Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MRNA Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Moderna Inc. (MRNA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MRNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ: MRNA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $221.72 (-0.47% 1D, market cap $88.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MRNA ranks #172 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MRNA compare to ARGX and RVMD in the Health Care sector?
▼
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), MRNA carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of -34.1%. By comparison, ARGX (argenx SE) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.72B) and RVMD (Revolution Medicines Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.6%, cap $40.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILD leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while GILD leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRNA?
▼
Per MRNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001682852), Moderna Inc. generated $1.94B in revenue (-39.9% YoY), -$2.82B in net income, and -$2.06B in free cash flow against $12.34B in total assets and $590.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 15.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MRNA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, MRNA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($185.72) or 200D SMA ($88.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($223.72) toward Bear Floor ($174.50).
Why MRNA Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Moderna Inc. (MRNA) slipped -0.47% to $221.72, trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($22.28 – $254.48). Solid 55% profit margin (-34% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($22.28 – $254.48) with RSI-14 at 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $221.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 55.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
WSJ report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The $100.66 billion fund bought $0.2 million of stock and sold $174.3 million, increasing 1 position and cutting 498.
Moderna stock has skyrocketed this year.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MRNA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
MRNA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -39.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRNA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRNA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRNA)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MRNA vs. ARGX, RVMD, GILD, BIIB)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Moderna Inc. (MRNA) ranks #172 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #27 by equity capitalization ($88.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILD leads on earnings valuation at 24.1x trailing P/E, while GILD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 78.8% gross margin. GILD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with MRNA at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRNA
ACTIVE
Moderna Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | 55.3% | -34.1% | -0.47% | $88.93B | Benchmark Subject |
| ARGX argenx SE | C | 63/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.56% | $55.72B | /argx-vs-mrna → |
| RVMD Revolution Medicines Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | -28.6% | +0.55% | $40.78B | /rvmd-vs-mrna → |
| GILD Gilead Sciences Inc. | A- | 82/100 | 24.1x | 78.8% | 21.0% | +3.06% | $205.35B | /gild-vs-mrna → |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | B | 74/100 | 28.5x | 75.7% | 6.4% | +1.59% | $36.90B | /biib-vs-mrna → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001682852In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Moderna Inc. (MRNA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.94B (-39.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.24B , and -71.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.82B, operating cash flow of -$1.87B, and free cash flow of -$2.06B (+49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRNA closed FY2025 with $12.34B in total assets against $590.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 15.07, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.94B | -$2.82B | -$1.87B | -$2.06B | $12.34B | $590.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.24B | -$3.56B | -$3.00B | -$4.05B | $14.14B | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.85B | -$4.71B | -$3.12B | -$3.43B | $48.91B | $11.45B |
3. MRNA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MRNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ: MRNA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $221.72 (-0.47% 1D, market cap $88.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MRNA ranks #172 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MRNA compare to ARGX and RVMD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), MRNA carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of -34.1%. By comparison, ARGX (argenx SE) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.72B) and RVMD (Revolution Medicines Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.6%, cap $40.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILD leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while GILD leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRNA?
Per MRNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001682852), Moderna Inc. generated $1.94B in revenue (-39.9% YoY), -$2.82B in net income, and -$2.06B in free cash flow against $12.34B in total assets and $590.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MRNA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MRNA last traded at $221.72 (-0.47% on volume of 9,009,244 shares), positioning the stock +19.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($185.72) and +150.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.40). Across its 52-week range of $22.28 to $254.48, MRNA sits at the 85.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($194.01 to $249.43).
MRNA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MRNA stock moving today?
Why MRNA Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 55% profit margin (-34% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
MRNA — Moderna Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MRNA scores 60 out of 100, graded C- and labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -34.1% and FCF yield is -2.32%. This is the weakest pillar relative to its weight, indicating the business is not currently generating cash returns on invested capital.
- Whale 13F Flow: 20 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning at the maximum score. Institutional interest is a notable positive, though the source data does not itemize the underlying holdings.
- Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores low, a weak signal from insider activity.
- Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.1 with moderate sector sensitivity, so the stock is expected to move somewhat more than the market.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 15.07, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.07. The balance sheet is comparatively sound relative to the earnings profile.
Investor implications: the upside case rests mainly on institutional conviction and the balance sheet cushion, which give the company runway. The valuation tradeoff is that per the market data, EPS (TTM) is -7.07 and the operating margin is -60%, so the current price of 222.76 is being supported by forward expectations (forward P/E of 32) rather than trailing cash generation. Investors should weigh the gap between a strong balance sheet and negative operating cash flow as the central tension in this rating.
Business
Moderna Inc. (MRNA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry, per the company profile. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $88.9B. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification, and the profile does not detail how the company earns revenue. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue declined from $6848.0M in FY 2023 to $1944.0M in FY 2025.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1944.0M | $-3074.0M | $-2822.0M | N/A | $-2065.0M | $2595.0M | $590.0M |
| FY 2024 | $3236.0M | $-3945.0M | $-3561.0M | N/A | $-4055.0M | $1927.0M | $0.0M |
| FY 2023 | $6848.0M | $-4239.0M | $-4714.0M | N/A | $-3426.2M | N/A | $11445.8M |
Per the SEC financials, every reported period shows operating and net losses, and free cash flow was negative in each year. Per the market data, the gross margin is 55.3%, while operating and net margins are both -60%, and ROIC is -34.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 15.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.07, and per the SEC financials, debt fell from $11445.8M in FY 2023 to $590.0M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $2595.0M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the news wire, the headlines are dominated by a planned national cancer vaccine effort, which one report describes as a four-year high for the stock. Several reports cover a sharp decline tied to cancer-vaccine data shared on social media, and an analyst fair value revision on the cancer vaccine. One report attributes a sharp rally to a cancer vaccine breakthrough, and another notes a gain of over $4B in a week. Per the news wire tags, the two most recent items are flagged as CATALYST with GREEN signals, while the rest are MARKET WIRE with YELLOW signals. Risk watch items per the news wire include the volatility around clinical data disclosure. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE and no proprietary signals are present.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE, and there are no butterfly links or proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies. Based on the sector classification alone, a prospective investor should watch how cancer-vaccine news flows through the broader biotechnology group, since the news wire shows the stock reacting sharply to clinical-data headlines. The source data does not establish specific 2nd-order bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source data lists as unavailable, and how do they compare with peers?
- What is the revenue mix and the product or pipeline driving the cancer-vaccine catalyst, and what is its timing?
- Why does free cash flow remain negative despite a debt reduction from $11445.8M to $590.0M, and what is the cash burn runway?
- Which institutions drive the 20/20 whale flow score, and are the holders accumulating or distributing?
- What is the analyst consensus and price target range, which the source data does not provide?
MRNA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Moderna Inc. (MRNA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
WSJ report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Moderna Inc. (MRNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MRNA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $221.72?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MRNA (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $222.76?
Welcome to the MRNA (Moderna Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MRNA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRNA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 55.3% gross margins. Unless Moderna Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MRNA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRNA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $222.76 (52-wk range $22.28 - $254.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.