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Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$253.22 +1.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $254.72

Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (56.3% gross margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $14.48B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MANH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MANH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Manhattan Associates Inc. (NASDAQ: MANH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $253.22 (+1.95% 1D, market cap $14.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MANH ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MANH compare to DOCU and CHKP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MANH carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 63.8x, gross margin of 56.3%, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, DOCU (DocuSign Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $15.36B) and CHKP (Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.8%, cap $15.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHKP leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while CHKP leads on capital efficiency (20.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MANH?
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Per MANH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001056696), Manhattan Associates Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $219.9M in net income, and $374.0M in free cash flow against $839.4M in total assets and $196.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $254.71 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 34.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (18)Whales (19)SEC (18)Macro (14)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$328 Bull$278 Base$208 Bear
📬 FREE MANH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MANH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MANH SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.6% FCF Margin ($374.0M FCF) & 56.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$220.04+7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$235.83+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
77
Grade B+$239.73+5.6% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$253.22+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MANH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, MANH faces multiple-compression risk if 63.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 53.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($218.37) or 200D SMA ($167.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($278.29) toward Bear Floor ($207.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MANH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MANH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MANH)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MANH.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MANH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MANH
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MANH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $240.8H $253.2L $240.8C $253.2VOL 1.08M
RES: $257.0SUP: $226.1SMA50: $218.4SMA200: $167.4
$263.1$225.5$187.9$150.3$112.7RES $257.0SUP $226.1$253.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MANH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
43.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MANH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MANH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MANH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MANH)

Technology Rank #12 of 715 ⚔️ DOCU vs MANH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MANH vs. DOCU, CHKP, GWRE, TYL)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #125 by equity capitalization ($14.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHKP leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while CHKP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.8% ROIC and 86.7% gross margin. MANH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MANH ACTIVE
Manhattan Associates Inc.
B+ 80/100 63.8x 56.3% 19.7% +1.95% $14.48B Benchmark Subject
DOCU
DocuSign Inc.
B+ 78/100 49.3x 79.4% 10.3% -0.63% $15.36B /docu-vs-manh →
CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
B+ 80/100 14.8x 86.7% 20.8% -6.97% $15.53B /chkp-vs-manh →
GWRE
Guidewire Software Inc.
C+ 66/100 — 62.5% 2.0% -0.10% $13.44B /gwre-vs-manh →
TYL
Tyler Technologies Inc.
B 73/100 47.1x 46.5% 8.1% +2.44% $15.68B /tyl-vs-manh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001056696 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.04B , and +16.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $219.9M, operating cash flow of $389.5M, and free cash flow of $374.0M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MANH closed FY2025 with $839.4M in total assets against $196.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 24.06, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.08B $219.9M $389.5M $374.0M $839.4M $196.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.04B $218.4M $295.0M $286.3M $757.6M $177.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $928.7M $176.6M $246.2M $204.4M $7.72B $1.81B

3. MANH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MANH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Manhattan Associates Inc. (NASDAQ: MANH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $253.22 (+1.95% 1D, market cap $14.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MANH ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MANH compare to DOCU and CHKP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MANH carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 63.8x, gross margin of 56.3%, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, DOCU (DocuSign Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $15.36B) and CHKP (Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.8%, cap $15.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHKP leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while CHKP leads on capital efficiency (20.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MANH?

Per MANH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001056696), Manhattan Associates Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $219.9M in net income, and $374.0M in free cash flow against $839.4M in total assets and $196.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MANH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MANH last traded at $253.22 (+1.95% on volume of 747,522 shares), positioning the stock +15.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($218.37) and +51.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($167.42). Across its 52-week range of $119.06 to $254.00, MANH sits at the 99.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($235.49 to $270.95).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MANH — Manhattan Associates Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 80/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $253.22 (+1.95% 1D, market capitalization $14.48B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.7%, gross margin of 56.3%, operating margin of 25.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (19/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.42x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 24.06, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.54x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Revenue reached $1.08B in FY 2025, indicating a software-driven revenue base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) reported $1.08B in annual revenue (up from $1.04B in FY2024, +3.7% YoY) and $219.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($928.7M revenue, $176.6M net income) through FY2025, MANH scaled operating cash flow to $389.5M and free cash flow to $374.0M, backed by $839.4M in total assets against $196.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 80/100): Strong cash generator (56.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 19/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $119.06 – $254.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 63.8x trailing P/E and 47.4x EV/EBITDA against 25.9% operating margins and a 1.42x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

An investor would need supplier, customer, and peer-correlation data to assess ripple effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can MANH sustain or expand its 25.9% operating margin and 19.7% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.08B and free cash flow of $374.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $196.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MANH's 59.3x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.42x)?

MANH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Manhattan Associates Inc. (MANH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MANH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MANH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $253.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MANH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MANH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $312.97 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 19.7% and a 19/20 whale-flow pillar point to high-quality cash generation and strong institutional accumula

Long MANH at $248.39 targeting $312.97. Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 19.7% and a 19/20 whale-flow pillar point to high-quality cash generation and strong institutional accumulation.. Institutional whale score is 19/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $119.06 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MANH's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $213.62 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $248.39

At a P/E of 63.8 TTM and EV/EBITDA of 47.4, with the price near the $240 analyst target, valuation leaves little margin of safety.

I respect the product at Manhattan Associates Inc., but the stock at $248.39 is a different story. At a P/E of 63.8 TTM and EV/EBITDA of 47.4, with the price near the $240 analyst target, valuation leaves little margin of safety.. FCF yield is 2.66% and RQD sits at 80/100 (B+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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