MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim After Lower Analyst TargetsYahoo Finance report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LUMN Stock advanced +1.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.88 +1.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.89
Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $5.03B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LUMN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LUMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lumen Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: LUMN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.88 (+1.88% 1D, market cap $5.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LUMN ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LUMN compare to TEO and VEON in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), LUMN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.4%, and ROIC of -13.4%. By comparison, TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.57B) and VEON (VEON Ltd. ADS) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LUMN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TDS leads on capital efficiency (-1.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUMN?
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Per LUMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000018926), Lumen Technologies Inc. generated $11.33B in revenue (-6.6% YoY), -$1.74B in net income, and $4.23B in free cash flow against $34.34B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.89 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 37.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUMN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (35% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 37.3% FCF Margin ($4.23B FCF) & 41.4% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.55-2% Next Q
29
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.46+7.6% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.80+1.7% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade D-$4.88-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUMN Turnaround Squeeze
While LUMN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.67) and Max Pain ($5.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.55.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LUMN Stock advanced +1.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) advanced +1.88% to $4.88, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($4.25 – $11.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($4.25 – $11.95) with RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.2% around $4.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 41.4% gross margin and $4.2B annual free cash flow.
Live LUMN Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Lumen: $13.5 Billion In Debt Is Too Much For An AI Bear Market (Rating Downgrade)Seeking Alpha report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTBloomberg • 1d ago
What GM, Lumen and Others Gain From Switching Stock Exchanges (GM, LUMN, KHC)Bloomberg report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies stock hits 52-week low at 5.38 USDInvesting.com report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies, Inc. $LUMN Stock Bought by Congress Asset Management Co.MarketBeat report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Stock News & UpdatesStock Titan report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBusiness Wire • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies to Hold Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference CallBusiness Wire report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
Lumen and Microsoft Expand Collaboration to Co-Sell Enterprise AI-Ready NetworksDENVER & REDMOND, Wash., November 02, 2026--Lumen Technologies (Nasdaq: LUMN) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) today announced an expanded co-selling collaboration to help enterprises overcome a critical challenge in AI adop
CATALYSTBenzinga • 1d ago
Connection Awarded Microsoft Advanced Specialization; Earns Windows Server and SQL Server Migration to Microsoft Azure Advanced SpecializationON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUMN)
- ✓Walkthrough of LUMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LUMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $4.79H $4.88L $4.79C $4.88VOL 12.01M
RES: $7.69SUP: $4.01SMA50: $5.67SMA200: $7.20
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LUMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUMN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUMN)
Communication Services Rank #96 of 132
⚔️ TEO vs LUMN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (LUMN vs. TEO, VEON, TKC, TDS)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) ranks #96 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #38 by equity capitalization ($5.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LUMN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.9% ROIC and — gross margin. VEON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with LUMN at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUMN
ACTIVE
Lumen Technologies Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 41.4% | -13.4% | +1.88% | $5.03B | Benchmark Subject |
| TEO Telecom Argentina SA | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -4.24% | $4.57B | /teo-vs-lumn → |
| VEON VEON Ltd. ADS | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | -6.68% | $5.68B | /veon-vs-lumn → |
| TKC Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -1.08% | $4.03B | /tkc-vs-lumn → |
| TDS Telephone and Data Systems Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -1.9% | +1.12% | $3.95B | /tds-vs-lumn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000018926 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) reported GAAP revenue of $11.33B (-6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.13B , and -16.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.74B, operating cash flow of $4.74B, and free cash flow of $4.23B (+11.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUMN closed FY2025 with $34.34B in total assets against $8.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.33B | -$1.74B | $4.74B | $4.23B | $34.34B | $8.04B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $12.13B | -$55.0M | $4.33B | $3.79B | $33.50B | $7.84B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $13.52B | -$10.30B | $2.16B | $1.55B | $16.23B | $3.80B |
3. LUMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LUMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Lumen Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: LUMN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.88 (+1.88% 1D, market cap $5.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LUMN ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LUMN compare to TEO and VEON in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), LUMN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.4%, and ROIC of -13.4%. By comparison, TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.57B) and VEON (VEON Ltd. ADS) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LUMN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TDS leads on capital efficiency (-1.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUMN?
Per LUMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000018926), Lumen Technologies Inc. generated $11.33B in revenue (-6.6% YoY), -$1.74B in net income, and $4.23B in free cash flow against $34.34B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LUMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LUMN last traded at $4.88 (+1.88% on volume of 12,006,221 shares), positioning the stock -13.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.67) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.20). Across its 52-week range of $4.25 to $11.95, LUMN sits at the 8.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($4.28 to $5.48).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
LUMN — Lumen Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.88 (+1.88% 1D, market capitalization $5.03B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -13.4%, gross margin of 41.4%, operating margin of -7.2%, and free cash flow yield of 22.00%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.04x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.45, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Lumen Technologies Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Communication Services sector and the Telecommunications Equipment industry. The profile describes the company's market capitalization as $4.9B. The profile does not describe the company's revenue model beyond its sector and industry classification.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) reported $11.33B in annual revenue (up from $12.13B in FY2024, -6.6% YoY) and -$1.74B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($13.52B revenue, -$10.30B net income) through FY2025, LUMN scaled operating cash flow to $4.74B and free cash flow to $4.23B, backed by $34.34B in total assets against $8.04B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 22.00% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.25 – $11.95 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -7.2% operating margins and a 1.04x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream dependencies, downstream customers, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can LUMN sustain or expand its -7.2% operating margin and -13.4% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.33B and free cash flow of $4.23B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.04B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LUMN's 18.0x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.04x)?
LUMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim After Lower Analyst Targets Yahoo Finance report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Lumen: $13.5 Billion In Debt Is Too Much For An AI Bear Market (Rating Downgrade) Seeking Alpha report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Bloomberg • 1d ago
What GM, Lumen and Others Gain From Switching Stock Exchanges (GM, LUMN, KHC) Bloomberg report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies stock hits 52-week low at 5.38 USD Investing.com report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies, Inc. $LUMN Stock Bought by Congress Asset Management Co. MarketBeat report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Stock News & Updates Stock Titan report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago
Lumen Technologies to Hold Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Business Wire report covering Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
LUMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.88?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LUMN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $5.66 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate A 22% FCF yield and a forward P/E of 18 indicate the market may be pricing in cash generation that the trailing operating results do no
Picked up a starter position in LUMN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.88. A 22% FCF yield and a forward P/E of 18 indicate the market may be pricing in cash generation that the trailing operating results do not yet show.. Trading inside a $4.25–$11.45 52-week range with 22.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Telecommunications Equipment multiples expand this quarter.
EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — LUMN's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $3.76 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $4.88 With an Altman Z-Score of 0.45, ROIC of -13.4%, and debt of $8.04B against cash of $1.00B, the balance sheet carries distress-level
Fading this rally in LUMN at $4.88. With an Altman Z-Score of 0.45, ROIC of -13.4%, and debt of $8.04B against cash of $1.00B, the balance sheet carries distress-level risk.. With a beta of 1.04 and the stock sitting at $4.88 (52-wk range $4.25–$11.45), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.