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Why MMSI Stock dropped -2.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$84.31 -2.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.81

Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MMSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Merit Medical Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MMSI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $84.31 (-2.24% 1D, market cap $5.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MMSI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MMSI compare to MMED and HTFL in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), MMSI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.4x, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, MMED (MiniMed Group Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.9%, cap $5.14B) and HTFL (Heartflow Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $5.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MMSI leads on earnings multiple (43.4x) while HAE leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MMSI?
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Per MMSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000856982), Merit Medical Systems Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $128.5M in net income, and $215.7M in free cash flow against $2.69B in total assets and $734.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.81 (-0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 14.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (11)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$104 Bull$88 Base$69 Bear
📬 FREE MMSI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MMSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MMSI SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.2% FCF Margin ($215.7M FCF) & 48.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$87.16+4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$91.40+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$92.21-8.6% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$84.31+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MMSI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, MMSI faces multiple-compression risk if 43.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 46.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($88.62) or 200D SMA ($77.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.10) toward Bear Floor ($68.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MMSI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MMSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MMSI Stock dropped -2.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) dropped -2.24% to $84.31, trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($59.74 – $94.85). Solid 48.7% gross margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 43x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($59.74 – $94.85) with RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $84.31 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 48.7% gross margin and $215.7M annual free cash flow.
Live MMSI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MMSI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MMSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.96%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $93.39H $93.39L $84.31C $84.31VOL 1.80M
RES: $95.21SUP: $84.69SMA50: $88.62SMA200: $77.09
$97.31$87.13$76.94$66.76$56.58RES $95.21SUP $84.69$84.312026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MMSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
32.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MMSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MMSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MMSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MMSI)

Health Care Rank #92 of 1015 ⚔️ MMED vs MMSI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MMSI vs. MMED, HTFL, STVN, HAE)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #157 by equity capitalization ($5.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MMSI leads on earnings valuation at 43.4x trailing P/E, while HAE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 59.0% gross margin. HAE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with MMSI at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MMSI ACTIVE
Merit Medical Systems Inc.
C+ 68/100 43.4x 48.7% 7.8% -2.24% $5.17B Benchmark Subject
MMED
MiniMed Group Inc.
D 44/100 — 54.2% -3.9% +3.39% $5.14B /mmed-vs-mmsi →
HTFL
Heartflow Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 76.8% -12.0% -7.72% $5.13B /htfl-vs-mmsi →
STVN
Stevanato Group S.p.A.
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.86% $5.29B /stvn-vs-mmsi →
HAE
Haemonetics Corporation
B 74/100 — 59.0% 8.4% +0.41% $5.44B /hae-vs-mmsi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000856982 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +20.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $128.5M, operating cash flow of $297.4M, and free cash flow of $215.7M (+16.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MMSI closed FY2025 with $2.69B in total assets against $734.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.62, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.52B $128.5M $297.4M $215.7M $2.69B $734.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $120.4M $220.8M $185.7M $2.42B $729.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.26B $94.4M $145.2M $88.6M $3.07B $717.7M

3. MMSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MMSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Merit Medical Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MMSI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $84.31 (-2.24% 1D, market cap $5.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MMSI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MMSI compare to MMED and HTFL in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), MMSI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.4x, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, MMED (MiniMed Group Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.9%, cap $5.14B) and HTFL (Heartflow Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $5.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MMSI leads on earnings multiple (43.4x) while HAE leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MMSI?

Per MMSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000856982), Merit Medical Systems Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $128.5M in net income, and $215.7M in free cash flow against $2.69B in total assets and $734.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MMSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MMSI last traded at $84.31 (-2.24% on volume of 1,203,845 shares), positioning the stock -4.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($88.62) and +9.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.09). Across its 52-week range of $59.74 to $94.85, MMSI sits at the 70.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($79.00 to $89.62).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MMSI — Merit Medical Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $84.31 (-2.24% 1D, market capitalization $5.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.8%, gross margin of 48.7%, operating margin of 12.2%, and free cash flow yield of 3.87%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.62, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.46x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Merit Medical Systems Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue-generation mechanics are — The profile section confirms only sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization of $5.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) reported $1.52B in annual revenue (up from $1.36B in FY2024, +11.8% YoY) and $128.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.26B revenue, $94.4M net income) through FY2025, MMSI scaled operating cash flow to $297.4M and free cash flow to $215.7M, backed by $2.69B in total assets against $734.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (48.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $59.74 – $94.85 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 43.4x trailing P/E and 23.1x EV/EBITDA against 12.2% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can MMSI sustain or expand its 12.2% operating margin and 7.8% ROIC against Medical/Dental Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.52B and free cash flow of $215.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $734.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MMSI's 40.4x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

MMSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Merit Medical Systems Inc. (MMSI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MMSI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MMSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $84.31?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MMSI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MMSI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.49 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 18/20 on Altman Z 4.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.46.

Long MMSI at $86.24 targeting $103.49. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 18/20 on Altman Z 4.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.46.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $59.74 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MMSI's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.27 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $86.24

At a P/E (TTM) of 43.4 and ROIC of 7.8%, the stock prices in substantial future earnings growth relative to its current returns.

I respect the product at Merit Medical Systems Inc., but the stock at $86.24 is a different story. At a P/E (TTM) of 43.4 and ROIC of 7.8%, the stock prices in substantial future earnings growth relative to its current returns.. FCF yield is 3.87% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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