Why LNC Stock slipped -0.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$41.01 -0.87% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.87

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.92B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE: LNC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $41.01 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $7.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LNC ranks #903 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LNC compare to PRI and VOYA in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), LNC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, PRI (Primerica Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $8.73B) and VOYA (Voya Financial Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while VOYA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LNC?
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Per LNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059558), Lincoln National Corporation generated $18.21B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$986.5M in free cash flow against $417.20B in total assets and $182.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.87 (-0.35%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$50 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE LNC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LNC SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$40.63-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$39.55+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$40.38+1.6% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$41.01-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LNC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LNC currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.68) and Max Pain ($43.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $50.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LNC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LNC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LNC Stock slipped -0.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) slipped -0.87% to $41.01, trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($32.18 – $47.67). Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($32.18 – $47.67) with RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $41.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LNC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LNC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LNC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $40.66H $41.37L $40.66C $41.01VOL 1.92M
RES: $41.42SUP: $36.46SMA50: $41.68SMA200: $38.99
$48.68$44.49$40.30$36.11$31.92RES $41.42SUP $36.46$41.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LNC)

Financials Rank #903 of 1096 ⚔️ PRI vs LNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LNC vs. PRI, VOYA, JXN, GL)

Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) ranks #903 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #219 by equity capitalization ($7.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while VOYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VOYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LNC at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LNC ACTIVE
Lincoln National Corporation
D- 42/100 6.7x — 0.9% -0.87% $7.92B Benchmark Subject
PRI
Primerica Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.4x — 5.2% -0.87% $8.73B /pri-vs-lnc →
VOYA
Voya Financial Inc.
B+ 78/100 13.6x — 85.0% -0.35% $8.91B /voya-vs-lnc →
JXN
Jackson Financial Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — 0.0% -0.76% $9.21B /jxn-vs-lnc →
GL
Globe Life Inc.
B- 71/100 10.6x — 24.3% -0.85% $12.33B /gl-vs-lnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000059558

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) reported GAAP revenue of $18.21B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.44B , and +56.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.18B, operating cash flow of -$167.0M, and free cash flow of -$986.5M (+65.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, LNC closed FY2025 with $417.20B in total assets against $182.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.21B $1.18B -$167.0M -$986.5M $417.20B $182.83B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.44B $3.27B -$2.01B -$2.84B $390.83B $172.15B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.64B -$752.0M -$2.07B -$2.60B $13.97B $3.27B

3. LNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE: LNC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $41.01 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $7.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LNC ranks #903 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LNC compare to PRI and VOYA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), LNC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, PRI (Primerica Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $8.73B) and VOYA (Voya Financial Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while VOYA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LNC?

Per LNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059558), Lincoln National Corporation generated $18.21B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$986.5M in free cash flow against $417.20B in total assets and $182.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LNC last traded at $41.01 (-0.87% on volume of 1,859,996 shares), positioning the stock -1.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.68) and +5.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.99). Across its 52-week range of $32.18 to $47.67, LNC sits at the 57.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($39.00 to $43.02).

LNC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is LNC stock moving today?

Why LNC Stock slipped -0.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LNC — Lincoln National Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 42 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 0.9% and FCF yield of -12.46% (per the Roarable RQD rating and market data). For an investor, this indicates weak capital efficiency and negative free cash flow yield, which limits the company's ability to fund returns from operations.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning (per the Roarable RQD rating). The holder section is empty in the source data, so the underlying flow detail cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow (per the Roarable RQD rating). This is the lowest pillar and signals limited insider-side confidence in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Based on a beta of 0.93 and sector sensitivity (per the Roarable RQD rating and market data). A beta below 1 suggests moderate market sensitivity, but the pillar score reflects weak fit with the current regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Based on Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 (per the Roarable RQD rating). These sit in a middle-to-weak zone, indicating balance sheet vulnerability rather than acute distress.

Upside drivers in the data are limited to a low trailing and forward P/E (6.7 and 6.2) and a 4.1% dividend yield (per market data). Valuation tradeoffs are significant: EV/EBITDA of 60.3 is elevated relative to the low earnings multiple, and negative FCF yield conflicts with the dividend yield. A prospective investor should weigh whether the low P/E reflects durable earnings or the weak cash and capital efficiency metrics above. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$41.37$7.92B6.76.260.36.154.1%0.93$32.18 - $47.670.9%

Open Questions

  • What is the cash and cash equivalents balance, given that the cash field is N/A for every period?
  • What drove the increase in reported debt from $3269.9M in FY 2023 to $182834.1M in FY 2025, and what are the debt terms?
  • What are the terms, size, and confirmation status of the reported Talcott reinsurance deal?
  • What explains the divergence between the 6.7 P/E and the 60.3 EV/EBITDA, and how reliable is the EPS basis given the N/A EPS reporting?
  • What institutional and insider positioning exists, since the holders and analyst sections are both empty?

LNC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LNC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LNC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.01?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LNC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LNC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.41 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LNC (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $41.37?

Welcome to the LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Life Insurance. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.68 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $41.37

Pump the brakes on LNC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LNC, but look at what you are paying: 6.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lincoln National Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.16 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $41.37

LNC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LNC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Life Insurance and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $41.37 (52-wk range $32.18 - $47.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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