ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / MDRR / forecast
NYC (37) LFT (37) GPMT (43) AHT (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$11.74 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.72

Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $19.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MDRR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MDRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Medalist Diversified Inc. (NASDAQ: MDRR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $11.74 (0.00% 1D, market cap $19.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MDRR ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MDRR compare to NYC and LFT in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), MDRR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.9M) and LFT (Lument Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $20.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDRR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDRR?
▼

Per MDRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001654595), Medalist Diversified Inc. generated $10.4M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $77.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.72 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (15)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$15 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE MDRR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MDRR SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.7% FCF Margin ($1.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$10.51+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$10.70-5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$10.11+16.1% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$11.74+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MDRR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MDRR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.15) or 200D SMA ($11.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.79) toward Bear Floor ($9.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDRR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MDRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MDRR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.74: 851.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.20
$7,836
$-2,164 (-21.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.79
$10,043
+$43 (+0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.25
$12,990
+$2,990 (+29.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MDRR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MDRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $10.51H $11.74L $10.51C $11.74VOL 10.3K
RES: $13.33SUP: $8.86SMA50: $11.15SMA200: $11.40
$13.26$12.23$11.20$10.17$9.14RES $13.33SUP $8.86$11.742026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MDRR Butterfly Map → + Track MDRR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDRR)

Financials Rank #439 of 1097 ⚔️ NYC vs MDRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MDRR vs. NYC, LFT, GPMT, AHT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) ranks #439 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #1058 by equity capitalization ($19.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MDRR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MDRR ACTIVE
Medalist Diversified Inc.
C- 59/100 — — 6.4% 0.00% $19.1M Benchmark Subject
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — 5.5% -0.08% $18.9M /nyc-vs-mdrr →
LFT
Lument Finance Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -1.3% +1.55% $20.3M /lft-vs-mdrr →
GPMT
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -7.4% +3.04% $20.6M /gpmt-vs-mdrr →
AHT
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D- 41/100 — — 85.0% -0.78% $16.6M /aht-vs-mdrr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001654595 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) reported GAAP revenue of $10.4M (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.7M , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (-14.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MDRR closed FY2025 with $77.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.4M -$2.4M $1.5M $1.5M $77.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.7M $27.5K $1.8M $1.8M $75.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.3M -$4.6M $104.0K $104.0K — —

3. MDRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Medalist Diversified Inc. (NASDAQ: MDRR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $11.74 (0.00% 1D, market cap $19.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MDRR ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MDRR compare to NYC and LFT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), MDRR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.9M) and LFT (Lument Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $20.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDRR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDRR?

Per MDRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001654595), Medalist Diversified Inc. generated $10.4M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $77.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MDRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDRR last traded at $11.74 (0.00% on volume of 746 shares), positioning the stock +5.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.15) and +2.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.40). Across its 52-week range of $9.46 to $14.52, MDRR sits at the 45.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.27 to $13.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: MDRR RQD Cockpit MDRR 12M Forecast MDRR Earnings & Move MDRR Dividends & DRIP MDRR Insiders & 13F MDRR Whale Options MDRR Profit Sankey MDRR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MDRR — Medalist Diversified Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $11.74 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $19.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.3%, and free cash flow yield of 8.94%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (MDRR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details are — The reported revenue figures ($10.4M for FY 2025) indicate an operating scale in the low double-digit millions.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) reported $10.4M in annual revenue (up from $9.7M in FY2024, +6.8% YoY) and -$2.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.3M revenue, -$4.6M net income) through FY2025, MDRR scaled operating cash flow to $1.5M and free cash flow to $1.5M, backed by $77.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.94% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.46 – $14.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 26.4x EV/EBITDA against 5.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), MDRR carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can MDRR sustain or expand its 5.3% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.4M and free cash flow of $1.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MDRR's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MDRR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Medalist Diversified Inc. (MDRR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MDRR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MDRR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.74?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MDRR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MDRR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.79 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 8.94% FCF yield and positive FY 2025 operating income of $0.5M give a cash-generation case that could support the stock if it persi

Long MDRR at $11.74 targeting $14.79. The 8.94% FCF yield and positive FY 2025 operating income of $0.5M give a cash-generation case that could support the stock if it persists.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.46 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MDRR's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.51 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $11.74

The RQD sell verdict, net margin of -23%, Piotroski F 4/9, and institutional flow score of 6/20 point to weak fundamentals and distribu

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MDRR: The RQD sell verdict, net margin of -23%, Piotroski F 4/9, and institutional flow score of 6/20 point to weak fundamentals and distribution pressure.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%