New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NASDAQ: NCEW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $16.52 (-3.76% 1D, market cap $54.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NCEW ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), NCEW carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.4%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PSIG (PS International Group Ltd.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $75.5M) and CRGO (Freightos Limited) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $35.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while QNME leads on capital efficiency (-11.2% ROIC).
Per NCEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001968043), New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited generated $44.1M in revenue (-15.5% YoY), -$10.7M in net income, and -$3.5M in free cash flow against $14.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While NCEW currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.27) and Max Pain ($17.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.87.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) dropped -3.76% to $16.52, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($2.8 – $20.83). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0.4% gross margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hong Kong, China, Nov. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (hereinafter referred to as “New Century” or the “Company”), a company listed on the NASDAQ, reported that it expects to implement a
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCEW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #400 by equity capitalization ($54.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCEW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while QNME leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.2% ROIC and 56.1% gross margin. CRGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NCEW at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCEW
ACTIVE
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited | D- | 41/100 | — | 0.4% | — | -3.76% | $54.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| PSIG PS International Group Ltd. | E | 25/100 | — | 1.9% | -32.0% | 0.00% | $75.5M | /psig-vs-ncew → |
| CRGO Freightos Limited | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -1.17% | $35.2M | /crgo-vs-ncew → |
| VNTG Vantage Corp (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 41.5% | — | -3.79% | $14.7M | /vntg-vs-ncew → |
| QNME Quanome Technologies Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 56.1% | -11.2% | +0.07% | $14.4M | /qnme-vs-ncew → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) reported GAAP revenue of $44.1M (-15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $52.2M , and +22.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.7M, operating cash flow of -$3.4M, and free cash flow of -$3.5M (-341.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCEW closed FY2025 with $14.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $44.1M | -$10.7M | -$3.4M | -$3.5M | $14.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $52.2M | $220.6K | $1.4M | $1.4M | — | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $36.1M | $454.4K | -$2.5M | -$2.5M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NASDAQ: NCEW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $16.52 (-3.76% 1D, market cap $54.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NCEW ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), NCEW carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.4%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PSIG (PS International Group Ltd.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $75.5M) and CRGO (Freightos Limited) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $35.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while QNME leads on capital efficiency (-11.2% ROIC).
Per NCEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001968043), New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited generated $44.1M in revenue (-15.5% YoY), -$10.7M in net income, and -$3.5M in free cash flow against $14.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
NCEW last traded at $16.52 (-3.76% on volume of 554 shares), positioning the stock -4.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.27) and +11.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.78). Across its 52-week range of $2.80 to $20.83, NCEW sits at the 76.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($16.22 to $16.82).
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.52 (-3.76% 1D, market capitalization $54.9M).
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $54.9M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0.4%, an operating margin of -24.6%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of -6.32%). Within the Integrated Freight & Logistics peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) reported $44.1M in annual revenue (up from $52.2M in FY2024, -15.5% YoY) and -$10.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($36.1M revenue, $454.4K net income) through FY2025, NCEW scaled operating cash flow to -$3.4M and free cash flow to -$3.5M, backed by $14.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
The two news items reference peer companies in the same freight and logistics space (BTOC and CIIT), which suggests a sector-level read-across, but the source does not establish a dependency or correlation. A prospective investor should treat peer performance as context only, and should look for 2nd-order bottlenecks in freight capacity and pricing in the sources they consult independently.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hong Kong, China, Nov. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (hereinafter referred to as “New Century” or the “Company”), a company listed on the NASDAQ, reported that it expects to implement a
The street is overcomplicating New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW). Revenue of $44.1M in FY 2025 and a 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio indicate a business with a modest revenue base and leverage below 1x.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $18.53.
Both sides have a point here — NCEW's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
I respect the product at New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited, but the stock at $17.16 is a different story. A -24.6% operating margin, 0% ROIC, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 show the business is losing money with weak financial strength.. FCF yield is -6.32% and RQD sits at 41/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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