Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (NYSE: MTAL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.08 (0.00% 1D, market cap $831.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTAL ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), MTAL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SGML (Sigma Lithium Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $862.3M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTAL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
Per MTAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002107724), Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $132.1K in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.6% FCF Margin ($23.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
While MTAL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.15) and Max Pain ($10.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.39.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) slipped 0.00% to $10.08, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($9.95 – $11.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Transaction Creates the First Publicly Listed U.S. Rare Earth Recycling Company — Onshoring Critical Mineral Supply Chains and Eliminating America's Dependence on ChinaNEW YORK, June 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hall Cha
Yahoo Finance coverage on MTAL stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTAL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #148 by equity capitalization ($831.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTAL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with MTAL at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTAL
ACTIVE
Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $831.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -8.62% | $862.3M | /sgml-vs-mtal → |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -5.86% | $779.4M | /asm-vs-mtal → |
| LAC Lithium Americas Corp. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -8.1% | -4.69% | $773.3M | /lac-vs-mtal → |
| GSM Ferroglobe PLC | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.74% | $749.3M | /gsm-vs-mtal → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MTAL closed FY2025 with $132.1K in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $132.1K | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (NYSE: MTAL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.08 (0.00% 1D, market cap $831.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTAL ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), MTAL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SGML (Sigma Lithium Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $862.3M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTAL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
Per MTAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002107724), Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $132.1K in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MTAL last traded at $10.08 (0.00% on volume of 32 shares), positioning the stock -0.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.15) and -0.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.15). Across its 52-week range of $9.95 to $11.80, MTAL sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($9.90 to $10.26).
Why MTAL Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MTAL scores 47 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
Overall, the composite of weak cash generation, low institutional flow, and modest insider conviction drives the Sell verdict. A prospective investor evaluating the stock today would face a valuation case that the source data does not support with earnings, cash flow, or analyst coverage, with the balance sheet as the primary relative positive.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are each $0.0M for FY 2025, with margins of 0% for gross, operating, and net, and ROIC of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5, indicating the balance-sheet posture is comparatively the strongest element of the source data. Cash and debt balances are N/A in the SEC financials, so the balance-sheet figure cannot be independently confirmed from the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Transaction Creates the First Publicly Listed U.S. Rare Earth Recycling Company — Onshoring Critical Mineral Supply Chains and Eliminating America's Dependence on ChinaNEW YORK, June 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hall Cha
Yahoo Finance coverage on MTAL stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
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Welcome to the MTAL (Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MTAL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MTAL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.08 (52-wk range $9.95 - $11.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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