Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.7% Move

$209.07 +0.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $209.00

Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $116.30B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LOW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: LOW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $209.07 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $116.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOW ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LOW compare to SHW and FAST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), LOW carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.5x, gross margin of 33.5%, and ROIC of 50.1%. By comparison, SHW (Sherwin-Williams Company) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.0x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $79.75B) and FAST (Fastenal Company) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 47.9x, ROIC 27.1%, cap $60.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSCO leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while LOW leads on capital efficiency (50.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOW?
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Per LOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30, CIK 0000060667), Lowe's Companies Inc. generated $86.29B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $6.65B in net income, and $7.65B in free cash flow against $54.14B in total assets and $28.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $208.99 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$308 Bull$217 Base$169 Bear
📬 FREE LOW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LOW SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($7.65B FCF) & 33.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.5) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$188.74+5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$198.53-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$198.18+5.5% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$209.07+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LOW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, LOW faces multiple-compression risk if 17.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 31.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($195.81) or 200D SMA ($225.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($216.60) toward Bear Floor ($168.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~87 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.7% Swing Band

±$11.92 Expected Swing
$197.15 (-5.7%)Spot $209.07$220.99 (+5.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LOW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $11.86 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.1%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-30$86.29B$6.65B$7.65B33.5%
FY 20242025-01-31$83.67B$6.96B$7.70B33.3%
FY 20232024-02-02$86.38B$7.73B$4.25B33.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LOW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LOW
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.55%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $198.4H $209.1L $198.4C $209.1VOL 3.79M
RES: $211.2SUP: $169.8SMA50: $195.8SMA200: $225.3
$254.5$233.9$213.3$192.7$172.1RES $211.2SUP $169.8$209.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #211 of 1011 ⚔️ SHW vs LOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LOW vs. SHW, FAST, HD, TSCO)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #16 by equity capitalization ($116.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSCO leads on earnings valuation at 16.0x trailing P/E, while LOW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.1% ROIC and 33.5% gross margin. FAST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with LOW at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LOW ACTIVE
Lowe's Companies Inc.
C+ 66/100 17.5x 33.5% 50.1% +0.86% $116.30B Benchmark Subject
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
D+ 56/100 31.0x 48.8% 18.1% +0.76% $79.75B /shw-vs-low →
FAST
Fastenal Company
B+ 80/100 47.9x 45.0% 27.1% -1.22% $60.29B /fast-vs-low →
HD
Home Depot Inc.
C- 61/100 23.2x 33.3% 32.9% +0.07% $328.22B /hd-vs-low →
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
C+ 68/100 16.0x 36.4% 27.9% +0.86% $17.53B /tsco-vs-low →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-30 • CIK 0000060667

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30), Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) reported GAAP revenue of $86.29B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.67B , and -0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $6.65B, operating cash flow of $9.86B, and free cash flow of $7.65B (-0.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOW closed FY2025 with $54.14B in total assets against $28.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-30 $86.29B $6.65B $9.86B $7.65B $54.14B $28.83B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $83.67B $6.96B $9.63B $7.70B $43.10B $25.80B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-02 $86.38B $7.73B $8.14B $4.25B $103.65B $24.25B

3. LOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: LOW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $209.07 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $116.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOW ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LOW compare to SHW and FAST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), LOW carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.5x, gross margin of 33.5%, and ROIC of 50.1%. By comparison, SHW (Sherwin-Williams Company) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.0x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $79.75B) and FAST (Fastenal Company) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 47.9x, ROIC 27.1%, cap $60.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSCO leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while LOW leads on capital efficiency (50.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOW?

Per LOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30, CIK 0000060667), Lowe's Companies Inc. generated $86.29B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $6.65B in net income, and $7.65B in free cash flow against $54.14B in total assets and $28.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LOW last traded at $209.07 (+0.86% on volume of 4,250,108 shares), positioning the stock +6.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($195.81) and -7.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($225.25). Across its 52-week range of $178.45 to $293.06, LOW sits at the 26.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($197.15 to $220.99).

LOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LOW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 29, 2027.

How much is LOW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.7% event move for LOW, spanning a range between $197.15 and $220.99.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LOW — Lowe's Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LOW scores 66 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 50.1% and an FCF yield of 6.58%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business generates substantial returns on invested capital and free cash relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are moderately supportive but not dominant.
  • Insider Conviction (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores well, indicating relatively favorable insider signaling in the rating's data set.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, reflecting a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this implies the stock may be more exposed to broad market and housing-related macro swings than to company-specific factors.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.05, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85. These point to a balance sheet that is reasonably sound but not pristine.

Taken together, the rating frames LOW as a company with strong cash-generation economics, offset by macro sensitivity. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: per the market data section, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 17.5 and a forward P/E of 16.3, and sits at a price of 207.28 within a 52-week range of $178.45 – $293.06. Upside drivers implied by the rating are the cash engine and insider signals; the principal downside lever is macro/housing sensitivity. The Hold verdict, with a "watch for breakout" framing, is an analytical characterization of the rating, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
207.28$116.3B17.516.311.811.862.27%1.08$178.45 - $293.0650.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$86286.0M$10153.0M$6654.0MN/A$7651.0M$982.0M$28827.5M
FY 2024$83674.0M$10466.0M$6957.0MN/A$7698.0M$1761.0M$25799.8M
FY 2023$86377.0M$11557.0M$7726.0MN/A$4253.0MN/A$24254.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $86377.0M (FY 2023) to $83674.0M (FY 2024) and $86286.0M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $7726.0M to $6654.0M across the same span. Per the market data section, ROIC is 50.1%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.05, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.85. Per the SEC financials, debt rose from $24254.7M (FY 2023) to $28827.5M (FY 2025) while cash fell from $1761.0M (FY 2024) to $982.0M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all related to LOW:

  • A Yahoo Finance report on trending-stock status (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A Trefis report titled "Is Lowe's Stock A Real Bargain?" (CATALYST, GREEN), the only item tagged GREEN.
  • A TradingKey report on an October 8 price move (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada quote/history page (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A Motley Fool report comparing LOW and Home Depot against a 30-year mortgage rate of 7.3% (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Its headline indicates LOW is down 30%, a figure attributed to that headline rather than independently verified here.
  • A Benzinga long-horizon return article (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).

Risk watch items implied by the headlines relate to housing-rate sensitivity. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific upstream suppliers and downstream customer channels for LOW, given the butterfly supply-chain graph reports NONE?
  • Why did net income decline from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while revenue remained broadly stable, and what drove the change?
  • What explains the rise in debt from FY 2023 to FY 2025 alongside the drop in reported cash?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given the analyst data section is NONE?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings exist, given the holders section is NONE?

LOW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LOW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LOW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $209.07?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LOW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LOW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $223.86 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LOW (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $207.28?

Welcome to the LOW (Lowe's Companies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in RETAIL: Building Materials. Bulls point to capital efficiency (50.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $169.97 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $207.28

Pump the brakes on LOW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LOW, but look at what you are paying: 17.5x trailing P/E with 33.5% gross margins. Unless Lowe's Companies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $240.44 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $207.28

LOW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LOW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in RETAIL: Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $207.28 (52-wk range $178.45 - $293.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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