MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.49 +1.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.50

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $514.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MCFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MCFT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (+1.20% 1D, market cap $514.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MCFT ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MCFT compare to MBUU and NXB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MCFT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.0x, gross margin of 20.0%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, MBUU (Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $462.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $38.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCFT?
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Per MCFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001638290), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. generated $284.2M in revenue (-11.8% YoY), $7.0M in net income, and $26.4M in free cash flow against $259.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.50 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$30 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE MCFT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MCFT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.65 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($26.4M FCF) & 20% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$19.20+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$19.21+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$19.52+10.1% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$21.49-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MCFT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MCFT faces multiple-compression risk if 73.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.83) or 200D SMA ($22.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.30) toward Bear Floor ($16.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MCFT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MCFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
58.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.65>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $17$21.49H: $28
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (20% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on MCFT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

6.7% ROIC with 20.0% gross margin and 5.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 6.65 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MCFT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 73x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MCFT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MCFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MCFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.49%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $20.14H $21.49L $20.14C $21.49VOL 111.5K
RES: $25.58SUP: $16.40SMA50: $20.83SMA200: $22.52
$29.11$26.33$23.54$20.75$17.97RES $25.58SUP $16.40$21.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
47.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCFT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCFT)

Industrials Rank #187 of 485 ⚔️ MBUU vs MCFT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MCFT vs. MBUU, NXB, HII, VEEE)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #295 by equity capitalization ($514.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HII leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while NXB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and 9.6% gross margin. HII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MCFT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MCFT ACTIVE
MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 73.0x 20.0% 6.7% +1.20% $514.4M Benchmark Subject
MBUU
Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 30.4x 17.8% 3.5% +1.32% $462.4M /mbuu-vs-mcft →
NXB
NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok
D- 39/100 — 9.6% 18.8% -5.50% $38.8M /nxb-vs-mcft →
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.6x — 8.3% +0.21% $12.46B /hii-vs-mcft →
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats Co.
E 24/100 — 8.5% -35.0% -2.01% $5.5M /veee-vs-mcft →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001638290

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) reported GAAP revenue of $284.2M (-11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $322.4M , and -53.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.0M, operating cash flow of $35.6M, and free cash flow of $26.4M (+1238.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCFT closed FY2025 with $259.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.65, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $284.2M $7.0M $35.6M $26.4M $259.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $322.4M $7.8M $12.5M $2.0M $250.1M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $609.9M $68.9M $134.2M $134.2M — —

3. MCFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MCFT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (+1.20% 1D, market cap $514.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MCFT ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCFT compare to MBUU and NXB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MCFT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.0x, gross margin of 20.0%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, MBUU (Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $462.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $38.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCFT?

Per MCFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001638290), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. generated $284.2M in revenue (-11.8% YoY), $7.0M in net income, and $26.4M in free cash flow against $259.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCFT last traded at $21.49 (+1.20% on volume of 110,073 shares), positioning the stock +3.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.83) and -4.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.52). Across its 52-week range of $17.19 to $28.44, MCFT sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($20.03 to $22.95).

MCFT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MCFT stock right now?

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 73x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MCFT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MCFT's 12-month base price target is $21.3 (range $16.61 to $29.86), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MCFT — MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MCFT scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 6.7% and FCF yield is 5.13%. The FCF yield is a supportive element, but a 6.7% ROIC indicates modest returns on invested capital, which limits the upside case if growth does not re-accelerate.
  • Whale 13F Flow (9 / 20): The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weak contributor. Institutional conviction is not a strong tailwind in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow contributes modestly. The source does not provide transaction detail.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted. This is the lowest pillar, suggesting limited defensive or regime-driven support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 6.65, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and indicates the balance sheet is not the primary risk.

For a prospective investor, the key takeaway is that the balance sheet is comparatively solid, but cash generation, institutional support, and macro fit are weak. The valuation (P/E TTM of 73) leaves little margin for error if earnings do not recover; the upside case depends on margin normalization from the current 4% operating margin. The rating is a structured, rules-based assessment from the source data and is not a personal recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
21.24$514.4M7367.924.10.290%1.0$17.19 - $28.446.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$284.2M$11.2M$7.0MN/A$26.4M$56.2MN/A
FY 2024$322.4M$27.5M$7.8MN/A$2.0M$34.3M$0.0M
FY 2023$609.9M$121.4M$68.9MN/A$134.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $609.9M (FY 2023) to $322.4M (FY 2024) and $284.2M (FY 2025), while net income fell from $68.9M to $7.8M and $7.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 20%, operating margin 4%, and net margin 2.5%, with ROIC of 6.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.65 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5; the source reports debt of $0.0M for FY 2024 and cash rising to $56.2M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed:

  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Yahoo Finance item titled "Bear of the Day: MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)" is flagged as a risk watch item.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A MarketBeat item reports a consensus target price of $24.25 per analysts.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Stock Titan reports that results will be released before markets open, with a call at 8:30 a.m. EST on Nov. 10.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A MarketBeat item states the stock is "Reduce" rated by sell-side brokerages.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Stock Titan reports that merger shareholders can resell MCFT stock, with no sale proceeds going to the company.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A market profile item reports the shares slipped to $19.36 and traded within a defined range. This item's source attribution is malformed in the feed.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of revenue and the cause of the decline from $609.9M in FY 2023 to $284.2M in FY 2025?
  • What is the nature of the "merger shareholders can resell" disclosure, and what is the company's merger context?
  • What are the EPS figures, which are reported as N/A across all periods despite a TTM EPS of 0.29?
  • What is the debt position in FY 2025 and FY 2023, given that these values are N/A in the source?
  • What are the specifics of the Nov. 10 earnings release and what results or guidance are expected?

MCFT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MCFT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MCFT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.49?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MCFT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MCFT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $22.94 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MCFT (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $21.24?

Welcome to the MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (73.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.63 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $21.24

Pump the brakes on MCFT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MCFT, but look at what you are paying: 73.0x trailing P/E with 20.0% gross margins. Unless MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.49 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $21.24

MCFT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MCFT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.24 (52-wk range $17.19 - $28.44), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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