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Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.65 -5.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.59

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MBLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $5.65 (-5.20% 1D, market cap $4.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MBLY ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MBLY compare to BB and WK in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MBLY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, BB (BlackBerry Limited) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 101.4x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $4.71B) and WK (Workiva Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BB leads on earnings multiple (101.4x) while BB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBLY?
▼

Per MBLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001910139), Mobileye Global Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+14.5% YoY), -$392.0M in net income, and $523.0M in free cash flow against $12.49B in total assets and $274.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.59 (-1.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 27.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (4)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$15 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE MBLY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBLY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBLY SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.20 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.6% FCF Margin ($523.0M FCF) & 47.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$7.43-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$6.95-7.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$6.41-11.9% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$5.65-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBLY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MBLY currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.47) and Max Pain ($5.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBLY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBLY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MBLY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.65: 1769.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.33
$7,664
$-2,336 (-23.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.55
$9,823
$-177 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.05
$26,637
+$16,637 (+166.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBLY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MBLY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MBLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.58%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $5.96H $5.96L $5.65C $5.65VOL 6.71M
RES: $7.00SUP: $6.59SMA50: $7.47SMA200: $8.44
$11.76$10.10$8.45$6.79$5.14RES $7.00SUP $6.59$5.652026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MBLY Butterfly Map → + Track MBLY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBLY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBLY)

Technology Rank #290 of 715 ⚔️ BB vs MBLY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MBLY vs. BB, WK, CCC, BRZE)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) ranks #290 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #213 by equity capitalization ($4.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BB leads on earnings valuation at 101.4x trailing P/E, while BB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and 76.2% gross margin. BRZE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with MBLY at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBLY ACTIVE
Mobileye Global Inc.
D+ 54/100 — 47.7% -3.4% -5.20% $4.80B Benchmark Subject
BB
BlackBerry Limited
C 64/100 101.4x 76.2% 5.7% -4.75% $4.71B /bb-vs-mbly →
WK
Workiva Inc.
C- 61/100 — 78.5% -9.3% +1.39% $4.61B /wk-vs-mbly →
CCC
CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.
C 62/100 — 73.5% 2.5% +0.39% $4.54B /ccc-vs-mbly →
BRZE
Braze Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 67.1% -16.2% -0.17% $5.19B /brze-vs-mbly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001910139 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.89B (+14.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.65B , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$392.0M, operating cash flow of $602.0M, and free cash flow of $523.0M (+63.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBLY closed FY2025 with $12.49B in total assets against $274.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.20, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $1.89B -$392.0M $602.0M $523.0M $12.49B $274.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $1.65B -$3.09B $400.0M $319.0M $12.58B $221.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $2.08B -$27.0M $394.0M $300.4M $3.00B $701.4M

3. MBLY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $5.65 (-5.20% 1D, market cap $4.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MBLY ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBLY compare to BB and WK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MBLY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, BB (BlackBerry Limited) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 101.4x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $4.71B) and WK (Workiva Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BB leads on earnings multiple (101.4x) while BB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBLY?

Per MBLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001910139), Mobileye Global Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+14.5% YoY), -$392.0M in net income, and $523.0M in free cash flow against $12.49B in total assets and $274.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBLY last traded at $5.65 (-5.20% on volume of 6,714,472 shares), positioning the stock -24.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.47) and -33.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.44). Across its 52-week range of $5.65 to $14.33, MBLY sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($4.95 to $6.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: MBLY RQD Cockpit MBLY 12M Forecast MBLY Earnings & Move MBLY Dividends & DRIP MBLY Insiders & 13F MBLY Whale Options MBLY Profit Sankey MBLY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MBLY — Mobileye Global Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.65 (-5.20% 1D, market capitalization $4.80B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.4%, gross margin of 47.7%, operating margin of -23.2%, and free cash flow yield of 9.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.38x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.20, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.02x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Computer Software: Prepackaged Software,. The company's specific products, customers, and revenue model are not described in the source data. Revenue reported for FY 2025 was $1.89B, . — for detailed product or customer information.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) reported $1.89B in annual revenue (up from $1.65B in FY2024, +14.5% YoY) and -$392.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.08B revenue, -$27.0M net income) through FY2025, MBLY scaled operating cash flow to $602.0M and free cash flow to $523.0M, backed by $12.49B in total assets against $274.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 9.60% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.65 – $14.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -23.2% operating margins and a 1.38x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the sources provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can MBLY sustain or expand its -23.2% operating margin and -3.4% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.89B and free cash flow of $523.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $274.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MBLY's 29.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.38x)?

MBLY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MBLY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MBLY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MBLY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MBLY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.87 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores strongly (Altman Z 5.2, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.02) and FCF yield is 9.6%.

Long MBLY at $5.96 targeting $7.87. Forensic balance sheet scores strongly (Altman Z 5.2, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.02) and FCF yield is 9.6%.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $5.76 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 54/100 quality, though with 1.38 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $5.96 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.54.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.77 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $5.96

ROIC is -3.4%, EPS is -0.46, and institutional flow scores only 4/20 in the RQD rating.

I respect the product at Mobileye Global Inc., but the stock at $5.96 is a different story. ROIC is -3.4%, EPS is -0.46, and institutional flow scores only 4/20 in the RQD rating.. FCF yield is 9.6% and RQD sits at 54/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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