Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.39 -8.18% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.38

Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $274.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: LOT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $0.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $274.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOT ranks #974 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LOT compare to AIIO and NIU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LOT carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIIO (Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $161.2M) and NIU (Niu Technologies) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LOT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOT?
β–Ό

Per LOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001962746), Lotus Technology Inc. generated $519.1M in revenue (-43.8% YoY), -$464.2M in net income, and -$333.9M in free cash flow against $1.95B in total assets and $128.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.38 (-1.66%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (7)SEC (3)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.4% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LOT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LOT SCORES 22/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$0.64-18.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$0.52-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$0.51-23.5% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$0.39-11.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (30) β†’ E (22)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LOT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LOT currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.84) and Max Pain ($0.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.75.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLOT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How LOT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$519.1MGross Profit $45.2M (8.7%)Cost of Sales $473.9MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $45.2MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $679.0M
FY24
Rev $924.3M
FY25
Rev $519.1M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$519.1M8.7%-80%-$464.2M-$333.9M-45%
FY 2024$924.3M3.2%-80%-$1.10B-$848.5M-45%
FY 2023$679.0M8.7%-80%-$742.0M-$386.9M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LOT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LOT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LOT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.29%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.46H $0.46L $0.39C $0.39VOL 248.2K
RES: $1.33SUP: $0.21SMA50: $0.84SMA200: $1.09
$1.65$1.31$0.96$0.62$0.27RES $1.33SUP $0.21$0.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LOT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -43.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #974 of 1011 βš”οΈ AIIO vs LOT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LOT vs. AIIO, NIU, PSNY, EMPD)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) ranks #974 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #659 by equity capitalization ($274.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 8.7% gross margin. PSNY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LOT at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LOT ACTIVE
Lotus Technology Inc.
E 22/100 β€” 8.7% -35.0% -8.18% $274.8M Benchmark Subject
AIIO
Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)
E 24/100 β€” 62.5% -35.0% -11.24% $161.2M /aiio-vs-lot β†’
NIU
Niu Technologies
D- 38/100 β€” 19.6% -35.0% -4.25% $147.5M /niu-vs-lot β†’
PSNY
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.49% $663.7M /psny-vs-lot β†’
EMPD
Empery Digital Inc.
E 21/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -6.27% $85.2M /empd-vs-lot β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001962746

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) reported GAAP revenue of $519.1M (-43.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $924.3M , and -23.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$464.2M, operating cash flow of -$333.9M, and free cash flow of -$333.9M (+60.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOT closed FY2025 with $1.95B in total assets against $128.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $519.1M -$464.2M -$333.9M -$333.9M $1.95B $128.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $924.3M -$1.10B -$848.5M -$848.5M $2.29B $103.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $679.0M -$742.0M -$386.9M -$386.9M β€” β€”

3. LOT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: LOT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $0.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $274.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOT ranks #974 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LOT compare to AIIO and NIU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LOT carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIIO (Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $161.2M) and NIU (Niu Technologies) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LOT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOT?

Per LOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001962746), Lotus Technology Inc. generated $519.1M in revenue (-43.8% YoY), -$464.2M in net income, and -$333.9M in free cash flow against $1.95B in total assets and $128.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LOT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LOT last traded at $0.39 (-8.18% on volume of 272,460 shares), positioning the stock -53.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.84) and -64.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.09). Across its 52-week range of $0.38 to $1.67, LOT sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.44).

LOT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), LOT converted $519.1M of revenue into a 8.7% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 22/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LOT β€” Lotus Technology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LOT scores 22 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 2 / 20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the lowest-scoring pillars cluster in cash generation, insider conviction, and balance-sheet forensics, which together describe a company whose reported economics have not yet produced positive free cash flow and whose financial-health indicators sit in the weakest range. The highest-scoring pillar, institutional flow, is the most constructive element, though it is still only 7 of 20. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in operating economics that the source data does not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because forward earnings measures are not available in source data. Macro sensitivity is moderate, with Beta at 1.0 per the market data.

Business

Lotus Technology Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Auto Manufacturing industry, per the profile section. Per the market data section, gross margin is 8.7%, indicating thin gross profitability on reported revenue. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$519.1M$-423.2M$-464.2MN/A$-333.9M$73.4M$128.9M
FY 2024$924.3M$-786.3M$-1104.9MN/A$-848.5M$103.1M$103.0M
FY 2023$679.0M$-735.9M$-742.0MN/A$-386.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating losses persisted across all three reported periods, and net margin and operating margin are both -60% per the market data. Revenue declined from $924.3M in FY 2024 to $519.1M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating; cash on the FY 2025 balance sheet was $73.4M against debt of $128.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items are listed, all tagged to LOT. Three are marked YELLOW and classified as MARKET WIRE items covering general market action and institutional positioning: a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo Finance seasonal returns chart, and a MarketBeat short-interest update dated October 2026. One Investing.com item, tagged GREEN and CATALYST, reports that a turnaround is gaining pace at an LD Micro event. One Benzinga item references a premarket move in a different company, J-Star Holding, and is not specific to LOT's fundamentals. One item reports the stock slipping 0.81% to $0.59 as shares test the lower end of the range, with a PCR spike noted. The source data does not provide details on the substance of the turnaround claim. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for LOT. Investors should note that this absence is a data gap, not evidence of independence from the auto manufacturing supply chain.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported drivers behind the revenue decline from $924.3M in FY 2024 to $519.1M in FY 2025?
  • What is the company's path to positive free cash flow, given reported FCF of $-333.9M in FY 2025?
  • What is the basis for the LD Micro "turnaround" claim, and what measurable milestones does it reference?
  • How is the company funding operating losses, and what is the timing and terms of its debt obligations relative to $73.4M in cash?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, since the holders section contains no data?

LOT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LOT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LOT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.39?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LOT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LOT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.38 (-11.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LOT (E β€’ RQD 22/100) a Buy at $0.43?

Welcome to the LOT (Lotus Technology Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.34 (-20.9%)
Spot @ $0.43

Pump the brakes on LOT β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LOT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 8.7% gross margins. Unless Lotus Technology Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (+25.6%)
Spot @ $0.43

LOT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LOT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.43 (52-wk range $0.38 - $1.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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