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Why LTRX Stock dropped -3.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$5.79 -3.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74

Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $281.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LTRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-3.66% 1D, market cap $281.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LTRX ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LTRX compare to SILC and ALLT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), LTRX carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, SILC (Silicom Ltd) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $192.8M) and ALLT (Allot Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $424.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTRX?
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Per LTRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001114925), Lantronix Inc. generated $122.9M in revenue (-23.3% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $6.8M in free cash flow against $121.7M in total assets and $9.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74 (-0.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$9 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE LTRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LTRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LTRX SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($6.8M FCF) & 42.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.27 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$6.38-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$5.82+7.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$6.24-7.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$5.79-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LTRX currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.06) and Max Pain ($6.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LTRX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LTRX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LTRX Stock dropped -3.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) dropped -3.66% to $5.79, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($4.4 – $8.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($4.4 – $8.75) with RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.3% around $5.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 42.1% gross margin and $6.8M annual free cash flow.
Live LTRX Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LTRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LTRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.09%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $6.38H $6.38L $5.79C $5.79VOL 464.0K
RES: $7.17SUP: $5.14SMA50: $6.06SMA200: $6.10
$9.02$7.91$6.80$5.69$4.59RES $7.17SUP $5.14$5.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LTRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LTRX Butterfly Map → + Track LTRX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LTRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTRX)

Technology Rank #452 of 715 ⚔️ SILC vs LTRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LTRX vs. SILC, ALLT, ATEN, BOSC)

Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) ranks #452 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #448 by equity capitalization ($281.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOSC leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while ATEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.5% ROIC and 79.3% gross margin. BOSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with LTRX at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LTRX ACTIVE
Lantronix Inc.
D- 43/100 — 42.1% -14.2% -3.66% $281.7M Benchmark Subject
SILC
Silicom Ltd
E 30/100 — 30.6% -11.8% -7.51% $192.8M /silc-vs-ltrx →
ALLT
Allot Ltd.
D+ 55/100 118.0x 71.1% 3.0% -5.88% $424.7M /allt-vs-ltrx →
ATEN
A10 Networks Inc.
D+ 57/100 44.5x 79.3% 26.5% -3.92% $1.78B /aten-vs-ltrx →
BOSC
B.O.S. Better Online Solutions
C 62/100 8.6x 23.9% 12.9% -0.47% $29.8M /bosc-vs-ltrx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001114925 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) reported GAAP revenue of $122.9M (-23.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $160.3M , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $7.3M, and free cash flow of $6.8M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LTRX closed FY2025 with $121.7M in total assets against $9.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $122.9M -$11.4M $7.3M $6.8M $121.7M $9.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $160.3M -$4.5M $18.6M $17.1M $134.2M $11.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $131.2M -$9.0M $237.0K $237.0K — —

3. LTRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LTRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-3.66% 1D, market cap $281.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LTRX ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LTRX compare to SILC and ALLT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), LTRX carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, SILC (Silicom Ltd) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $192.8M) and ALLT (Allot Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $424.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTRX?

Per LTRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001114925), Lantronix Inc. generated $122.9M in revenue (-23.3% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $6.8M in free cash flow against $121.7M in total assets and $9.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LTRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LTRX last traded at $5.79 (-3.66% on volume of 542,818 shares), positioning the stock -4.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.06) and -5.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.10). Across its 52-week range of $4.40 to $8.75, LTRX sits at the 32.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($5.19 to $6.39).

Direct Sub-Reports: LTRX RQD Cockpit LTRX 12M Forecast LTRX Earnings & Move LTRX Dividends & DRIP LTRX Insiders & 13F LTRX Whale Options LTRX Profit Sankey LTRX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LTRX — Lantronix Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.79 (-3.66% 1D, market capitalization $281.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -14.2%, gross margin of 42.1%, operating margin of -8.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.27, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.13x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lantronix Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Communications Equipment industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) reported $122.9M in annual revenue (up from $160.3M in FY2024, -23.3% YoY) and -$11.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($131.2M revenue, -$9.0M net income) through FY2025, LTRX scaled operating cash flow to $7.3M and free cash flow to $6.8M, backed by $121.7M in total assets against $9.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.27% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.40 – $8.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded for LTRX.

  • Key Question #1: Can LTRX sustain or expand its -8.9% operating margin and -14.2% ROIC against Computer Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $122.9M and free cash flow of $6.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LTRX's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LTRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LTRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LTRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LTRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LTRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.75 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 42.1% gross margin and 2.27% FCF yield, backed by a 0.13 Debt/Equity ratio, show a low-leverage business still generating cash desp

The street is overcomplicating Lantronix Inc. (LTRX). The 42.1% gross margin and 2.27% FCF yield, backed by a 0.13 Debt/Equity ratio, show a low-leverage business still generating cash despite losses.. With an RQD score of 43/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $6.49.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 43/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.01 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.59.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.51 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $6.01

Revenue fell from $160.3M to $122.9M while operating income deteriorated to -$11.0M and ROIC sits at -14.2%, with the lowest RQD pillar

I respect the product at Lantronix Inc., but the stock at $6.01 is a different story. Revenue fell from $160.3M to $122.9M while operating income deteriorated to -$11.0M and ROIC sits at -14.2%, with the lowest RQD pillar being insider conviction at 7/20.. FCF yield is 2.27% and RQD sits at 43/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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