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Why MDB Stock dropped -6.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$330.43 -6.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $326.01

MongoDB Inc. (MDB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $28.43B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MDB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MongoDB Inc. (NASDAQ: MDB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $330.43 (-6.38% 1D, market cap $28.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MDB ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MDB compare to CRWV and RBLX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MDB carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.7%, and ROIC of -4.4%. By comparison, CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B) and RBLX (Roblox Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.5%, cap $30.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TWLO leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDB?
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Per MDB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001441816), MongoDB Inc. generated $2.46B in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$71.2M in net income, and $500.2M in free cash flow against $3.76B in total assets and $362.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $326.00 (-1.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 20.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$497 Bull$332 Base$259 Bear
📬 FREE MDB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MDB SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 23.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.3% FCF Margin ($500.2M FCF) & 71.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$356.29+9.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$390.75+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$393.44-16% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$330.43+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MDB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MDB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 69.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($380.51) or 200D SMA ($337.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($331.92) toward Bear Floor ($258.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDB• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MDB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MDB Stock dropped -6.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

MongoDB Inc. (MDB) dropped -6.38% to $330.43, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($215.68 – $473.1). Solid 71.7% gross margin (-4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($215.68 – $473.1) with RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $330.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 71.7% gross margin and $500.2M annual free cash flow.
Live MDB Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MDB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MDB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.84%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $385.0H $385.0L $330.4C $330.4VOL 1.62M
RES: $400.0SUP: $303.9SMA50: $380.5SMA200: $337.5
$488.3$425.3$362.2$299.1$236.0RES $400.0SUP $303.9$330.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDB)

Technology Rank #221 of 715 ⚔️ CRWV vs MDB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MDB vs. CRWV, RBLX, RBRK, TWLO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MongoDB Inc. (MDB) ranks #221 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #88 by equity capitalization ($28.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MDB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TWLO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. RBRK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with MDB at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MDB ACTIVE
MongoDB Inc.
C- 59/100 — 71.7% -4.4% -6.38% $28.43B Benchmark Subject
CRWV
CoreWeave Inc.
E 24/100 — 71.7% -0.2% -8.60% $30.26B /crwv-vs-mdb →
RBLX
Roblox Corporation
D- 37/100 — 78.1% -32.5% -0.26% $30.77B /rblx-vs-mdb →
RBRK
Rubrik Inc.
C 62/100 — 80.1% -12.3% -7.64% $25.74B /rbrk-vs-mdb →
TWLO
Twilio Inc.
C- 61/100 — 48.9% 1.6% +1.25% $31.49B /twlo-vs-mdb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001441816 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), MongoDB Inc. (MDB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.46B (+22.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.01B , and +46.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.2M, operating cash flow of $505.1M, and free cash flow of $500.2M (+314.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MDB closed FY2025 with $3.76B in total assets against $362.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 23.67, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $2.46B -$71.2M $505.1M $500.2M $3.76B $362.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $2.01B -$129.1M $150.2M $120.6M $3.43B $291.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $1.68B -$176.6M $121.5M $45.7M $17.06B $3.99B

3. MDB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MongoDB Inc. (NASDAQ: MDB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $330.43 (-6.38% 1D, market cap $28.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MDB ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MDB compare to CRWV and RBLX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MDB carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.7%, and ROIC of -4.4%. By comparison, CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B) and RBLX (Roblox Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.5%, cap $30.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TWLO leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDB?

Per MDB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001441816), MongoDB Inc. generated $2.46B in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$71.2M in net income, and $500.2M in free cash flow against $3.76B in total assets and $362.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MDB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDB last traded at $330.43 (-6.38% on volume of 1,394,147 shares), positioning the stock -13.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($380.51) and -2.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($337.45). Across its 52-week range of $215.68 to $473.10, MDB sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($289.13 to $371.73).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MDB — MongoDB Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MongoDB Inc. (MDB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $330.43 (-6.38% 1D, market capitalization $28.43B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.4%, gross margin of 71.7%, operating margin of -5.6%, and free cash flow yield of 1.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.25x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 23.67, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.11x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MongoDB Inc. (MDB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 71.7%, indicating a high-margin software revenue profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), MongoDB Inc. (MDB) reported $2.46B in annual revenue (up from $2.01B in FY2024, +22.8% YoY) and -$71.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.68B revenue, -$176.6M net income) through FY2025, MDB scaled operating cash flow to $505.1M and free cash flow to $500.2M, backed by $3.76B in total assets against $362.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.61% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $215.68 – $473.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -5.6% operating margins and a 1.25x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The sector classification (Technology, Prepackaged Software) is the only available context for sector-level ripple analysis.

  • Key Question #1: Can MDB sustain or expand its -5.6% operating margin and -4.4% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.46B and free cash flow of $500.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $362.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MDB's 32.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.25x)?

MDB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MongoDB Inc. (MDB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MDB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MDB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $330.43?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MDB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MDB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $441.20 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow rose to $500.2M in FY 2025 alongside a 23.67 Altman Z-Score and 0.11 Debt/Equity, indicating a strong balance sheet.

Don't sleep on MDB's setup in Technology. Free cash flow rose to $500.2M in FY 2025 alongside a 23.67 Altman Z-Score and 0.11 Debt/Equity, indicating a strong balance sheet.. Beta of 1.25 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (59/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.25 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $352.96 and keeping dry powder in case we test $328.25.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $282.37 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $352.96

ROIC is -4.4% with TTM EPS of -0.88 and a 1.25 beta, while the insider pillar scores only 10 of 20.

I respect the product at MongoDB Inc., but the stock at $352.96 is a different story. ROIC is -4.4% with TTM EPS of -0.88 and a 1.25 beta, while the insider pillar scores only 10 of 20.. FCF yield is 1.61% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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