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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MOGU / financials
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MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.97 +4.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98

MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MOGU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (NYSE: MOGU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+4.23% 1D, market cap $15.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MOGU ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MOGU compare to MNY and XHLD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), MOGU carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.1x, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MNY (MoneyHero Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $24.0M) and XHLD (TEN Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOGU leads on earnings multiple (58.1x) while TC leads on capital efficiency (-20.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOGU?
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Per MOGU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001743971), MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) generated $18.2M in revenue (-6.6% YoY), $266.0K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98 (+0.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MOGU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOGU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MOGU SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 28.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.86+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$1.94+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$1.97+0% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.97-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MOGU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MOGU currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.89) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOGU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MOGU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MOGU Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$18.2MGross Profit $5.2M (28.6%)Cost of Sales $13.0MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $5.2MNet Profit$266.0K (1.5%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $22.2M
FY24
Rev $19.5M
FY25
Rev $18.2M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$18.2M28.6%-57.6%$266.0K-$7.5M15%
FY 2024$19.5M40%-71.6%-$8.6M-$10.7M15%
FY 2023$22.2M28.6%-49.4%-$8.2M-$5.6M15%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MOGU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MOGU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MOGU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.97%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.89H $1.97L $1.89C $1.97VOL 13.0K
RES: $2.52SUP: $1.50SMA50: $1.89SMA200: $2.10
$2.67$2.29$1.91$1.53$1.15RES $2.52SUP $1.50$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOGU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MOGU Butterfly Map → + Track MOGU →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
40.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOGU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOGU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOGU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOGU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #761 of 1011 ⚔️ MNY vs MOGU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MOGU vs. MNY, XHLD, FTFT, TC)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) ranks #761 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #897 by equity capitalization ($15.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MOGU leads on earnings valuation at 58.1x trailing P/E, while TC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MNY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with MOGU at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MOGU ACTIVE
MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A)
D- 38/100 58.1x 28.6% — +4.23% $15.5M Benchmark Subject
MNY
MoneyHero Limited (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — +5.93% $24.0M /mny-vs-mogu →
XHLD
TEN Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 78.6% -35.0% +3.13% $9.5M /xhld-vs-mogu →
FTFT
Future FinTech Group Inc.
E 31/100 — 10.7% -35.0% +12.67% $25.3M /ftft-vs-mogu →
TC
Token Cat Limited
E 25/100 90.8x — -20.6% -6.35% $26.7M /tc-vs-mogu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001743971 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) reported GAAP revenue of $18.2M (-6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.5M , and -18.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $266.0K, operating cash flow of -$6.9M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOGU closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $18.2M $266.0K -$6.9M -$7.5M — —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $19.5M -$8.6M -$9.4M -$10.7M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $22.2M -$8.2M -$5.6M -$5.6M — —

3. MOGU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOGU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (NYSE: MOGU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+4.23% 1D, market cap $15.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MOGU ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MOGU compare to MNY and XHLD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), MOGU carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.1x, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MNY (MoneyHero Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $24.0M) and XHLD (TEN Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOGU leads on earnings multiple (58.1x) while TC leads on capital efficiency (-20.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOGU?

Per MOGU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001743971), MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) generated $18.2M in revenue (-6.6% YoY), $266.0K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MOGU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOGU last traded at $1.97 (+4.23% on volume of 10,319 shares), positioning the stock +4.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.89) and -6.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.10). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $3.11, MOGU sits at the 38.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.72 to $2.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: MOGU RQD Cockpit MOGU 12M Forecast MOGU Earnings & Move MOGU Dividends & DRIP MOGU Insiders & 13F MOGU Whale Options MOGU Profit Sankey MOGU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MOGU — MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.97 (+4.23% 1D, market capitalization $15.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 28.6%, operating margin of -57.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Business Services industry..0B, while the market data section reports $15.5M. — describes its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) reported $18.2M in annual revenue (up from $19.5M in FY2024, -6.6% YoY) and $266.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.2M revenue, -$8.2M net income) through FY2025, MOGU scaled operating cash flow to -$6.9M and free cash flow to -$7.5M, backed by $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.27 – $3.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 58.1x trailing P/E against -57.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can MOGU sustain or expand its -57.6% operating margin and — ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.2M and free cash flow of -$7.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MOGU's 54.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MOGU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MOGU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MOGU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MOGU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MOGU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.21 (+16.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 10 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.5, and the reported FY 2025 net income of $0.3M is positive.

The street is overcomplicating MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A) (MOGU). Forensic balance sheet scores 10 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.5, and the reported FY 2025 net income of $0.3M is positive.. With an RQD score of 38/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.04.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 58.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Business Services. If gross margin (28.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $1.89

Operating income was negative in every reported period, with operating margin at -57.6% and ROIC at 0%.

I respect the product at MOGU Inc. (each representing 25 ) (Class A), but the stock at $1.89 is a different story. Operating income was negative in every reported period, with operating margin at -57.6% and ROIC at 0%.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 38/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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