Yahoo Finance report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MRTN Stock slipped -0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MRTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Marten Transport Ltd. (NASDAQ: MRTN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $11.72 (-0.34% 1D, market cap $960.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MRTN ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MRTN compare to HTLD and CVLG in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), MRTN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HTLD (Heartland Express Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $802.7M) and CVLG (Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 101.0x, ROIC 0.4%, cap $731.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRTN leads on earnings multiple (55.1x) while MRTN leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRTN?
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Per MRTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799167), Marten Transport Ltd. generated $0 in revenue, $17.4M in net income, and $93.5M in free cash flow against $949.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.3% FCF Margin ($93.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MRTN Turnaround Squeeze
While MRTN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.18) and Max Pain ($12.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.40.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MRTN Stock slipped -0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) slipped -0.34% to $11.72, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($9.35 – $18.48). Stretched risk/reward at 55x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($9.35 – $18.48) with RSI-14 at 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $11.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $93.5M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Marten Transport just reported Q3 2026 results and the stock reacted first, thought later. Shares slipped about 4% on the day after the release, extending a weak three month run, even though revenue held around US$223.2
Analysts cut EAT, TTMI and MRTN targets, while raising SPOT, RBLX, S, PG and ARGX; ratings were largely maintained.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MRTN)
- ✓Walkthrough of MRTN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MRTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRTN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRTN)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MRTN vs. HTLD, CVLG, WERN, ULH)
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #255 by equity capitalization ($960.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRTN leads on earnings valuation at 55.1x trailing P/E, while MRTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MRTN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRTN
ACTIVE
Marten Transport Ltd. | D | 48/100 | 55.1x | — | 2.5% | -0.34% | $960.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| HTLD Heartland Express Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | -5.1% | -1.54% | $802.7M | /htld-vs-mrtn → |
| CVLG Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | 101.0x | — | 0.4% | +7.29% | $731.4M | /cvlg-vs-mrtn → |
| WERN Werner Enterprises Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | 0.4% | +0.29% | $1.66B | /wern-vs-mrtn → |
| ULH Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -4.2% | +29.68% | $459.3M | /ulh-vs-mrtn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000799167In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.4M, operating cash flow of $93.5M, and free cash flow of $93.5M (-30.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRTN closed FY2025 with $949.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $17.4M | $93.5M | $93.5M | $949.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $26.9M | $134.8M | $134.8M | $968.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.13B | $70.4M | $164.4M | $164.4M | — | — |
3. MRTN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MRTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Marten Transport Ltd. (NASDAQ: MRTN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $11.72 (-0.34% 1D, market cap $960.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MRTN ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MRTN compare to HTLD and CVLG in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), MRTN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HTLD (Heartland Express Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $802.7M) and CVLG (Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 101.0x, ROIC 0.4%, cap $731.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRTN leads on earnings multiple (55.1x) while MRTN leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRTN?
Per MRTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799167), Marten Transport Ltd. generated $0 in revenue, $17.4M in net income, and $93.5M in free cash flow against $949.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MRTN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MRTN last traded at $11.72 (-0.34% on volume of 546,330 shares), positioning the stock -11.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.18) and -19.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.48). Across its 52-week range of $9.35 to $18.48, MRTN sits at the 26.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($10.98 to $12.46).
MRTN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MRTN stock moving today?
Why MRTN Stock slipped -0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 55x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
MRTN — Marten Transport Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MRTN scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 2.5% and FCF yield is 9.73%. Read together, the free-cash-flow yield looks meaningful on its face, but the low ROIC indicates that the capital base is producing little return relative to what is invested in it. For a prospective investor, the upside case here depends on cash generation being sustainable rather than a function of reduced capital spending or working-capital movements.
- Whale / 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar in the set, indicating that the institutional signal currently provides little support to the thesis.
- Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate; the source data does not supply the underlying transaction detail, so the direction of the flow cannot be confirmed from this dossier.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighed here. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering neither a defensive cushion nor an explicit high-beta amplification. The score suggests the current macro regime is not a strong tailwind.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are mid-range readings: a Z-score of 2.5, a Piotroski score of 5 out of 9, and modest leverage together describe a balance sheet that is neither distressed nor strong.
Valuation tradeoff. Per the market data, the trailing P/E is 55.1 and the forward P/E is 51.2, against EPS (TTM) of 0.21. An investor paying these multiples is paying for earnings recovery that the trailing financials do not yet show. The EV/EBITDA of 40 reinforces this point. The 9.73% FCF yield and 2.04% dividend yield are the principal income-oriented offsets to an otherwise demanding valuation, but the investor must weigh whether that cash yield is durable.
Net assessment. The RQD framework points toward caution: the combination of low ROIC, weak institutional flow, a stretched earnings multiple, and a neutral macro fit produces a sell-leaning verdict. Upside would require evidence of margin repair and ROIC improvement, neither of which the source data demonstrates.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $22.9M | $17.4M | N/A | $93.5M | $43.3M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $33.2M | $26.9M | N/A | $134.8M | $17.3M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $1131.5M | $90.1M | $70.4M | N/A | $164.4M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income declined across the three reported periods, from $90.1M and $70.4M in FY 2023 to $22.9M and $17.4M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and revenue for FY 2024 and FY 2025 is reported as $0.0M; these values do not allow a meaningful margin analysis and should be treated with caution. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 2.5%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5, indicating a moderate leverage posture; the reported debt figures are N/A for each period.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- RISK WATCH — Earnings miss: A headline reports that Marten Transport missed Q3 earnings and revenue estimates.
- RISK WATCH — Cost pressure: A separate headline attributes weakness in Q3 to cost pressures.
- MARKET WIRE — Margin strain: A headline cites Q3 earnings and margin strain as pressure on the stock price.
- MARKET WIRE — Pricing: A Seeking Alpha headline describes better pricing alongside thin margins.
- MARKET WIRE — Profit and freight market: A Globe and Mail headline reports a Q3 profit increase amid a tightening freight market, which runs counter to the miss headlines.
- MARKET WIRE — Options activity: A TradingView headline asks whether options traders are positioned ahead of news.
Per the news feed, the flagged items are two RED risk-watch headlines and four YELLOW market-wire headlines. The headlines conflict: one reports a Q3 profit improvement while others report an earnings miss and cost-driven weakness. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the actual reported revenue figures, given that the source shows $0.0M for two periods and 0% for all margins?
- What is the EPS history by period, since EPS is reported as N/A for every reported year?
- What drove the decline in operating and net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and is the Q3 earnings miss a continuation of that trend?
- What is the debt balance and maturity profile, since debt is N/A in every period?
- Which insider and institutional transactions underlie the insider and whale pillar scores?
MRTN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MRTN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.72?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MRTN (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $11.76?
Welcome to the MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (55.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MRTN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRTN, but look at what you are paying: 55.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Marten Transport Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MRTN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRTN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.76 (52-wk range $9.35 - $18.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.