Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.04 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.03

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $550.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $4.04 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $550.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $627.7M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSVR leads on earnings multiple (80.8x) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?
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Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.03 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.6% Base Target
$10 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE LUCK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUCK SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$5.16-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$5.09-14.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$4.37-7.6% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$4.04-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUCK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LUCK currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.27) and Max Pain ($4.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LUCK Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.04: 2475.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.63
$6,510
$-3,490 (-34.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.37
$8,342
$-1,658 (-16.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.07
$24,926
+$14,926 (+149.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUCK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LUCK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LUCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.05H $4.05L $4.04C $4.04VOL 69.8K
RES: $5.28SUP: $3.50SMA50: $5.27SMA200: $7.21
$9.90$8.24$6.57$4.91$3.24RES $5.28SUP $3.50$4.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LUCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUCK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #980 of 1011 ⚔️ RSVR vs LUCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LUCK vs. RSVR, FUN, CDRO, FBYD)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) ranks #980 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #576 by equity capitalization ($550.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RSVR leads on earnings valuation at 80.8x trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RSVR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with LUCK at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LUCK ACTIVE
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 — — 7.7% -0.25% $550.8M Benchmark Subject
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D 51/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% -0.73% $627.7M /rsvr-vs-luck →
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% -2.60% $765.3M /fun-vs-luck →
CDRO
Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.
D 48/100 — — — +1.53% $393.3M /cdro-vs-luck →
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — — -22.8% -9.91% $837.9M /fbyd-vs-luck →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0001840572

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.25B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$35.8M, operating cash flow of $103.9M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (-127.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUCK closed FY2025 with $3.27B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-28 $1.25B -$35.8M $103.9M -$9.8M $3.27B $1.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-29 $1.20B -$10.0M $177.2M $36.2M $3.24B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-02 $1.06B $82.0M $217.8M $217.8M — —

3. LUCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $4.04 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $550.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $627.7M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSVR leads on earnings multiple (80.8x) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?

Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LUCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LUCK last traded at $4.04 (-0.25% on volume of 69,841 shares), positioning the stock -23.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.27) and -43.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.21). Across its 52-week range of $3.76 to $9.59, LUCK sits at the 4.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.53 to $4.55).

LUCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LUCK's 12-month stock price target?

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $3.37 (-16.6% from $4.04), with a bull-case target of $10.07 and a bear-case floor of $2.63.

Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LUCK E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 21/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LUCK — Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LUCK carries an RQD Score of 21 out of 100 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. The source cites ROIC of 7.7% and FCF yield of -1.77%. Negative FCF yield means free cash flow is not currently covering the equity value, which weakens the cash-return case a prospective investor would look for.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning scored weakly. The source does not provide holder-level detail (see Analyst View section), so the score is taken at face value.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored weakly. No insider transaction detail is provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Beta is 1.0, and the sector sensitivity assessment is modest. The stock is not positioned as a defensive or regime-favored name according to this pillar.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 4 / 20. Altman Z-Score of 0.44 sits in the distress-risk zone, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is weak, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the pillar most directly tied to solvency and reporting-quality risk.

Taken together, the pillar scores point to weak cash generation, weak smart-money conviction, and a stressed balance sheet. Upside drivers would need to come from operating-margin recovery and debt reduction; the source data does not establish either as underway. The rating is a structured research score, not a recommendation, and the educational takeaway is that low-scoring multi-pillar profiles carry compounding downside risk if any single pillar deteriorates further.

Business

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The company's market capitalization is $552.1M per the market data. Product, customer, and revenue-mix detail is not available in source data beyond the profile classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1245.3M$136.8M$-35.8MN/A$-9.8MN/A$1761.5M
FY 2024$1201.3M$137.2M$-10.0MN/A$36.2MN/AN/A
FY 2023$1058.8M$200.8M$82.0MN/A$217.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1058.8M (FY 2023) to $1245.3M (FY 2025) while net income moved from $82.0M to $-35.8M, and operating income declined from $200.8M to $136.8M. The reported net margin is -2.9% and operating margin is 11%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 7.7%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.44, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-9.8M, and the source does not report cash balances.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include an upcoming report date: "Lucky Strike Entertainment to Report First Quarter 2027 Financial Results on November 5, 2026" (flagged YELLOW). Other items include a MarketBeat report of a 7.8% stock price decline, a Moomoo piece on being "On The Verge Of Breaking Even," a Simply Wall St piece on being "Less Than A Year Away From Profitability," and a Yahoo Finance headline on being "Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates" (flagged GREEN as a CATALYST). Lights are mostly YELLOW, with one GREEN. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain as NONE, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the FY 2025 cash balance and EPS figures? The financials list these as N/A.
  • What is the trailing and forward earnings basis, given P/E and EPS are not available in source data?
  • What drove the decline in operating income from $200.8M (FY 2023) to $136.8M (FY 2025), and is margin recovery underway?
  • What is the debt maturity and refinancing profile behind the $1761.5M debt figure?
  • What do the reported 13F, insider, and Congressional filings show in detail, given the holders section is empty?

LUCK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LUCK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LUCK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.04?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LUCK 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LUCK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.56 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LUCK (E • RQD 21/100) a Buy at $4.05?

Welcome to the LUCK (Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 21/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.40 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $4.05

Pump the brakes on LUCK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LUCK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.02 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $4.05

LUCK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LUCK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.05 (52-wk range $3.76 - $9.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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