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LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$44.69 +5.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.04

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $12.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (NYSE: LTM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $44.69 (+5.45% 1D, market cap $12.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTM ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LTM compare to AAL and FDXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), LTM carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B) and FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTM?
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For LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #553 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.04 (+0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$74 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE LTM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LTM SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$47.32+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$48.09-8.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$43.84+1.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$44.69-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LTM currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($49.25) and Max Pain ($46.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LTM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LTM)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LTM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LTM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $43.96H $44.69L $42.38C $44.69VOL 1.12M
RES: $59.80SUP: $40.61SMA50: $49.25SMA200: $52.51
$60.42$55.28$50.13$44.99$39.84RES $59.80SUP $40.61$44.692026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LTM Butterfly Map → + Track LTM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #553 of 1009 ⚔️ AAL vs LTM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LTM vs. AAL, FDXF, LUV, CPA)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) ranks #553 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #146 by equity capitalization ($12.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FDXF leads on earnings valuation at 25.0x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with LTM at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LTM ACTIVE
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American
D 49/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.45% $12.17B Benchmark Subject
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 76.3x — 85.0% +3.81% $8.35B /aal-vs-ltm →
FDXF
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.
D 51/100 25.0x — 8.3% +4.61% $18.85B /fdxf-vs-ltm →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D 50/100 48.5x — 3.2% +3.61% $20.77B /luv-vs-ltm →
CPA
Copa Holdings S.A.
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +6.53% $5.30B /cpa-vs-ltm →

2. LTM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $12.17B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. LTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (NYSE: LTM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $44.69 (+5.45% 1D, market cap $12.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTM ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LTM compare to AAL and FDXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), LTM carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B) and FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTM?

For LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #553 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LTM last traded at $44.69 (+5.45% on volume of 922,850 shares), positioning the stock -9.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.25) and -14.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.51). Across its 52-week range of $41.44 to $70.42, LTM sits at the 11.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($41.96 to $47.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: LTM RQD Cockpit LTM 12M Forecast LTM Earnings & Move LTM Dividends & DRIP LTM Insiders & 13F LTM Whale Options LTM Profit Sankey LTM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LTM — LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $44.69 (+5.45% 1D, market capitalization $12.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American trades on the NYSE under the ticker LTM.. Specific products, customer base, and revenue model are — The profile does not describe how the company makes money beyond its sector and industry classification.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $41.44 – $70.42 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary), LTM carries a macro regime beta of 1.05 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can LTM sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $70.42 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LTM's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

LTM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LTM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LTM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LTM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LTM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.09 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) provides a solid financial foundation.

Here is why I am bullish on LTM here at $42.38: Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) provides a solid financial foundation.. Compare LTM's 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against the rest of Air Freight/Delivery Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $40.26 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 1.05 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $42.38 and keeping dry powder in case we test $39.41.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.60 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $42.38

Weak institutional flow (4/20) and macro fit (6/20) combined with a P/E of 32.8 leave limited valuation cushion.

I respect the product at LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American, but the stock at $42.38 is a different story. Weak institutional flow (4/20) and macro fit (6/20) combined with a P/E of 32.8 leave limited valuation cushion.. FCF yield is 2.21% and RQD sits at 49/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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