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CANG (25) FRMM (25) AVAT (44) STEX (30) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.72 +1.69% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.72

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $40.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NCTY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $40.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1096 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCTY compare to CANG and FRMM in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.8M) and FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NCTY leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?
β–Ό

Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.72 (+0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510018
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$9 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NCTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NCTY SCORES 18/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$3.42-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$3.36-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$3.26-16.6% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$2.72-12.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (26) β†’ E (18)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NCTY currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.68) and Max Pain ($2.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.46.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCTYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNCTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCTY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NCTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NCTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.28%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $2.99H $2.99L $2.67C $2.72VOL 43.8K
RES: $8.44SUP: $0.60SMA50: $3.68SMA200: $4.88
$8.11$6.63$5.16$3.69$2.21RES $8.44SUP $0.60$2.722026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ NCTY Butterfly Map β†’ + Track NCTY β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCTY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCTY)

Financials Rank #1096 of 1097 βš”οΈ CANG vs NCTY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCTY vs. CANG, FRMM, AVAT, STEX)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) ranks #1096 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #1022 by equity capitalization ($40.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCTY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NCTY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. AVAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with NCTY at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCTY ACTIVE
The9 Limited American Depository Shares
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.69% $40.8M Benchmark Subject
CANG
Cango Inc. (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +11.77% $41.8M /cang-vs-ncty β†’
FRMM
Forum Markets Incorporated
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +4.89% $43.2M /frmm-vs-ncty β†’
AVAT
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.34% $38.5M /avat-vs-ncty β†’
STEX
Streamex Corp.
E 30/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.90% $43.4M /stex-vs-ncty β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001296774 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) reported GAAP revenue of $15.4M (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.3M , and -38.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$4.5M, and free cash flow of -$4.5M (+25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCTY closed FY2025 with $84.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.4M $0 -$4.5M -$4.5M $84.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.3M -$10.1M -$6.1M -$6.1M $87.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.2M $2.8M -$6.5M -$6.5M β€” β€”

3. NCTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $40.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1096 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCTY compare to CANG and FRMM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CANG (Cango Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.8M) and FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NCTY leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?

Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCTY last traded at $2.72 (+1.69% on volume of 16,124 shares), positioning the stock -26.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.68) and -44.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.88). Across its 52-week range of $2.67 to $9.01, NCTY sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($2.38 to $3.06).

Direct Sub-Reports: NCTY RQD Cockpit NCTY 12M Forecast NCTY Earnings & Move NCTY Dividends & DRIP NCTY Insiders & 13F NCTY Whale Options NCTY Profit Sankey NCTY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 18/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NCTY β€” The9 Limited American Depository Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.72 (+1.69% 1D, market capitalization $40.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -9.48%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Finance: Consumer Services industry..0B, while market data shows $47.9M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) reported $15.4M in annual revenue (up from $15.3M in FY2024, +0.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($25.2M revenue, $2.8M net income) through FY2025, NCTY scaled operating cash flow to -$4.5M and free cash flow to -$4.5M, backed by $84.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.48% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.67 – $9.01 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector is Financials and industry is Finance: Consumer Services. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can NCTY sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.4M and free cash flow of -$4.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NCTY's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NCTY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NCTY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 72d ago
The9 Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

The9 (NASDAQ:NCTY) reported second-quarter net income of $32 million, up more than 39% from the prior quarter, as the company advanced its repositioning around The9bit, an AI-powered game creation platform supported by a

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCTY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.72?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCTY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCTY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.56 (+19.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and debt-to-equity of 0.5, and cash rose to $8.4M in FY 2025.

Don't sleep on NCTY's setup in Financials. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and debt-to-equity of 0.5, and cash rose to $8.4M in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (18/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.99 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.39 (-20.1%)
Spot @ $2.99

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -9.48%, and operating income of -$40.2M in FY 2025 show the business is not generating cash returns.

I respect the product at The9 Limited American Depository Shares, but the stock at $2.99 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -9.48%, and operating income of -$40.2M in FY 2025 show the business is not generating cash returns.. FCF yield is -9.48% and RQD sits at 18/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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