ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Materials / NAK / earnings
CTGO (55) ITRG (45) TMQ (31) CMCL (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.81 -2.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.81

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $455.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NAK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NAK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSE: NAK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (-2.01% 1D, market cap $455.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NAK ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NAK compare to CTGO and ITRG in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NAK carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CTGO (Contango Silver & Gold Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $459.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAK?
▼

For Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #150 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.81 (-0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.2% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NAK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NAK SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.3% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.02-16.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$0.85+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$0.85-4.7% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$0.81-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NAK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NAK currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.24) and Max Pain ($0.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NAK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.81$0.91 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NAK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NAK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NAK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.87%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.83H $0.83L $0.81C $0.81VOL 5.46M
RES: $1.26SUP: $0.69SMA50: $1.24SMA200: $1.66
$2.55$2.06$1.57$1.09$0.60RES $1.26SUP $0.69$0.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NAK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NAK Butterfly Map → + Track NAK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAK)

Materials Rank #150 of 270 ⚔️ CTGO vs NAK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NAK vs. CTGO, ITRG, TMQ, CMCL)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) ranks #150 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #177 by equity capitalization ($455.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CTGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NAK at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NAK ACTIVE
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -2.01% $455.5M Benchmark Subject
CTGO
Contango Silver & Gold Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 85.0% -7.47% $459.5M /ctgo-vs-nak →
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -6.25% $426.0M /itrg-vs-nak →
TMQ
Trilogy Metals Inc.
E 31/100 — — -34.0% -5.19% $397.2M /tmq-vs-nak →
CMCL
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
D 45/100 — — — -5.37% $391.5M /cmcl-vs-nak →

2. NAK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $455.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NAK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NAK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSE: NAK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (-2.01% 1D, market cap $455.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NAK ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NAK compare to CTGO and ITRG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NAK carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CTGO (Contango Silver & Gold Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $459.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAK?

For Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #150 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NAK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NAK last traded at $0.81 (-2.01% on volume of 5,457,702 shares), positioning the stock -34.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.24) and -51.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.66). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $2.66, NAK sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.91).

NAK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NAK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is NAK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NAK, spanning a range between $1 and $0.91.

Direct Sub-Reports: NAK RQD Cockpit NAK 12M Forecast NAK Earnings & Move NAK Dividends & DRIP NAK Insiders & 13F NAK Whale Options NAK Profit Sankey NAK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NAK — Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:16:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NAK scores 46 out of 100, graded D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The pillar notes ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the rating system finds no evidence of current cash generation to support the equity value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. This is the weakest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Per the rating, institutional flow is not supportive, which is a distribution signal rather than a conviction signal.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow does not show strong insider buying conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The pillar indicates limited alignment with the prevailing regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting the balance sheet is more defensible than the cash generation and flow signals.

Taken together, the rating implies that the investment case rests on balance sheet resilience and any future catalyst rather than on current earnings or institutional support. The upside case requires a change in the cash engine or in flow direction, neither of which the source data currently shows.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature and timing of the court ruling referenced in the news wire, and what is its potential financial impact?
  • What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow, given that profitability metrics are listed at 0%?
  • Why are P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what does that imply about earnings visibility?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) positions are held, given the holders section is empty?
  • What analyst consensus or price targets exist, given the analyst data section is empty?

NAK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NAK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NAK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.81?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NAK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NAK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $0.90 (+8.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NAK (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $0.83?

Welcome to the NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-25.3%)
Spot @ $0.83

Pump the brakes on NAK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NAK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.06 (+27.7%)
Spot @ $0.83

NAK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NAK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.83 (52-wk range $0.75 - $2.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%