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Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.29 +0.17% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29

Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $46.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Mereo BioPharma Group plc (NASDAQ: MREO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.29 (+0.17% 1D, market cap $46.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MREO ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MREO compare to BMEA and ATNM in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MREO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BMEA (Biomea Fusion Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.4M) and ATNM (Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Delaware)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MREO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MREO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MREO?
β–Ό

Per MREO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001719714), Mereo BioPharma Group plc generated $500.0K in revenue (-99.6% YoY), $41.9M in net income, and -$31.0M in free cash flow against $45.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MREO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MREO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MREO SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$0.32-9.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$0.29+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$0.29+0% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$0.29-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MREO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MREO currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.31) and Max Pain ($0.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.49.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MREOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMREO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How MREO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.0MGross Profit $520.0K (52%)Cost of Sales $480.0KOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $520.0KNet Profit$41.9M (4187.8%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $10.0M
FY24
Rev $132.6M
FY25
Rev $500.0K
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$500.0K52%-80%$41.9M-$31.0M-45%
FY 2024$132.6M52%-35.7%$43.3M-$32.8M-45%
FY 2023$10.0M52%-80%$29.5M-$21.1M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MREO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MREO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MREO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.00%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $0.30H $0.30L $0.29C $0.29VOL 543.7K
RES: $0.45SUP: $0.23SMA50: $0.31SMA200: $0.33
$1.30$1.01$0.71$0.42$0.13RES $0.45SUP $0.23$0.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MREO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -99.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MREO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MREO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MREO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MREO)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MREO vs. BMEA, ATNM, ELTX, HOWL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) ranks #541 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #757 by equity capitalization ($46.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MREO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MREO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ATNM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with MREO at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MREO ACTIVE
Mereo BioPharma Group plc
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.17% $46.2M Benchmark Subject
BMEA
Biomea Fusion Inc.
E 30/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +3.19% $46.4M /bmea-vs-mreo β†’
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Delaware)
D- 43/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.38% $46.5M /atnm-vs-mreo β†’
ELTX
Elicio Therapeutics Inc.
E 28/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -5.36% $45.5M /eltx-vs-mreo β†’
HOWL
Werewolf Therapeutics Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +6.48% $47.9M /howl-vs-mreo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001719714 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) reported GAAP revenue of $500.0K (-99.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $132.6M , and -95.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.9M, operating cash flow of -$31.0M, and free cash flow of -$31.0M (+5.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MREO closed FY2025 with $45.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $500.0K $41.9M -$31.0M -$31.0M $45.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $132.6M $43.3M -$32.8M -$32.8M $76.4M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.0M $29.5M -$21.1M -$21.1M β€” β€”

3. MREO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mereo BioPharma Group plc (NASDAQ: MREO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.29 (+0.17% 1D, market cap $46.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MREO ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MREO compare to BMEA and ATNM in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MREO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BMEA (Biomea Fusion Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.4M) and ATNM (Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Delaware)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MREO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MREO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MREO?

Per MREO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001719714), Mereo BioPharma Group plc generated $500.0K in revenue (-99.6% YoY), $41.9M in net income, and -$31.0M in free cash flow against $45.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MREO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MREO last traded at $0.29 (+0.17% on volume of 482,723 shares), positioning the stock -6.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.31) and -12.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.33). Across its 52-week range of $0.20 to $2.37, MREO sits at the 4.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.33).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MREO β€” Mereo BioPharma Group plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.29 (+0.17% 1D, market capitalization $46.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) reported $500.0K in annual revenue (up from $132.6M in FY2024, -99.6% YoY) and $41.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.0M revenue, $29.5M net income) through FY2025, MREO scaled operating cash flow to -$31.0M and free cash flow to -$31.0M, backed by $45.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.20 – $2.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals recorded. The graph's supply_chain field is NONE and butterfly_links is empty. The source data therefore does not identify 2nd-order bottlenecks. The only sector-level information is the classification in the profile (Health Care / Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), and the Roarable RQD rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar notes sector sensitivity with Beta 1.0. A prospective investor should recognize that the absence of mapped links is itself a data limitation rather than evidence of independence.

  • Key Question #1: Can MREO sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $500.0K and free cash flow of -$31.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MREO's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MREO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MREO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MREO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.29?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MREO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MREO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.34 (+17.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (Whale 13F Flow pillar at 11/20) is the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.

The street is overcomplicating Mereo BioPharma Group plc (MREO). Institutional accumulation and options positioning (Whale 13F Flow pillar at 11/20) is the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.. With an RQD score of 37/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.31.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.29 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.27.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.23 (-20.7%)
Spot @ $0.29

Operating income was negative in every reported period, ROIC is -35%, and FCF yield is 0%, leaving the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar a

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MREO above $0.29. Operating income was negative in every reported period, ROIC is -35%, and FCF yield is 0%, leaving the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar at 6/20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $2.37.

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