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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LQDT / earnings
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Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$44.62 -1.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.61

Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (43.8% gross margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.40B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LQDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Liquidity Services Inc. (NASDAQ: LQDT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $44.62 (-1.48% 1D, market cap $1.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LQDT ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LQDT compare to NUTX and RDWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LQDT carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.5x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.37B) and RDWR (Radware Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 76.5x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $1.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LQDT?
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Per LQDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001235468), Liquidity Services Inc. generated $476.7M in revenue (+31.2% YoY), $28.1M in net income, and $59.0M in free cash flow against $369.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.61 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 12.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (15)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
$56 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE LQDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LQDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LQDT SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.56 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$43.96-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$43.40+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$44.80-0.4% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$44.62+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LQDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, LQDT faces multiple-compression risk if 50.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.98) or 200D SMA ($37.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.63) toward Bear Floor ($36.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LQDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LQDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$2.32 Expected Swing
$42.30 (-5.2%)Spot $44.62$46.94 (+5.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LQDT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $0.90 • YoY Revenue Growth: 31.2%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$476.7M$28.1M$59.0M43.8%
FY 20242024-09-30$363.3M$20.0M$61.3M51%
FY 20232023-09-30$314.5M$21.0M$47.0M43.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LQDT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LQDT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LQDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.57%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $45.29H $45.29L $44.62C $44.62VOL 186.1K
RES: $46.10SUP: $42.71SMA50: $42.98SMA200: $37.10
$47.12$42.14$37.15$32.16$27.17RES $46.10SUP $42.71$44.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LQDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LQDT Butterfly Map → + Track LQDT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
36.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LQDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LQDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LQDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LQDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #95 of 1009 ⚔️ NUTX vs LQDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LQDT vs. NUTX, RDWR, RSKD, AHG)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) ranks #95 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #464 by equity capitalization ($1.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with LQDT at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LQDT ACTIVE
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 73/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% -1.48% $1.40B Benchmark Subject
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
A- 84/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -4.74% $1.37B /nutx-vs-lqdt →
RDWR
Radware Ltd.
D+ 58/100 76.5x 80.7% 3.7% -5.62% $1.46B /rdwr-vs-lqdt →
RSKD
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — 51.7% -20.3% -4.67% $1.17B /rskd-vs-lqdt →
AHG
Akso Health Group ADS
E 32/100 — -0.1% — -5.26% $1.08B /ahg-vs-lqdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001235468 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) reported GAAP revenue of $476.7M (+31.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $363.3M , and +51.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.1M, operating cash flow of $66.8M, and free cash flow of $59.0M (-3.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LQDT closed FY2025 with $369.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.56, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $476.7M $28.1M $66.8M $59.0M $369.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $363.3M $20.0M $70.2M $61.3M $333.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $314.5M $21.0M $47.0M $47.0M — —

3. LQDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LQDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Liquidity Services Inc. (NASDAQ: LQDT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $44.62 (-1.48% 1D, market cap $1.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LQDT ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LQDT compare to NUTX and RDWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LQDT carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.5x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.37B) and RDWR (Radware Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 76.5x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $1.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LQDT?

Per LQDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001235468), Liquidity Services Inc. generated $476.7M in revenue (+31.2% YoY), $28.1M in net income, and $59.0M in free cash flow against $369.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LQDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LQDT last traded at $44.62 (-1.48% on volume of 186,050 shares), positioning the stock +3.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.98) and +20.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($37.10). Across its 52-week range of $21.67 to $45.92, LQDT sits at the 94.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($42.30 to $46.94).

Direct Sub-Reports: LQDT RQD Cockpit LQDT 12M Forecast LQDT Earnings & Move LQDT Dividends & DRIP LQDT Insiders & 13F LQDT Whale Options LQDT Profit Sankey LQDT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LQDT — Liquidity Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 73/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $44.62 (-1.48% 1D, market capitalization $1.40B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.9%, gross margin of 43.8%, operating margin of 7.4%, and free cash flow yield of 4.15%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.56, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Liquidity Services Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Business Services industry. — for detailed product or customer descriptions. The company's market capitalization is $1.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) reported $476.7M in annual revenue (up from $363.3M in FY2024, +31.2% YoY) and $28.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($314.5M revenue, $21.0M net income) through FY2025, LQDT scaled operating cash flow to $66.8M and free cash flow to $59.0M, backed by $369.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 73/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.67 – $45.92 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 50.5x trailing P/E and 34.0x EV/EBITDA against 7.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Business Services, per the graph.

  • Key Question #1: Can LQDT sustain or expand its 7.4% operating margin and 12.9% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $476.7M and free cash flow of $59.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LQDT's 42.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LQDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LQDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LQDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LQDT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LQDT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.56 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The RQD rating's strongest pillars are forensic balance sheet (18/20) and whale 13F flow (16/20), supported by an Altman Z-Score of 7.5

The street is overcomplicating Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT). The RQD rating's strongest pillars are forensic balance sheet (18/20) and whale 13F flow (16/20), supported by an Altman Z-Score of 7.56 and institutional accumulation.. With an RQD score of 73/100 (B) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $48.19.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $44.62 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.48 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $44.62

The P/E (TTM) of 50.5 and EV/EBITDA of 34 are elevated relative to a 4.15% FCF yield, and the net margin of 5.9% leaves limited earning

Careful chasing LQDT at $44.62. The P/E (TTM) of 50.5 and EV/EBITDA of 34 are elevated relative to a 4.15% FCF yield, and the net margin of 5.9% leaves limited earnings cushion.. Gross margin is 43.8%, but operating margin is 7.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $37.48 on multiple compression.

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