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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / MKC / earnings
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McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$47.29 +1.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.29

McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $12.59B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MKC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MKC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, McCormick & Company Incorporated (NYSE: MKC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $47.29 (+1.05% 1D, market cap $12.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MKC ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MKC compare to SJM and GIS in the Consumer Staples sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MKC carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $13.49B) and GIS (General Mills Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.8%, cap $17.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKC leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while MKC leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKC?
▼

Per MKC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000063754), McCormick & Company Incorporated generated $6.84B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $789.4M in net income, and $654.4M in free cash flow against $13.20B in total assets and $3.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.29 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$76 Bull$48 Base$38 Bear
📬 FREE MKC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MKC SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.12 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$44.64+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$47.55-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$47.48-0.4% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$47.29+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, MKC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.72) or 200D SMA ($53.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.14) toward Bear Floor ($37.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MKC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 29, 2026 (~26 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$2.46 Expected Swing
$44.83 (-5.2%)Spot $47.29$49.75 (+5.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MKC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $2.93 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.7%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-11-30$6.84B$789.4M$654.4M37.9%
FY 20242024-11-30$6.72B$788.5M$619.3M38.5%
FY 20232023-11-30$6.66B$680.6M$937.5M37.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MKC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MKC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MKC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.52%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $46.06H $47.29L $46.06C $47.29VOL 2.35M
RES: $48.54SUP: $40.42SMA50: $48.72SMA200: $53.14
$66.13$59.93$53.73$47.53$41.33RES $48.54SUP $40.42$47.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MKC Butterfly Map → + Track MKC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKC)

Consumer Staples Rank #36 of 146 ⚔️ SJM vs MKC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MKC vs. SJM, GIS, DAR, BG)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) ranks #36 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #28 by equity capitalization ($12.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKC leads on earnings valuation at 16.0x trailing P/E, while MKC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and 37.9% gross margin. MKC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MKC ACTIVE
McCormick & Company Incorporated
C 62/100 16.0x 37.9% 9.7% +1.05% $12.59B Benchmark Subject
SJM
The J.M. Smucker Company
D+ 55/100 — 33.5% 2.8% +2.88% $13.49B /sjm-vs-mkc →
GIS
General Mills Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 33.6% 3.8% +2.91% $17.82B /gis-vs-mkc →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% +1.05% $8.70B /dar-vs-mkc →
BG
Bunge Limited
E 32/100 22.6x 20.1% 3.3% +0.65% $18.45B /bg-vs-mkc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000063754

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.84B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.72B , and +2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $789.4M, operating cash flow of $962.2M, and free cash flow of $654.4M (+5.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKC closed FY2025 with $13.20B in total assets against $3.11B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-30 $6.84B $789.4M $962.2M $654.4M $13.20B $3.11B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-30 $6.72B $788.5M $921.9M $619.3M $13.07B $3.59B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $6.66B $680.6M $1.24B $937.5M $7.99B $1.87B

3. MKC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, McCormick & Company Incorporated (NYSE: MKC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $47.29 (+1.05% 1D, market cap $12.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MKC ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MKC compare to SJM and GIS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MKC carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $13.49B) and GIS (General Mills Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.8%, cap $17.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKC leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while MKC leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKC?

Per MKC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000063754), McCormick & Company Incorporated generated $6.84B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $789.4M in net income, and $654.4M in free cash flow against $13.20B in total assets and $3.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MKC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKC last traded at $47.29 (+1.05% on volume of 4,298,954 shares), positioning the stock -2.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.72) and -11.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.14). Across its 52-week range of $43.25 to $72.41, MKC sits at the 13.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($44.83 to $49.75).

MKC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MKC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 29, 2026.

How much is MKC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for MKC, spanning a range between $44.83 and $49.75.

Direct Sub-Reports: MKC RQD Cockpit MKC 12M Forecast MKC Earnings & Move MKC Dividends & DRIP MKC Insiders & 13F MKC Whale Options MKC Profit Sankey MKC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MKC — McCormick & Company Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MKC scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.7% and an FCF yield of 5.2%. Returns on capital and cash generation are present but not exceptional relative to the 20-point maximum.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar, indicating limited evidence of large-holder accumulation in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity. Market-level swings are expected to move the stock roughly in line with the broader market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.12, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the insider-conviction pillar and a balance sheet that the RQD rating scores as reasonably sound. The valuation tradeoff is that the 13 / 20 cash-engine score and the 7 / 20 institutional-flow score temper enthusiasm: cash generation and institutional support are not strong enough to make the stock stand out. The RQD verdict of "Hold" reflects this balance of constructive and cautious signals. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
46.8$12.59B1614.911.72.933.84%1.05$43.25 - $72.419.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$6840.3M$1070.8M$789.4MN/A$654.4M$95.9M$3105.8M
FY 2024$6723.7M$1060.3M$788.5MN/A$619.3M$186.1M$3593.6M
FY 2023$6662.2M$963.0M$680.6MN/A$937.5MN/A$1870.7M

Per the market data, gross margin is 37.9%, operating margin 15.7%, and net margin 11.5%, with ROIC at 9.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.12 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. Reported debt fell from $3593.6M in FY 2024 to $3105.8M in FY 2025, while cash fell from $186.1M to $95.9M over the same period. Per the financials, FCF declined from $937.5M in FY 2023 to $654.4M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific revenue drivers and customer concentration, given that the source data provides only sector classification?
  • Why did FCF decline from $937.5M in FY 2023 to $654.4M in FY 2025, and what drove the change?
  • What explains the drop in reported cash from $186.1M to $95.9M alongside the reduction in debt?
  • Which institutional holders or insiders drove the insider-conviction pillar, and what is the size and direction of their positions?
  • What specific catalysts, if any, underlie the 3.7% share gain referenced in the news wire?

MKC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MKC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MKC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.29?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MKC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MKC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $50.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MKC (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $46.80?

Welcome to the MKC (McCormick & Company Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.44 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $46.80

Pump the brakes on MKC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MKC, but look at what you are paying: 16.0x trailing P/E with 37.9% gross margins. Unless McCormick & Company Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.56 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $46.80

MKC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MKC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $46.80 (52-wk range $43.25 - $72.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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