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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MBC / forecast
LZB (63) TILE (78) CODI (33) HELE (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.37 +1.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.38

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.48B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MBC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, MasterBrand Inc. (NYSE: MBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $7.37 (+1.52% 1D, market cap $1.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MBC ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MBC compare to LZB and TILE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), MBC carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.6x, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $1.22B) and TILE (Interface Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LZB leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while TILE leads on capital efficiency (17.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBC?
▼

Per MBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001941365), MasterBrand Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $26.7M in net income, and $117.5M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $974.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.38 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (6)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$15 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE MBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBC SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.23 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$6.66+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$6.69+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$6.91+6.7% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$7.37-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MBC currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.26) and Max Pain ($7.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MBC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.37: 1356.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.65
$7,666
$-2,334 (-23.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.24
$9,824
$-176 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.65
$19,878
+$9,878 (+98.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.79%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.17H $7.37L $7.17C $7.37VOL 2.06M
RES: $8.28SUP: $4.89SMA50: $7.26SMA200: $8.80
$11.68$10.19$8.69$7.20$5.71RES $8.28SUP $4.89$7.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MBC Butterfly Map → + Track MBC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
38.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #464 of 1009 ⚔️ LZB vs MBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MBC vs. LZB, TILE, CODI, HELE)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) ranks #464 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #458 by equity capitalization ($1.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LZB leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while TILE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.5% ROIC and 38.7% gross margin. TILE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with MBC at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBC ACTIVE
MasterBrand Inc.
D+ 54/100 54.6x 30.3% 4.4% +1.52% $1.48B Benchmark Subject
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
C 63/100 12.0x 44.0% 13.9% +4.14% $1.22B /lzb-vs-mbc →
TILE
Interface Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.4x 38.7% 17.5% +4.37% $2.13B /tile-vs-mbc →
CODI
D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings
E 33/100 — 43.5% 0.4% +4.66% $838.9M /codi-vs-mbc →
HELE
Helen of Troy Limited
D 49/100 — 45.7% -35.0% +4.67% $675.8M /hele-vs-mbc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001941365 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.7M, operating cash flow of $195.7M, and free cash flow of $117.5M (-44.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBC closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $974.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.23, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $2.73B $26.7M $195.7M $117.5M $3.10B $974.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $2.70B $125.9M $292.0M $211.1M $2.93B $1.01B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.73B $182.0M $405.6M $405.6M — —

3. MBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MasterBrand Inc. (NYSE: MBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $7.37 (+1.52% 1D, market cap $1.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MBC ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBC compare to LZB and TILE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), MBC carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.6x, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $1.22B) and TILE (Interface Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LZB leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while TILE leads on capital efficiency (17.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBC?

Per MBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001941365), MasterBrand Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $26.7M in net income, and $117.5M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $974.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBC last traded at $7.37 (+1.52% on volume of 2,043,195 shares), positioning the stock +1.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.26) and -16.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.80). Across its 52-week range of $6.17 to $13.95, MBC sits at the 15.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($6.57 to $8.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: MBC RQD Cockpit MBC 12M Forecast MBC Earnings & Move MBC Dividends & DRIP MBC Insiders & 13F MBC Whale Options MBC Profit Sankey MBC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MBC — MasterBrand Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.37 (+1.52% 1D, market capitalization $1.48B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.4%, gross margin of 30.3%, operating margin of 4.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.05%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.23, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.72x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Home Furnishings industry. Per the market data, gross margin is 30.3%, operating margin is 4.4%, and net margin is 1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) reported $2.73B in annual revenue (up from $2.70B in FY2024, +1.3% YoY) and $26.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.73B revenue, $182.0M net income) through FY2025, MBC scaled operating cash flow to $195.7M and free cash flow to $117.5M, backed by $3.10B in total assets against $974.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.05% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.17 – $13.95 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 54.6x trailing P/E and 12.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or named sector correlations. The only sector-level context available is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Home Furnishings and one news headline referencing a structural remodeling downturn and rate sensitivity. A prospective investor should treat the second-order ripple picture as unresolved in this dataset, and the sector-level headline as a qualitative signal rather than a quantified dependency.

  • Key Question #1: Can MBC sustain or expand its 4.4% operating margin and 4.4% ROIC against Home Furnishings peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.73B and free cash flow of $117.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $974.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MBC's 50.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MBC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.00 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 8.05% FCF yield and Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 indicate cash generation and balance sheet strength relative to the current $7.

Here is why I am bullish on MBC here at $7.26: The 8.05% FCF yield and Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 indicate cash generation and balance sheet strength relative to the current $7.17 share price.. Compare MBC's 4.4% operating margin and 4.4% ROIC against the rest of Home Furnishings. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $6.90 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MBC's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.95 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $7.26

Operating income fell from $306.3M in FY 2023 to $119.0M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 4.4% and P/E (TTM) is 54.6 on EPS of 0.13.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MBC above $7.26. Operating income fell from $306.3M in FY 2023 to $119.0M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 4.4% and P/E (TTM) is 54.6 on EPS of 0.13.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (8.05%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $13.95.

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