Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MARA Stock dropped -5.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MARA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MARA Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $6.77 (-5.51% 1D, market cap $2.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MARA ranks #1039 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MARA compare to SII and IOND in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MARA carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.8%. By comparison, SII (Sprott Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.75B) and IOND (Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASST leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while ASST leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MARA?
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Per MARA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507605), MARA Holdings Inc. generated $58.7M in revenue (-39.2% YoY), -$1.31B in net income, and -$1.21B in free cash flow against $7.29B in total assets and $3.20B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (33.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MARA Turnaround Squeeze
While MARA currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.21) and Max Pain ($7.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.62.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MARA Stock dropped -5.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) dropped -5.51% to $6.77, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.45 – $18.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.45 – $18.69) with RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.77 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MARA)
- ✓Walkthrough of MARA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MARA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -39.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MARA today. View full Setup Ledger →
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MARA)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MARA vs. SII, IOND, UPST, ASST)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) ranks #1039 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #379 by equity capitalization ($2.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASST leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while ASST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ASST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MARA at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARA
ACTIVE
MARA Holdings Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | -15.8% | -5.51% | $2.77B | Benchmark Subject |
| SII Sprott Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -5.23% | $2.75B | /sii-vs-mara → |
| IOND Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -4.39% | $3.12B | /iond-vs-mara → |
| UPST Upstart Holdings Inc. | E | 32/100 | 45.1x | — | 3.2% | -7.33% | $2.42B | /upst-vs-mara → |
| ASST Strive Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 32.8x | — | 18.8% | -10.90% | $3.17B | /asst-vs-mara → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001507605In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) reported GAAP revenue of $58.7M (-39.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $96.5M , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.31B, operating cash flow of -$802.7M, and free cash flow of -$1.21B (-30.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MARA closed FY2025 with $7.29B in total assets against $3.20B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $58.7M | -$1.31B | -$802.7M | -$1.21B | $7.29B | $3.20B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $96.5M | $541.3M | -$677.0M | -$927.8M | $6.80B | $2.45B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $57.7M | $259.1M | -$315.7M | -$318.2M | $1.52B | $356.2M |
3. MARA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MARA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, MARA Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $6.77 (-5.51% 1D, market cap $2.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MARA ranks #1039 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MARA compare to SII and IOND in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MARA carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.8%. By comparison, SII (Sprott Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.75B) and IOND (Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASST leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while ASST leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MARA?
Per MARA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507605), MARA Holdings Inc. generated $58.7M in revenue (-39.2% YoY), -$1.31B in net income, and -$1.21B in free cash flow against $7.29B in total assets and $3.20B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MARA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MARA last traded at $6.77 (-5.51% on volume of 43,135,095 shares), positioning the stock -33.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.21) and -37.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.76). Across its 52-week range of $6.45 to $18.69, MARA sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.92 to $7.62).
MARA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MARA stock moving today?
Why MARA Stock dropped -5.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
MARA — MARA Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MARA scores 28 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 7/20 (ROIC -15.8%; FCF yield -18%), whale 13F flow scores 5/20, insider conviction scores 5/20, macro regime fit scores 3/20 (Beta 1.03), and forensic balance sheet scores 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the scoring points to weak internal cash generation and negative return on invested capital as the dominant concern, with flow and insider signals also scoring low. The upside case in this framework depends on a turnaround in cash generation that the source data does not show yet; the forensic balance-sheet pillar offers only modest support. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the forward P/E of 27 alongside negative trailing EPS of -3.4, meaning the market is pricing expected earnings recovery that the trailing data does not yet confirm.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $58.7M | $-1224.2M | $-1311.5M | N/A | $-1209.8M | $547.1M | $3202.1M |
| FY 2024 | $96.5M | $306.1M | $541.2M | N/A | $-927.8M | $391.8M | $2446.6M |
| FY 2023 | $57.7M | $220.9M | $259.1M | N/A | $-318.2M | N/A | $356.2M |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue fell from $96.5M in FY 2024 to $58.7M in FY 2025, while FY 2025 operating and net losses were $-1224.2M and $-1311.5M respectively. Per the market data, operating margin is -60% and ROIC is -15.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5; debt has grown from $356.2M in FY 2023 to $3202.1M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the wire carries one RED "RISK WATCH" item (a Yahoo Finance report on the stock dropping as attention builds), one GREEN "CATALYST" item (a Stocktwits report on the stock surging despite a deep quarterly loss, with the CEO describing the company as "no longer simply a Bitcoin miner"), and several YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" items covering price action from Trefis and Yahoo Finance. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the single confirmed link is IBIT to MARA as a bottleneck-beneficiary relationship with a mixed-constraint direction, sourced to the FY2024 Form 10-K and last verified 2026-10-31. The stated next catalyst is the monthly BTC production and energized hashrate update together with network difficulty adjustments. No proprietary signals are listed.
Open Questions
- What is the source of the forward P/E of 27 given negative trailing EPS, and what earnings forecast underlies it?
- Why is FY 2025 EPS reported as N/A while net income is reported as $-1311.5M, and what is the share count?
- What is the composition of the $3202.1M debt, including convertible terms and maturities?
- How much of the FY 2024 net income of $541.2M relates to Bitcoin fair-value or other non-operating items?
- What is the company's current energized hashrate and cost per unit of mining output, given the ASIC efficiency threshold cited in the graph?
MARA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.77?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MARA (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $7.17?
Welcome to the MARA (MARA Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MARA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MARA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless MARA Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MARA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MARA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.17 (52-wk range $6.45 - $18.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.