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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MGRC / insiders
ABM (64) VVX (66) CTOS (61) KFY (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$118.28 -1.10% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $117.82

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.91B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MGRC Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, McGrath RentCorp (NASDAQ: MGRC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $118.28 (-1.10% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGRC ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGRC compare to ABM and VVX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), MGRC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ABM (ABM Industries Incorporated) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $3.16B) and VVX (V2X Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while KFY leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGRC?
β–Ό

Per MGRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000752714), McGrath RentCorp generated $944.2M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $156.3M in net income, and $211.3M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $117.82 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 22.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C-
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$146 Bull$124 Base$96 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MGRC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MGRC SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.4% FCF Margin ($211.3M FCF) & 48.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.1) create a -8 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$112.88-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$112.30+5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$118.51-0.2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$118.28+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MGRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, MGRC faces multiple-compression risk if 18.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.81) or 200D SMA ($114.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($123.60) toward Bear Floor ($96.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGRCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMGRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MGRC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MGRC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MGRC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MGRC Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
MGRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.11%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $118.8H $119.6L $118.3C $118.3VOL 310.4K
RES: $122.9SUP: $112.3SMA50: $113.8SMA200: $114.0
$127.3$121.2$115.2$109.2$103.1RES $122.9SUP $112.3$118.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MGRC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MGRC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGRC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #184 of 1011 βš”οΈ ABM vs MGRC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGRC vs. ABM, VVX, CTOS, KFY)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #367 by equity capitalization ($2.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while KFY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. KFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with MGRC at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGRC ACTIVE
McGrath RentCorp
C+ 68/100 18.6x 48.2% 15.6% -1.10% $2.91B Benchmark Subject
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
C 64/100 19.5x 12.3% 7.6% -0.83% $3.16B /abm-vs-mgrc β†’
VVX
V2X Inc.
C+ 66/100 32.4x 8.3% 7.1% -0.19% $2.52B /vvx-vs-mgrc β†’
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source Inc.
C- 61/100 β€” 28.5% 4.1% -2.93% $2.48B /ctos-vs-mgrc β†’
KFY
Korn Ferry
B 75/100 14.8x β€” 20.2% +0.83% $4.14B /kfy-vs-mgrc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000752714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) reported GAAP revenue of $944.2M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $910.9M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $156.3M, operating cash flow of $255.7M, and free cash flow of $211.3M (-36.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGRC closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.96, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $944.2M $156.3M $255.7M $211.3M $2.36B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $910.9M $231.7M $374.4M $334.1M $2.28B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $831.8M $174.6M $95.3M $95.3M β€” β€”

3. MGRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, McGrath RentCorp (NASDAQ: MGRC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $118.28 (-1.10% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGRC ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGRC compare to ABM and VVX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), MGRC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ABM (ABM Industries Incorporated) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $3.16B) and VVX (V2X Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while KFY leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGRC?

Per MGRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000752714), McGrath RentCorp generated $944.2M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $156.3M in net income, and $211.3M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGRC last traded at $118.28 (-1.10% on volume of 169,616 shares), positioning the stock +3.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($113.81) and +3.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($114.03). Across its 52-week range of $94.99 to $125.83, MGRC sits at the 75.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.1% ($112.25 to $124.31).

MGRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are MGRC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MGRC leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: MGRC RQD Cockpit MGRC 12M Forecast MGRC Earnings & Move MGRC Dividends & DRIP MGRC Insiders & 13F MGRC Whale Options MGRC Profit Sankey MGRC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 68/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGRC β€” McGrath RentCorp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGRC scores 68 out of 100, a C+ grade labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 15.6%; FCF yield 7.25%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 2.96; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the weakest are macro regime fit and balance sheet, each at 12 of 20. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash-generation and insider-flow pillars, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at 18.6x trailing earnings and 10.4x EV/EBITDA against a 7.25% FCF yield. The rating's "watch for breakout" framing implies the company has not yet shown a decisive move in either direction, so the grade reflects a balanced rather than a directional setup.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price119.6
Market Cap$2.91B
P/E (TTM)18.6
Forward P/E17.3
EV/EBITDA10.4
EPS (TTM)6.42
Dividend Yield1.64%
Beta1.0
52-Wk Range$94.99 - $125.83
ROIC %15.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings call (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Seeking Alpha item references a 2026 Q3 results and earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-30.
  • Revenue outlook cut (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Stock Titan item reports a lowered revenue outlook and expected $270M–$290M in rental equipment spending.
  • Post-earnings reaction (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Simply Wall St item headlines the stock as shrugging off Q3 earnings strength.
  • Strong one-year move (GREEN, CATALYST): A Yahoo Finance item headlines a 67% gain, framed as the stock looking about right after that rally.
  • Other wire items (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Yahoo! Finance Canada and TradingView items cover market action and estimates without specific fundamental detail in the source.

Butterfly supply-chain graph: sector Consumer Discretionary, industry Diversified Commercial Services, supply chain NONE, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Risk watch items drawn from the feed are the lowered revenue outlook and the post-earnings reaction. Catalyst items are the 67% gain headline and the rental equipment spending guidance.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's customer segments and revenue mix behind the $944.2M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • Why did net income decline from $231.7M to $156.3M while operating income was roughly flat, and what drove the gap?
  • What is the reported EPS, total debt, and cash balance for each period, given that several fields are missing from the financials?
  • Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the 13/20 whale-flow and 16/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What are the specific drivers behind the lowered revenue outlook and the $270M–$290M rental equipment spending expectation?

MGRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MGRC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $118.28?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGRC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGRC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $129.17 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MGRC (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100) a Buy at $119.60?

Welcome to the MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $90.90 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $119.60

Pump the brakes on MGRC β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MGRC, but look at what you are paying: 18.6x trailing P/E with 48.2% gross margins. Unless McGrath RentCorp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $139.93 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $119.60

MGRC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MGRC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $119.60 (52-wk range $94.99 - $125.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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