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Stock Ratings / Technology / MWC / earnings
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Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.44 -4.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.43

Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $92.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MWC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Micware Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: MWC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.44 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $92.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MWC ranks #248 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MWC compare to WQEY and MRLN in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), MWC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.1x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WQEY (WISeQey Corp) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $92.2M) and MRLN (Merlin Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $95.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MWC leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while AIAI leads on capital efficiency (-14.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MWC?
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Per MWC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0002083526), Micware Co. Ltd. generated $140.3M in revenue, $10.3M in net income, and $11.6M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.43 (-0.91%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$15 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MWC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MWC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MWC SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($11.6M FCF) & 36.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$1.67-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$1.65-15.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$1.39+3.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$1.44+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MWC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MWC faces multiple-compression risk if 9.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.60) or 200D SMA ($2.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.44) toward Bear Floor ($1.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MWC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MWC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 28, 2026 (~24 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.18 Expected Swing
$1.26 (-12.5%)Spot $1.44$1.62 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MWC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $0.17 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-02-28$140.3M$10.3M$11.6M36.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MWC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MWC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MWC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -82.44%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.53H $1.53L $1.44C $1.44VOL 161.7K
RES: $2.26SUP: $1.38SMA50: $1.60SMA200: $2.72
$14.87$11.05$7.23$3.41$-0.41RES $2.26SUP $1.38$1.442026-05-142026-06-262026-08-102026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MWC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MWC Butterfly Map → + Track MWC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MWC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MWC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MWC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MWC)

Technology Rank #248 of 715 ⚔️ WQEY vs MWC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MWC vs. WQEY, MRLN, AIAI, DAVA)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) ranks #248 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #521 by equity capitalization ($92.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MWC leads on earnings valuation at 9.1x trailing P/E, while AIAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -14.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MWC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MWC ACTIVE
Micware Co. Ltd.
D+ 58/100 9.1x 36.8% — -4.00% $92.0M Benchmark Subject
WQEY
WISeQey Corp
D 48/100 — — — -9.74% $92.2M /wqey-vs-mwc →
MRLN
Merlin Inc.
E 29/100 17.7x — -35.0% +0.13% $95.2M /mrln-vs-mwc →
AIAI
AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -14.2% +9.76% $87.1M /aiai-vs-mwc →
DAVA
Endava plc (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
D 45/100 — — — +1.28% $84.8M /dava-vs-mwc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0002083526 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) reported GAAP revenue of $140.3M , GAAP net income of $10.3M, operating cash flow of $13.3M, and free cash flow of $11.6M . On the balance sheet, MWC closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $140.3M $10.3M $13.3M $11.6M — —

3. MWC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MWC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Micware Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: MWC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.44 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $92.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MWC ranks #248 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MWC compare to WQEY and MRLN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), MWC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.1x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WQEY (WISeQey Corp) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $92.2M) and MRLN (Merlin Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $95.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MWC leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while AIAI leads on capital efficiency (-14.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MWC?

Per MWC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0002083526), Micware Co. Ltd. generated $140.3M in revenue, $10.3M in net income, and $11.6M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MWC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MWC last traded at $1.44 (-4.00% on volume of 164,790 shares), positioning the stock -10.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.60) and -47.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.72). Across its 52-week range of $0.78 to $13.95, MWC sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.26 to $1.62).

Direct Sub-Reports: MWC RQD Cockpit MWC 12M Forecast MWC Earnings & Move MWC Dividends & DRIP MWC Insiders & 13F MWC Whale Options MWC Profit Sankey MWC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MWC — Micware Co. Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-02-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.44 (-4.00% 1D, market capitalization $92.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 36.8%, operating margin of 10.8%, and free cash flow yield of 12.33%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the EDP Services industry. —: product lines, customer base, and revenue model details. The source data reports gross margin of 36.8%, operating margin of 10.8%, and net margin of 7.3%, but does not describe how these revenues are generated.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-02-28), Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) reported $140.3M in annual revenue and $10.3M in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $13.3M and free cash flow totaled $11.6M, backed by $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 12.33% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.78 – $13.95 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 9.1x trailing P/E and 5.6x EV/EBITDA against 10.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources; the investor should treat this as an unmapped dependency set.

  • Key Question #1: Can MWC sustain or expand its 10.8% operating margin and — ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $140.3M and free cash flow of $11.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MWC's 8.5x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MWC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Micware Co. Ltd. (MWC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MWC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 67d ago
Micware Group Reorganization Finalized

“Micware Navigations” to Become “Micware Spacia”KOBE, Japan, Aug. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Micware Co., Ltd. (Nasdaq: MWC) (the “Company” or “Micware”), a Japan-based provider of software development services and inn

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MWC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MWC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MWC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.81 (+20.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trailing free cash flow yield of 12.33% and P/E of 9.1 signal low valuation relative to cash generation.

Trailing free cash flow yield of 12.33% and P/E of 9.1 signal low valuation relative to cash generation.. When you look under the hood at MWC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 36.8% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $13.95. My 12M target is $1.81.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MWC's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.16 (-22.7%)
Spot @ $1.50

ROIC of 0% and a 52-week range of $0.78 to $13.95 signal weak capital returns and extreme price volatility.

ROIC of 0% and a 52-week range of $0.78 to $13.95 signal weak capital returns and extreme price volatility.. Look at the math on MWC: paying 9.1x trailing P/E for 0.0% ROIC and 10.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if EDP Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.32 before getting long.

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