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Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.52 +0.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.52

Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $35.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: NA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.52 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $35.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NA ranks #533 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NA compare to SQNS and IPWR in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.1M) and IPWR (Ideal Power Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NA?
▼

Per NA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001872302), Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) generated $3.8M in revenue (-32.0% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and -$15.4M in free cash flow against $159.3M in total assets and $24.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.52 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NA SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (38% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$1.73+5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.82-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.71-11.1% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.52-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NA currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.05) and Max Pain ($1.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.52: 6578.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.06
$6,974
$-3,026 (-30.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.36
$8,947
$-1,053 (-10.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.42
$35,658
+$25,658 (+256.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $1.49H $1.52L $1.49C $1.52VOL 15.4K
RES: $3.01SUP: $1.33SMA50: $2.05SMA200: $2.35
$4.21$3.43$2.66$1.88$1.11RES $3.01SUP $1.33$1.522026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NA Butterfly Map → + Track NA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NA)

Technology Rank #533 of 715 ⚔️ SQNS vs NA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NA vs. SQNS, IPWR, SNSC, FTCI)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) ranks #533 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #581 by equity capitalization ($35.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with NA at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NA ACTIVE
Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)
E 34/100 — — 6.2% +0.66% $35.1M Benchmark Subject
SQNS
Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )
D 45/100 — — — +10.89% $37.1M /sqns-vs-na →
IPWR
Ideal Power Inc.
E 24/100 — -30.0% -35.0% +1.65% $39.9M /ipwr-vs-na →
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — +8.09% $28.2M /snsc-vs-na →
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 — -0.9% -35.0% -3.33% $27.4M /ftci-vs-na →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001872302 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) reported GAAP revenue of $3.8M (-32.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.6M , and -65.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.3M, operating cash flow of -$15.4M, and free cash flow of -$15.4M (+37.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NA closed FY2025 with $159.3M in total assets against $24.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.38, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.8M $19.3M -$15.4M -$15.4M $159.3M $24.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.6M -$15.7M -$19.4M -$24.4M $85.7M $23.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.1M -$35.7M -$18.8M -$18.8M — —

3. NA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: NA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.52 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $35.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NA ranks #533 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NA compare to SQNS and IPWR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.1M) and IPWR (Ideal Power Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NA?

Per NA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001872302), Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) generated $3.8M in revenue (-32.0% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and -$15.4M in free cash flow against $159.3M in total assets and $24.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NA last traded at $1.52 (+0.66% on volume of 20,159 shares), positioning the stock -25.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.05) and -35.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.35). Across its 52-week range of $1.35 to $5.16, NA sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.33 to $1.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: NA RQD Cockpit NA 12M Forecast NA Earnings & Move NA Dividends & DRIP NA Insiders & 13F NA Whale Options NA Profit Sankey NA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NA — Nano Labs Ltd (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.52 (+0.66% 1D, market capitalization $35.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.38, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.23x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The company's reported revenue has declined across the three listed fiscal years, . The market capitalization is recorded as $39.3M in the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) reported $3.8M in annual revenue (up from $5.6M in FY2024, -32.0% YoY) and $19.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.1M revenue, -$35.7M net income) through FY2025, NA scaled operating cash flow to -$15.4M and free cash flow to -$15.4M, backed by $159.3M in total assets against $24.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.35 – $5.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.1x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), NA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can NA sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.8M and free cash flow of -$15.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $24.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NA's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) (NA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 67d ago
Nano Labs H1 Earnings Call Highlights

Nano Labs (NASDAQ:NA) reported a wider net loss for the first half of 2026 as lower sales of its iPollo V Series products and a decline in the value of its cryptocurrency holdings weighed on results, while management out

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.82 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

EV/EBITDA of 6.1 and a reported FY 2025 net income of $19.3M could appeal to investors screening for low-multiple earnings recovery.

Picked up a starter position in NA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.49. EV/EBITDA of 6.1 and a reported FY 2025 net income of $19.3M could appeal to investors screening for low-multiple earnings recovery.. Trading inside a $1.35–$5.16 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 34/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.49 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.39.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.25 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $1.49

Altman Z-Score of 0.38, cash of $1.2M against debt of $24.3M, and negative FCF in every reported period point to forensic balance-sheet

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NA: Altman Z-Score of 0.38, cash of $1.2M against debt of $24.3M, and negative FCF in every reported period point to forensic balance-sheet stress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Semiconductors triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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