key issue is whether the curren
AUSTIN, Texas, Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Del Valle ISD Education Foundation has been named the winner of the F1® Allwyn Global Community Award at the 2026 FORMULA 1® MSC CRUISES UNITED STATES GRAND PRIX in Au
Formula 1® has announced the return of the F1 Business Summit to take place on Thursday, November 19, during the FORMULA 1 HEINEKEN LAS VEGAS GRAND PRIX 2026 weekend, with registration packages now on sale.
SILVERSTONE, United Kingdom, July 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Starlight Children’s Foundation has been named the British winner of the F1® Allwyn Global Community Award at the FORMULA 1® PIRELLI BRITISH GRAND PRIX 2026.
SPIELBERG, Austria, June 25, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sindbad Mentoring has today been crowned the winner of the F1® Allwyn Global Community Award at the FORMULA 1® LENOVO AUSTRIAN GRAND PRIX 2026. The non-profit organis
Formula 1® has announced updated programming details, additional experiences for VIP package holders and new high-profile panelists for the return of the F1 Business Summit, set for Thursday, November 19, during the FORM
Welcome to the LLYVK (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LLYVK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 19.2% gross margins. Unless Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LLYVK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $103.40 (52-wk range $76.93 - $109.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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