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Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.20 -1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15

Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $19.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MXC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Mexco Energy Corporation (NYSE: MXC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-1.92% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MXC ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MXC compare to CKX and EONR in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MXC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CKX (CKX Lands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $21.6M) and EONR (EON Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.8%, cap $16.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CKX leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while CKX leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MXC?
▼

Per MXC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000066418), Mexco Energy Corporation generated $6.6M in revenue (-8.1% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $3.8M in free cash flow against $20.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 MXC TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $MXC, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $MXC R/R 2.9 : 1 • RQD 68/100 (C+)
$MXC
Spot $9.20
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$9.14–$9.25
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$8.79 (-4.5%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$9.92 / $10.41
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $8.79): Hard stop sits 4.5% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $MXC closes a daily candle below $8.79, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $9.92 / $10.41): Scale out 50% at T1 (+7.8%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+13.2%).
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⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $MXC Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 57.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (14)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$17 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE MXC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MXC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MXC SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$9.92-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$9.84+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$10.42-11.7% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$9.20+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MXC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, MXC faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.29) or 200D SMA ($9.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.61) toward Bear Floor ($7.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MXC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MXC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MXC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.20: 1087.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.50
$8,152
$-1,848 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.61
$10,446
+$446 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.30
$18,804
+$8,804 (+88.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MXC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MXC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.56%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $9.90H $9.90L $9.20C $9.20VOL 13.0K
RES: $12.81SUP: $10.07🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $10.29SMA200: $9.82
$12.08$10.75$9.41$8.08$6.75RES $12.81SUP $10.07$9.202026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MXC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MXC Butterfly Map → + Track MXC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MXC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MXC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MXC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MXC)

Energy Rank #49 of 211 ⚔️ CKX vs MXC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (MXC vs. CKX, EONR, BRN, AGIG)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) ranks #49 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #201 by equity capitalization ($19.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CKX leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while CKX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MXC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MXC ACTIVE
Mexco Energy Corporation
C+ 68/100 15.8x — 5.9% -1.92% $19.2M Benchmark Subject
CKX
CKX Lands Inc.
D+ 55/100 7.3x — 13.4% -1.14% $21.6M /ckx-vs-mxc →
EONR
EON Resources Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — — -14.8% -12.40% $16.9M /eonr-vs-mxc →
BRN
Barnwell Industries Inc.
E 25/100 — — 0.5% -1.24% $12.9M /brn-vs-mxc →
AGIG
Abundia Global Impact Group Inc.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% +1.58% $37.5M /agig-vs-mxc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000066418 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.6M (-8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.1M , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.3M, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $3.8M (-11.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MXC closed FY2025 with $20.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $6.6M $1.3M $3.8M $3.8M $20.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $7.1M $1.7M $4.3M $4.3M $19.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $6.6M $1.3M $4.4M $4.4M — —

3. MXC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mexco Energy Corporation (NYSE: MXC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-1.92% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MXC ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MXC compare to CKX and EONR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MXC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CKX (CKX Lands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $21.6M) and EONR (EON Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.8%, cap $16.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CKX leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while CKX leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MXC?

Per MXC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000066418), Mexco Energy Corporation generated $6.6M in revenue (-8.1% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $3.8M in free cash flow against $20.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MXC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MXC last traded at $9.20 (-1.92% on volume of 12,373 shares), positioning the stock -10.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.29) and -6.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.82). Across its 52-week range of $7.16 to $16.48, MXC sits at the 21.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($8.38 to $10.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: MXC RQD Cockpit MXC 12M Forecast MXC Earnings & Move MXC Dividends & DRIP MXC Insiders & 13F MXC Whale Options MXC Profit Sankey MXC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MXC — Mexco Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $9.20 (-1.92% 1D, market capitalization $19.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.4%, and free cash flow yield of 18.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (17/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 11.00, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mexco Energy Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in Oil & Gas Production.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) reported $6.6M in annual revenue (up from $7.1M in FY2024, -8.1% YoY) and $1.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.6M revenue, $1.3M net income) through FY2025, MXC scaled operating cash flow to $3.8M and free cash flow to $3.8M, backed by $20.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 18.29% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.16 – $16.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 15.8x trailing P/E and 14.5x EV/EBITDA against 19.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector context available is the Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification and beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can MXC sustain or expand its 19.4% operating margin and 5.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.6M and free cash flow of $3.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MXC's 14.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MXC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MXC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MXC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MXC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MXC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.08 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 18.29% FCF yield and 14.7 forward P/E suggest the cash generation is priced cheaply relative to earnings.

Picked up a starter position in MXC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $9.90. A 18.29% FCF yield and 14.7 forward P/E suggest the cash generation is priced cheaply relative to earnings.. Trading inside a $7.16–$16.48 52-week range with 18.29% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Oil & Gas Production multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.90 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.22 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $9.90

Revenue and FCF declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7 of 20.

Revenue and FCF declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7 of 20.. Look at the math on MXC: paying 15.8x trailing P/E for 5.9% ROIC and 19.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $8.71 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE