MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±1.8% Move

$165.30 +0.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.77

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 28% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $5.82B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MKTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MKTX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $165.30 (+0.23% 1D, market cap $5.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MKTX ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MKTX compare to GLXY and SNEX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MKTX carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.4%. By comparison, GLXY (Galaxy Digital Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $6.25B) and SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTX?
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Per MKTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001278021), MarketAxess Holdings Inc. generated $846.3M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $246.9M in net income, and $373.9M in free cash flow against $1.93B in total assets and $349.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.76 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 44.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 83/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510083
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk A-
Cash (18)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (18)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.3% Base Target
$217 Bull$184 Base$136 Bear
📬 FREE MKTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (83/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MKTX SCORES 83/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 44.2% FCF Margin ($373.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 5 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$164.50-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$164.26+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
80
Grade A-$164.82+0.3% Next Q
Current
83
Grade A-$165.30+8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → A- (83)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKTX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 83/100 (A-) score, MKTX faces multiple-compression risk if 23.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($163.94) or 200D SMA ($155.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($183.90) toward Bear Floor ($135.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MKTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±1.8% Swing Band

±$2.98 Expected Swing
$162.32 (-1.8%)Spot $165.30$168.28 (+1.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MKTX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 83/100

Trailing EPS: $7.02 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.6%

Model Bullish Setup (83/100)Model Risk Weight (17/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$846.3M$246.9M$373.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$817.1M$274.2M$375.3M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$752.5M$258.1M$299.9M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MKTX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MKTX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MKTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.72%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $164.9H $165.3L $164.9C $165.3VOL 931.1K
RES: $165.5SUP: $164.8SMA50: $163.9SMA200: $155.2
$181.5$161.8$142.1$122.4$102.6RES $165.5SUP $164.8$165.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKTX)

Financials Rank #3 of 1096 ⚔️ GLXY vs MKTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MKTX vs. GLXY, SNEX, BGC, MRX)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) ranks #3 by composite RQD confidence (83/100, grade A-) and #249 by equity capitalization ($5.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNEX leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 83/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MKTX ACTIVE
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 83/100 23.5x — 28.4% +0.23% $5.82B Benchmark Subject
GLXY
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 25/100 — — -5.5% -11.75% $6.25B /glxy-vs-mktx →
SNEX
StoneX Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 21.7x — 1.5% -3.81% $6.37B /snex-vs-mktx →
BGC
BGC Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 36.3x — 15.1% -1.66% $5.24B /bgc-vs-mktx →
MRX
Marex Group Limited
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.98% $4.77B /mrx-vs-mktx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001278021

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) reported GAAP revenue of $846.3M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $817.1M , and +12.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $246.9M, operating cash flow of $382.1M, and free cash flow of $373.9M (-0.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKTX closed FY2025 with $1.93B in total assets against $349.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $846.3M $246.9M $382.1M $373.9M $1.93B $349.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $817.1M $274.2M $385.2M $375.3M $1.79B $180.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $752.5M $258.1M $333.8M $299.9M $3.19B $747.0M

3. MKTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MKTX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $165.30 (+0.23% 1D, market cap $5.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MKTX ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MKTX compare to GLXY and SNEX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MKTX carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.4%. By comparison, GLXY (Galaxy Digital Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $6.25B) and SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTX?

Per MKTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001278021), MarketAxess Holdings Inc. generated $846.3M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $246.9M in net income, and $373.9M in free cash flow against $1.93B in total assets and $349.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MKTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKTX last traded at $165.30 (+0.23% on volume of 931,120 shares), positioning the stock +0.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($163.94) and +6.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($155.18). Across its 52-week range of $108.75 to $195.97, MKTX sits at the 64.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($162.32 to $168.28).

MKTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MKTX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MKTX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±1.8% event move for MKTX, spanning a range between $162.32 and $168.28.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 83/100 (A-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MKTX — MarketAxess Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MKTX carries an RQD score of 82 and a letter grade of A-, labeled "Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 28.4% and an FCF yield of 6.44%. For an investor, this points to strong capital efficiency and a cash-generating model, which is the primary upside driver in the rating.
  • Whale 13F Flow (14/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is the weakest of the five, and the source data does not provide the underlying 13F holdings detail, so the score cannot be traced to specific holders.
  • Insider Conviction (17/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (18/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.02 and sector sensitivity. A beta near 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved roughly in line with the broader market, which is a moderate rather than amplified exposure to market swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These point to a reasonably sound balance sheet, though not a flawless one.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 23.5 and an EV/EBITDA of 16.1, so the high ROIC is being priced into the multiple. A prospective investor should weigh whether the 6.44% FCF yield and cash-generation strength justify that valuation, particularly given the 52-week range of $108.75 to $195.97 and the recent margin pressure noted in the news wire. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
164.92$5.8B23.521.916.17.020%1.02$108.75 - $195.9728.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$846.3M$341.8M$246.9MN/A$373.9M$519.7M$349.5M
FY 2024$817.1M$340.9M$274.2MN/A$375.3M$544.5M$180.3M
FY 2023$752.5M$315.0M$258.1MN/A$299.9MN/A$747.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $752.5M (FY 2023) to $846.3M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $274.2M (FY 2024) to $246.9M (FY 2025). Per the market data, the operating margin is 40.4% and the net margin is 29.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 28.4%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt rose from $180.3M (FY 2024) to $349.5M (FY 2025) per the SEC financials, against cash of $519.7M, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, several headlines cover MKTX, with mixed signals:

  • Margin pressure: A Globe and Mail headline cites "modest Q3 growth amid margin pressure" (flagged as a CATALYST).
  • Earnings miss: A TradingView headline reports sales below analyst estimates in Q3 2026 earnings.
  • Buyout framing: A Yahoo Finance headline frames the stock as moving "from Q2 detractor to buyout target at $167 per share."
  • Insider activity: A MarketBeat headline reports a General Counsel sale of 100 shares.
  • Macro volatility: A Simply Wall St headline ties the stock to Fed-driven trading volatility.

Risk watch items: the Q3 sales miss and margin pressure are the most direct fundamental risks in the wire. The buyout headline is unverified in the source data beyond its title. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is classified as NONE, and there are no butterfly links or proprietary signals in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What drove the Q3 sales shortfall versus analyst estimates, and how much of the margin pressure is structural versus temporary?
  • What is the source and status of the reported $167 per share buyout reference, and is it confirmed?
  • Why did net income decline in FY 2025 while revenue and operating income rose, and what explains the increase in debt to $349.5M?
  • What specific 13F and insider transactions underpin the 14/20 whale-flow and 17/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the company's product mix and customer base, given the source data classifies the business only at the sector and industry level?

MKTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MKTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MKTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $165.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MKTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MKTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $194.61 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MKTX (A- • RQD 82/100) a Buy at $164.92?

Welcome to the MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 82/100 (Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $125.34 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $164.92

Pump the brakes on MKTX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MKTX, but look at what you are paying: 23.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MarketAxess Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $192.96 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $164.92

MKTX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MKTX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $164.92 (52-wk range $108.75 - $195.97), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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