MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Announcement of No DistributionYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MSB Stock dropped -2.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.18 -2.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.05
Mesabi Trust (MSB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $232.4M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MSB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $232.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MSB compare to SBMT and TRX in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $176.3M) and TRX (TRX Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?
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Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $10.2M in revenue (-89.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.05 (-0.73%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 63.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSB SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.6% FCF Margin ($6.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$17.74+8% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$19.16-4.2% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$18.35-6.4% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$17.18-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSB Turnaround Squeeze
While MSB currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.19) and Max Pain ($18.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.50.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MSB Stock dropped -2.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mesabi Trust (MSB) dropped -2.99% to $17.18, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($17.25 – $42.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($17.25 – $42.38) with RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.8% around $17.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.5M annual free cash flow.
Live MSB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Estimates – NYSE:MSBTradingView report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREwww.marketscreener.com • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Announces Not Declares Distribution for This Quarterwww.marketscreener.com report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust (MSB) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust: Trustees Declare No Distribution for Nov 2026 After Sharp Drop in Royalty ReceiptsTradingView report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
(MSB) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional TacticsStock Traders Daily report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust stock awaits royalty report after payout suspensionad-hoc-news.de report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
Hongli Group (Nasdaq:HLP) - Stock AnalysisSimply Wall St report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSB)
- ✓Walkthrough of MSB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.75%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.12H $18.12L $17.18C $17.18VOL 50.0K
RES: $22.27SUP: $15.90SMA50: $20.19SMA200: $26.25
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -89.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSB)
Materials Rank #185 of 270
⚔️ SBMT vs MSB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MSB vs. SBMT, TRX, IDR, VOXR)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesabi Trust (MSB) ranks #185 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #206 by equity capitalization ($232.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with MSB at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSB
ACTIVE
Mesabi Trust | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -2.99% | $232.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -7.03% | $176.3M | /sbmt-vs-msb → |
| TRX TRX Gold Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -1.56% | $307.2M | /trx-vs-msb → |
| IDR Idaho Strategic Resources Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 19.6x | 61.8% | 11.4% | +0.10% | $310.0M | /idr-vs-msb → |
| VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | +1.97% | $318.3M | /voxr-vs-msb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000065172 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported GAAP revenue of $10.2M (-89.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $98.6M , and -55.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MSB closed FY2025 with $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $10.2M | $0 | — | — | $24.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-31 | $98.6M | $93.3M | $93.9M | $93.9M | $101.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-31 | $22.9M | $19.0M | $14.6M | $14.6M | — | — |
3. MSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $232.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MSB compare to SBMT and TRX in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $176.3M) and TRX (TRX Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?
Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $10.2M in revenue (-89.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MSB last traded at $17.18 (-2.99% on volume of 121,441 shares), positioning the stock -14.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.19) and -34.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.25). Across its 52-week range of $17.25 to $42.38, MSB sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($15.50 to $18.86).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
MSB — Mesabi Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Mesabi Trust (MSB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market capitalization $232.4M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Mesabi Trust is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. The profile describes the company as having a market capitalization of $0.2B. — The specific products sold, customer base, and revenue mechanics are not described in the source data.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported $10.2M in annual revenue (up from $98.6M in FY2024, -89.6% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.9M revenue, $19.0M net income) through FY2025, MSB scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.25 – $42.38 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream supply-chain links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. The source data therefore does not identify specific 2nd-order bottlenecks.
- Key Question #1: Can MSB sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.2M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is MSB's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
MSB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mesabi Trust (MSB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Announcement of No Distribution Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Estimates – NYSE:MSB TradingView report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust Announces Not Declares Distribution for This Quarter www.marketscreener.com report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust (MSB) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust: Trustees Declare No Distribution for Nov 2026 After Sharp Drop in Royalty Receipts TradingView report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago
(MSB) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional Tactics Stock Traders Daily report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Mesabi Trust stock awaits royalty report after payout suspension ad-hoc-news.de report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
Hongli Group (Nasdaq:HLP) - Stock Analysis Simply Wall St report covering Mesabi Trust (MSB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
MSB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.18?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $23.38 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of th
Long MSB at $17.71 targeting $23.38. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of the rating.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $17.25 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 43/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $17.71 and keeping dry powder in case we test $16.47.
SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $14.70 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.71 ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, and a RISK WATCH headline reports a sharp drop in royalty receipts leading to no distributi
Fading this rally in MSB at $17.71. ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, and a RISK WATCH headline reports a sharp drop in royalty receipts leading to no distribution for Nov 2026.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $17.71 (52-wk range $17.25–$42.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.