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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NAT / options
CMRE (53) SFL (48) TEN (72) FLNG (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.29 -7.84% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.17

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.67B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NAT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NYSE: NAT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $7.29 (-7.84% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NAT ranks #325 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NAT compare to CMRE and SFL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NAT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.9x, gross margin of 62.3%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and SFL (SFL Corporation Ltd) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAT?
β–Ό

Per NAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001000177), Nordic American Tankers Limited generated $291.7M in revenue (-16.6% YoY), $12.3M in net income, and $19.8M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $388.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.17 (-1.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (14)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target
$9 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NAT SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.4% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 71% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$8.79-15.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$7.43+4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$7.79-6.4% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$7.29+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, NAT faces multiple-compression risk if 139.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 140x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.73) or 200D SMA ($6.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.36) toward Bear Floor ($5.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NATβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NAT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NAT.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NAT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NAT
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.00%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $8.11H $8.11L $7.29C $7.29VOL 3.78M
RES: $9.30SUP: $7.38SMA50: $7.73SMA200: $6.13
$9.22$7.81$6.40$4.99$3.58RES $9.30SUP $7.38$7.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ NAT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track NAT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #325 of 1009 βš”οΈ CMRE vs NAT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NAT vs. CMRE, SFL, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) ranks #325 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #439 by equity capitalization ($1.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with NAT at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NAT ACTIVE
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -7.84% $1.67B Benchmark Subject
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x β€” 12.8% -5.01% $1.71B /cmre-vs-nat β†’
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 β€” β€” 3.9% -5.79% $1.72B /sfl-vs-nat β†’
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x β€” 6.6% -8.10% $1.62B /ten-vs-nat β†’
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x β€” 6.9% -3.84% $1.53B /flng-vs-nat β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001000177 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) reported GAAP revenue of $291.7M (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $349.7M , and -25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.3M, operating cash flow of $19.8M, and free cash flow of $19.8M (-84.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAT closed FY2025 with $902.2M in total assets against $388.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $291.7M $12.3M $19.8M $19.8M $902.2M $388.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $349.7M $46.6M $128.2M $128.2M $817.6M $248.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $391.7M $98.7M $139.4M $139.4M β€” β€”

3. NAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NYSE: NAT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $7.29 (-7.84% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NAT ranks #325 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NAT compare to CMRE and SFL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NAT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.9x, gross margin of 62.3%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and SFL (SFL Corporation Ltd) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAT?

Per NAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001000177), Nordic American Tankers Limited generated $291.7M in revenue (-16.6% YoY), $12.3M in net income, and $19.8M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $388.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NAT last traded at $7.29 (-7.84% on volume of 5,391,515 shares), positioning the stock -5.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.73) and +18.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.13). Across its 52-week range of $3.33 to $8.88, NAT sits at the 71.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.4% ($6.68 to $7.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: NAT RQD Cockpit NAT 12M Forecast NAT Earnings & Move NAT Dividends & DRIP NAT Insiders & 13F NAT Whale Options NAT Profit Sankey NAT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NAT β€” Nordic American Tankers Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $7.29 (-7.84% 1D, market capitalization $1.67B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of 62.3%, operating margin of 15.9%, and free cash flow yield of 1.15%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.87x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry. Revenue generation is therefore only described at the level of reported totals. β€” for detailed revenue-mix or customer breakdown.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) reported $291.7M in annual revenue (up from $349.7M in FY2024, -16.6% YoY) and $12.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($391.7M revenue, $98.7M net income) through FY2025, NAT scaled operating cash flow to $19.8M and free cash flow to $19.8M, backed by $902.2M in total assets against $388.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 60/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.15% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.33 – $8.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 139.9x trailing P/E and 44.5x EV/EBITDA against 15.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). No sector correlation or bottleneck data is provided in the source. β€” for upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can NAT sustain or expand its 15.9% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $291.7M and free cash flow of $19.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $388.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NAT's 130.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.29?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NAT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NAT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.20 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Whale 13F flow scores 16 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT). Whale 13F flow scores 16 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 60/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $8.54.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” NAT's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.17 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $7.91

Trailing revenue fell from $391.7M to $291.7M and net income from $98.7M to $12.3M while debt rose to $388.7M, against a 139.9 P/E.

I respect the product at Nordic American Tankers Limited, but the stock at $7.91 is a different story. Trailing revenue fell from $391.7M to $291.7M and net income from $98.7M to $12.3M while debt rose to $388.7M, against a 139.9 P/E.. FCF yield is 1.15% and RQD sits at 60/100 (C-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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