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Stock Ratings / Technology / NEON / news
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Why NEON Stock dropped -3.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.64 -3.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.64

Neonode Inc. (NEON) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.64 (-3.00% 1D, market cap $11.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #446 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEON compare to LIQT and HTOO in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M) and HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?
▼

Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.64 (-0.73%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE NEON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEON SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 98.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$0.83-4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$0.79-10.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$0.71-9.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$0.64-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEON currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.83) and Max Pain ($0.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.16.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEON• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEON Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NEON Stock dropped -3.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Neonode Inc. (NEON) dropped -3.00% to $0.64, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.63 – $3.01). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.63 – $3.01) with RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 98.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NEON Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 230d ago
Neonode Reports 2025 Financial Results

Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) ("Neonode" or the "Company") today reported financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEON)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NEON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.69H $0.69L $0.64C $0.64VOL 106.0K
RES: $0.93SUP: $0.62SMA50: $0.83SMA200: $1.26
$6.25$4.73$3.20$1.68$0.16RES $0.93SUP $0.62$0.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEON Butterfly Map → + Track NEON →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -33.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEON)

Technology Rank #446 of 715 ⚔️ LIQT vs NEON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NEON vs. LIQT, HTOO, RAIN, CVV)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neonode Inc. (NEON) ranks #446 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #639 by equity capitalization ($11.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. HTOO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NEON at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEON ACTIVE
Neonode Inc.
D 44/100 — 96.0% 85.0% -3.00% $11.1M Benchmark Subject
LIQT
LiqTech International Inc.
E 25/100 — 7.6% -35.0% +6.35% $9.9M /liqt-vs-neon →
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -2.35% $12.8M /htoo-vs-neon →
RAIN
Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% +2.98% $6.2M /rain-vs-neon →
CVV
CVD Equipment Corporation
E 23/100 — 28.3% -9.4% -1.66% $27.2M /cvv-vs-neon →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000087050 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neonode Inc. (NEON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.1M (-33.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and -46.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-83.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEON closed FY2025 with $26.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.1M $0 -$10.3M -$10.3M $26.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.1M $0 -$5.6M -$5.6M $18.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.8M $0 -$6.3M -$6.3M — —

3. NEON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.64 (-3.00% 1D, market cap $11.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #446 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEON compare to LIQT and HTOO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M) and HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?

Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEON last traded at $0.64 (-3.00% on volume of 17,912 shares), positioning the stock -22.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.83) and -49.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.63 to $3.01, NEON sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: NEON RQD Cockpit NEON 12M Forecast NEON Earnings & Move NEON Dividends & DRIP NEON Insiders & 13F NEON Whale Options NEON Profit Sankey NEON News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NEON — Neonode Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Neonode Inc. (NEON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.64 (-3.00% 1D, market capitalization $11.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 96.0%, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Neonode Inc. (NEON) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Its market capitalization is listed as $0.0B in the profile and $11.6M in market data. — describes its specific products, customers, or revenue model. The source data reports revenue of $2.1M for FY 2025, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Neonode Inc. (NEON) reported $2.1M in annual revenue (up from $3.1M in FY2024, -33.7% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.8M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, NEON scaled operating cash flow to -$10.3M and free cash flow to -$10.3M, backed by $26.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.63 – $3.01 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded. — for 2nd-order bottlenecks. For a prospective investor, the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be assessed from these sources; the offering headline in the news wire is the most relevant second-order item to monitor, since equity issuance can affect per-share value independently of operating performance.

  • Key Question #1: Can NEON sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.1M and free cash flow of -$10.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NEON's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NEON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neonode Inc. (NEON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEON Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEON 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEON:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.78 (+18.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the news wire, the company reports surpassing 100 million technology licenses, and the RQD rates its fundamental cash engine at 11

Here is why I am bullish on NEON here at $0.66: Per the news wire, the company reports surpassing 100 million technology licenses, and the RQD rates its fundamental cash engine at 11 of 20 with ROIC of 85%.. Compare NEON's 75.0% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.63 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.66 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.53 (-19.7%)
Spot @ $0.66

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $3.8M to $2.1M while FCF was negative in every reported period, and the news wire flags a USD

I respect the product at Neonode Inc., but the stock at $0.66 is a different story. Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $3.8M to $2.1M while FCF was negative in every reported period, and the news wire flags a USD 14 million offering.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 44/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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