Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.02 +0.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02

Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $11.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $11.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LSTA ranks #849 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSTA compare to GTBP and GDTC in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), LSTA carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTBP (GT Biopharma Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.0M) and GDTC (CytoMed Therapeutics Limited) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LSTA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LSTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTA?
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Per LSTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320017), Lisata Therapeutics Inc. generated $170.0K in revenue (-83.0% YoY), -$17.0M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $17.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LSTA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LSTA SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$1.08-3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.04-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$1.02+0% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.02-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LSTA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LSTA currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.37) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSTA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LSTA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.13 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $1.02$1.15 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LSTA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 29/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -65%

Model Bullish Setup (29/100)Model Risk Weight (71/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$170.0K-$17.0M-$16.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.0M-$20.0M-$19.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$21.0M-$20.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LSTA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LSTA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LSTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -69.55%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.01H $1.02L $1.01C $1.02VOL 60.8K
RES: $1.62SUP: $0.96SMA50: $1.37SMA200: $2.98
$4.62$3.63$2.64$1.64$0.65RES $1.62SUP $0.96$1.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSTA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSTA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSTA)

Health Care Rank #849 of 1016 ⚔️ GTBP vs LSTA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (LSTA vs. GTBP, GDTC, ASBP, CLRB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA) ranks #849 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #885 by equity capitalization ($11.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LSTA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LSTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GDTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with LSTA at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LSTA ACTIVE
Lisata Therapeutics Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +0.99% $11.0M Benchmark Subject
GTBP
GT Biopharma Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -5.00% $11.0M /gtbp-vs-lsta →
GDTC
CytoMed Therapeutics Limited
D+ 52/100 — — — +2.02% $10.9M /gdtc-vs-lsta →
ASBP
Aspire-Lakewood Holdings Inc.
D- 40/100 — -1.9% -35.0% -4.36% $11.4M /asbp-vs-lsta →
CLRB
Cellectar Biosciences Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -1.23% $11.4M /clrb-vs-lsta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000320017

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA) reported GAAP revenue of $170.0K (-83.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$17.0M, operating cash flow of -$15.9M, and free cash flow of -$16.0M (+17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSTA closed FY2025 with $17.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $170.0K -$17.0M -$15.9M -$16.0M $17.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.0M -$20.0M -$19.4M -$19.4M $35.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$21.0M -$20.0M -$20.0M — —

3. LSTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $11.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LSTA ranks #849 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSTA compare to GTBP and GDTC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), LSTA carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTBP (GT Biopharma Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.0M) and GDTC (CytoMed Therapeutics Limited) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LSTA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LSTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTA?

Per LSTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320017), Lisata Therapeutics Inc. generated $170.0K in revenue (-83.0% YoY), -$17.0M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $17.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSTA last traded at $1.02 (+0.99% on volume of 60,779 shares), positioning the stock -25.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.37) and -65.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.98). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $5.07, LSTA sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

LSTA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LSTA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LSTA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for LSTA, spanning a range between $1 and $1.15.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LSTA — Lisata Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LSTA carries an RQD Score of 29 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Taken together, the pillars indicate weak cash generation, weak institutional and insider signals, and a balance sheet the rating classifies as forensically risky. For a prospective investor, the rating points to downside risk rather than a value or growth case. Upside would require a reversal in cash burn and a sustained change in institutional and insider behavior, neither of which the source data demonstrates.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.2M$-18.2M$-17.0MN/A$-16.0M$16.0MN/A
FY 2024$1.0M$-22.4M$-20.0MN/A$-19.4M$16.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-25.7M$-21.0MN/A$-20.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $1.0M in FY 2024 to $0.2M in FY 2025, while net losses narrowed from $-20.0M to $-17.0M across the same period. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are each -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported cash was $16.0M in FY 2025, against negative free cash flow of $-16.0M in the same year.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most recent items include:

  • A report that Lisata Therapeutics won a new US patent for a pancreatic cancer drug.
  • A Stocktwits report on sentiment score, message volume, participation score, and buzz level.
  • A Stock Titan report referencing an SEC filing dated Oct 19, 2026.
  • A GlobeNewswire report announcing a new method-of-use patent.
  • A Halper Sadeh LLC investigation headline referencing whether LSTA, among other companies, is obtaining fair deals for shareholders.

All items are tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE and no proprietary signals are present. The investigation headline is a risk watch item, though the source data does not describe its scope or any findings.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, indications, and development stage behind the patent and pancreatic cancer headlines, and do they carry a revenue path?
  • What is the scope and status of the Halper Sadeh LLC investigation, and does it involve a transaction affecting shareholders?
  • What is the current cash runway given FY 2025 cash of $16.0M against FCF of $-16.0M?
  • Why are debt, EPS, and EV/EBITDA recorded as N/A or not available, and what is the full capital structure?
  • Who holds the shares, and what are the current 13F and insider positions?

LSTA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lisata Therapeutics Inc. (LSTA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LSTA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LSTA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.02?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LSTA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LSTA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.89 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LSTA (E • RQD 29/100) a Buy at $1.01?

Welcome to the LSTA (Lisata Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 29/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.79 (-21.8%)
Spot @ $1.01

Pump the brakes on LSTA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LSTA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lisata Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.21 (+19.8%)
Spot @ $1.01

LSTA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LSTA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.01 (52-wk range $0.96 - $5.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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