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Why MTUS Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$21.32 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.32

Metallus Inc. (MTUS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $875.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Metallus Inc. (NYSE: MTUS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $21.32 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $875.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTUS ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTUS compare to NWPX and SID in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), MTUS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.2%, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $941.9M) and SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $948.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTUS?
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Per MTUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001598428), Metallus Inc. generated $1.16B in revenue (+6.9% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and $16.0M in free cash flow against $1.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.32 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$24 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE MTUS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTUS SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.4% FCF Margin ($16.0M FCF) & 8.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$20.56+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$20.62+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$21.13+0.9% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$21.32-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTUS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTUS currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.86) and Max Pain ($22.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTUS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTUS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MTUS Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Metallus Inc. (MTUS) advanced +0.95% to $21.32, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($14.19 – $22.58). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($14.19 – $22.58) with RSI-14 at 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $21.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 8.2% gross margin and $16.0M annual free cash flow.
Live MTUS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Metallus Inc. Estimates – NYSE:MTUS

TradingView report covering Metallus Inc. (MTUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Metallus Inc. (MTUS) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Metallus Inc. (MTUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates

Carpenter (CRS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +9.43% and -1.18%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTUS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MTUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.50%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $21.42H $21.42L $21.12C $21.32VOL 262.6K
RES: $21.45SUP: $19.05SMA50: $19.86SMA200: $19.16
$22.97$21.37$19.76$18.16$16.56RES $21.45SUP $19.05$21.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTUS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTUS)

Materials Rank #86 of 270 ⚔️ NWPX vs MTUS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MTUS vs. NWPX, SID, SXC, ROCK)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Metallus Inc. (MTUS) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #145 by equity capitalization ($875.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with MTUS at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTUS ACTIVE
Metallus Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 8.2% -0.2% +0.95% $875.4M Benchmark Subject
NWPX
NWPX Infrastructure Inc.
C 64/100 26.7x 19.7% 10.0% +1.37% $941.9M /nwpx-vs-mtus →
SID
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.
D 44/100 — — — +0.94% $948.4M /sid-vs-mtus →
SXC
SunCoke Energy Inc.
D 51/100 — — -2.9% -1.24% $961.6M /sxc-vs-mtus →
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 26.9% 11.6% +3.77% $1.19B /rock-vs-mtus →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001598428 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Metallus Inc. (MTUS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.16B (+6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.08B , and -15.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.2M, operating cash flow of $16.0M, and free cash flow of $16.0M (-60.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTUS closed FY2025 with $1.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.16B -$1.2M $16.0M $16.0M $1.14B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.08B $1.3M $40.3M $40.3M $1.12B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.36B $69.4M $125.3M $125.3M — —

3. MTUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Metallus Inc. (NYSE: MTUS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $21.32 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $875.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTUS ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTUS compare to NWPX and SID in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), MTUS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.2%, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $941.9M) and SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $948.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTUS?

Per MTUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001598428), Metallus Inc. generated $1.16B in revenue (+6.9% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and $16.0M in free cash flow against $1.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTUS last traded at $21.32 (+0.95% on volume of 350,931 shares), positioning the stock +7.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.86) and +11.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.16). Across its 52-week range of $14.19 to $22.58, MTUS sits at the 85.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($19.93 to $22.71).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MTUS — Metallus Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Metallus Inc. (MTUS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.32 (+0.95% 1D, market capitalization $875.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.2%, gross margin of 8.2%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 1.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Steel/Iron Ore industry, with a market capitalization of $0.9B. Revenue figures are available in the SEC financials section but are not attributed to specific product lines.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Metallus Inc. (MTUS) reported $1.16B in annual revenue (up from $1.08B in FY2024, +6.9% YoY) and -$1.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.36B revenue, $69.4M net income) through FY2025, MTUS scaled operating cash flow to $16.0M and free cash flow to $16.0M, backed by $1.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.80% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.19 – $22.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials), MTUS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 8.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can MTUS sustain or expand its — operating margin and -0.2% ROIC against Steel/Iron Ore peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.16B and free cash flow of $16.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MTUS's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MTUS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Metallus Inc. (MTUS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MTUS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTUS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.32?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTUS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MTUS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.98 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional flow pillar scores 14 / 20 and the stock trades 5.2% below its 52-week high of $22.58 with a 1.8% FCF yield.

The street is overcomplicating Metallus Inc. (MTUS). Institutional flow pillar scores 14 / 20 and the stock trades 5.2% below its 52-week high of $22.58 with a 1.8% FCF yield.. With an RQD score of 52/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $22.81.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $21.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.53 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $21.12

Net margin of -0.1%, ROIC of -0.2%, and FY 2025 net income of -$1.2M show no earnings support for the price.

Net margin of -0.1%, ROIC of -0.2%, and FY 2025 net income of -$1.2M show no earnings support for the price.. Look at the math on MTUS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -0.2% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Steel/Iron Ore demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $18.59 before getting long.

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