Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.39 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).
Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.7% FCF Margin ($98.8M FCF) & 37.8% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MOMO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.93) or 200D SMA ($5.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.39) toward Bear Floor ($3.42).
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) slipped -1.13% to $4.39, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.36 – $7.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Stock Titan report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOMO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOMO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) ranks #265 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #398 by equity capitalization ($656.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MOMO at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOMO
ACTIVE
Hello Group Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | 37.8% | 18.6% | -1.13% | $656.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 8.2x | 79.8% | 24.2% | -0.93% | $690.7M | /ccsi-vs-momo → |
| VTEX VTEX (Class A) | C+ | 66/100 | 34.8x | 77.5% | 6.6% | -1.24% | $697.2M | /vtex-vs-momo → |
| CGNT Cognyte Software Ltd. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 72.4% | 11.7% | -2.86% | $723.5M | /cgnt-vs-momo → |
| DCBO Docebo Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.68% | $735.2M | /dcbo-vs-momo → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and -12.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $169.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOMO closed FY2025 with $1.97B in total assets against $448.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.48B | $0 | $169.2M | $98.8M | $1.97B | $448.0K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.45B | $0 | $224.7M | $185.6M | $2.52B | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.69B | $0 | $320.7M | $320.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.39 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).
Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MOMO last traded at $4.39 (-1.13% on volume of 576,256 shares), positioning the stock -10.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.93) and -24.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.81). Across its 52-week range of $4.36 to $7.25, MOMO sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($4.17 to $4.61).
Why MOMO Stock slipped -1.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MOMO receives an RQD Score of 58, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:
Investor implications: the rating's upside case rests on cash generation and balance-sheet strength, with a 15.05% FCF yield implying that cash flow is large relative to market value at the $4.44 price. The downside case rests on the near-zero Whale 13F Flow score, the absence of analyst coverage, and zero reported net margin, which together suggest limited institutional conviction and weak bottom-line profitability. The rating's Sell verdict signals that these weaknesses outweigh the cash-engine strengths on the rating's own weighting. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. This section is analytical and educational, not personalized financial advice.
Hello Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, per the profile section. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1482.5M. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Not available in source data for the specific monetization mechanics.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1482.5M | $193.7M | $0.0M | N/A | $98.8M | $760.8M | $0.4M |
| FY 2024 | $1447.1M | $210.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $185.6M | $564.8M | $0.0M |
| FY 2023 | $1690.5M | $324.7M | $0.0M | N/A | $320.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income declined from $324.7M in FY 2023 to $210.0M in FY 2024 and $193.7M in FY 2025, while FCF fell from $320.7M to $185.6M to $98.8M over the same span. Reported net income is $0.0M in every period shown. Per the market data, gross margin is 37.8%, operating margin 13.1%, and net margin 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 18.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 3.49, and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9. Cash rose to $760.8M against debt of $0.4M in FY 2025, per the SEC financials, indicating a low-leverage balance sheet.
Per the recent news and catalysts section, the stream contains six items, each tagged YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE impact label:
Risk watch items: the penny-stock framing in several headlines is a classification the source data does not substantiate with its own valuation inputs, and the Q2 2026 results content is not available in the provided text. Proprietary signals from the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: none are listed.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. The graph therefore identifies no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations beyond the Technology / Prepackaged Software classification, and no 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should treat the ripple analysis as not available in source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stock Titan report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the MOMO (Hello Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MOMO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 37.8% gross margins. Unless Hello Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MOMO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.44 (52-wk range $4.36 - $7.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).