Yahoo Finance report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LOCO Stock slipped -0.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LOCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LOCO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $15.30 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $465.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOCO ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LOCO compare to DIN and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), LOCO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOCO?
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Per LOCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001606366), El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $26.5M in net income, and $25.4M in free cash flow against $606.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LOCO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, LOCO faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.97) or 200D SMA ($14.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.78) toward Bear Floor ($12.31).
Why LOCO Stock slipped -0.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) slipped -0.45% to $15.30, trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($9.84 – $17.4). Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($9.84 – $17.4) with RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $15.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $25.4M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
New York Post report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Australia report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yum! Brands heads into Q3 earnings with KFC expansion and international growth in focus, while Taco Bell U.S. faces sales and margin pressures.
El Pollo Loco (LOCO) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LOCO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
LOCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOCO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOCO)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LOCO vs. DIN, KRUS, BRCB, PTLO)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #591 by equity capitalization ($465.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with LOCO at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCO
ACTIVE
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. | C | 65/100 | 17.7x | — | 11.7% | -0.45% | $465.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| DIN Dine Brands Global Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 26.0x | 40.9% | — | +1.00% | $449.5M | /din-vs-loco → |
| KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A) | E | 18/100 | — | — | -1.9% | +0.09% | $424.8M | /krus-vs-loco → |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 1.6% | -1.79% | $520.8M | /brcb-vs-loco → |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 17.9x | — | 4.9% | -1.81% | $369.8M | /ptlo-vs-loco → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001606366In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $26.5M, operating cash flow of $48.1M, and free cash flow of $25.4M (-8.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOCO closed FY2025 with $606.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $26.5M | $48.1M | $25.4M | $606.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-25 | $0 | $25.7M | $46.8M | $27.7M | $592.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-27 | $0 | $25.6M | $40.7M | $40.7M | — | — |
3. LOCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LOCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LOCO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $15.30 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $465.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOCO ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LOCO compare to DIN and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), LOCO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOCO?
Per LOCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001606366), El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $26.5M in net income, and $25.4M in free cash flow against $606.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LOCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LOCO last traded at $15.30 (-0.45% on volume of 178,896 shares), positioning the stock +2.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.97) and +8.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.13). Across its 52-week range of $9.84 to $17.40, LOCO sits at the 72.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($14.32 to $16.28).
LOCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LOCO stock moving today?
Why LOCO Stock slipped -0.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
LOCO — El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, LOCO scores 66 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20 (ROIC 11.7%; FCF yield 5.44%); Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 14/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the profile reads as balanced rather than decisive. The cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars sit in the mid-range, indicating that the company's reported cash flow and leverage are neither a clear strength nor a clear weakness on this framework. The whale-flow pillar is the weakest at 12/20, meaning institutional positioning signals are comparatively muted. Insider conviction (14/20) and macro fit (14/20) are the strongest pillars, though neither is high in absolute terms. The verdict label's "Watch for Breakout" language suggests the rating model sees potential for a directional move, but the score itself does not signal conviction in either direction. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 17.7 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.5, while the 5.44% FCF yield offers a cash-based lens on the same price.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $42.0M | $26.5M | N/A | $25.4M | $6.2M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $41.2M | $25.7M | N/A | $27.7M | $2.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $39.8M | $25.6M | N/A | $40.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income rose modestly across the three reported periods, while free cash flow declined from $40.7M (FY 2023) to $25.4M (FY 2025). Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period, and gross, operating, and net margin figures are listed as 0% in the market data, so margin analysis cannot be performed from the source. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 11.7%, and the forensic balance-sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash on the balance sheet is reported as $6.2M for FY 2025 and $2.5M for FY 2024. Debt is listed as N/A in all periods.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items reference LOCO: a Yahoo Finance report titled around a 53% one-year stock gain and whether further upside is ahead (flagged GREEN, CATALYST); a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote and history page; a Seeking Alpha piece on New York state exposure; a Globe and Mail item on simultaneous share declines for El Pollo Loco and Papa John's; a TradingView estimates page; and a New York Post report on a California-based chicken chain opening in NYC with 15 new stores in the works. Headlines are the only content available; article bodies are not provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period; what is the actual top-line figure underlying the operating and net income values?
- Debt is listed as N/A across all periods even though Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5; what is the reported debt balance?
- What specific Form 4, 13F, and Congressional transactions drive the insider and whale pillar scores?
- Why does free cash flow decline across the three reported periods while operating income rises?
- What do the cited news headlines say about the company's underlying operations, beyond their titles?
LOCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
New York Post report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Australia report covering El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
LOCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.30?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LOCO (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $15.37?
Welcome to the LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on LOCO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LOCO, but look at what you are paying: 17.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
LOCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LOCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.37 (52-wk range $9.69 - $17.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.