ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Industrials / NEOV / news
OWLT (21) HURC (57) CODA (63) BYRN (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Why NEOV Stock dropped -8.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.97 -8.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.94

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $127.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEOV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, NeoVolta Inc. (NASDAQ: NEOV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (-8.80% 1D, market cap $127.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NEOV ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEOV compare to OWLT and HURC in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEOV carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $118.3M) and HURC (Hurco Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $142.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while BYRN leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEOV?
▼

Per NEOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748137), NeoVolta Inc. generated $8.4M in revenue (+218.6% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$4.4M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.94 (-1.77%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NEOV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEOV SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 17.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$2.52-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$2.15-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$2.14-7.9% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.97-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEOV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEOV currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.91) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NEOV Stock dropped -8.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) dropped -8.80% to $1.97, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.36 – $7.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.36 – $7.13) with RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 17.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NEOV Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEOV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEOV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NEOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.64%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $2.30H $2.30L $1.97C $1.97VOL 677.4K
RES: $5.07SUP: $2.06SMA50: $2.91SMA200: $3.01
$4.56$3.69$2.83$1.96$1.09RES $5.07SUP $2.06$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEOV Butterfly Map → + Track NEOV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +218.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEOV)

Industrials Rank #414 of 486 ⚔️ OWLT vs NEOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NEOV vs. OWLT, HURC, CODA, BYRN)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) ranks #414 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #367 by equity capitalization ($127.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BYRN leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while BYRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 60.5% gross margin. CODA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with NEOV at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEOV ACTIVE
NeoVolta Inc.
E 29/100 — 17.9% -35.0% -8.80% $127.5M Benchmark Subject
OWLT
Owlet Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — 50.9% -35.0% +6.17% $118.3M /owlt-vs-neov →
HURC
Hurco Companies Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 18.5% -5.5% -0.73% $142.8M /hurc-vs-neov →
CODA
Coda Octopus Group Inc.
C 63/100 26.1x 66.5% 12.0% -0.72% $102.1M /coda-vs-neov →
BYRN
Byrna Technologies Inc.
D 49/100 11.5x 60.5% 18.0% -4.19% $100.6M /byrn-vs-neov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001748137 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.4M (+218.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M , and +143.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.0M, operating cash flow of -$4.4M, and free cash flow of -$4.4M (-335.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEOV closed FY2025 with $10.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.21, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $8.4M -$5.0M -$4.4M -$4.4M $10.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $2.6M -$2.3M -$1.0M -$1.0M $4.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $3.5M -$2.6M -$2.1M -$2.1M — —

3. NEOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NeoVolta Inc. (NASDAQ: NEOV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (-8.80% 1D, market cap $127.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NEOV ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEOV compare to OWLT and HURC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEOV carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $118.3M) and HURC (Hurco Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $142.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while BYRN leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEOV?

Per NEOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748137), NeoVolta Inc. generated $8.4M in revenue (+218.6% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$4.4M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEOV last traded at $1.97 (-8.80% on volume of 1,023,178 shares), positioning the stock -32.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.91) and -34.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.01). Across its 52-week range of $1.36 to $7.13, NEOV sits at the 10.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.72 to $2.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: NEOV RQD Cockpit NEOV 12M Forecast NEOV Earnings & Move NEOV Dividends & DRIP NEOV Insiders & 13F NEOV Whale Options NEOV Profit Sankey NEOV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NEOV — NeoVolta Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.97 (-8.80% 1D, market capitalization $127.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 17.9%, operating margin of -56.0%, and free cash flow yield of -3.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 11.21, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) reported $8.4M in annual revenue (up from $2.6M in FY2024, +218.6% YoY) and -$5.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.5M revenue, -$2.6M net income) through FY2025, NEOV scaled operating cash flow to -$4.4M and free cash flow to -$4.4M, backed by $10.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.26% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.36 – $7.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -56.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are mapped. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this source set cannot establish supplier or customer concentration effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can NEOV sustain or expand its -56.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.4M and free cash flow of -$4.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NEOV's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NEOV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEOV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEOV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEOV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEOV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.57 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 11.21 and a news-reported $10M Lion Power battery pack agreement offer a potential upside cas

Don't sleep on NEOV's setup in Industrials. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 11.21 and a news-reported $10M Lion Power battery pack agreement offer a potential upside case against weak cash generation.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (29/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.16 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.62 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $2.16

Per the RQD rating, negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -3.26%, and an insider conviction score of 3 out of 20 signal weak fundamentals

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NEOV above $2.16. Per the RQD rating, negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -3.26%, and an insider conviction score of 3 out of 20 signal weak fundamentals and limited insider support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (-3.26%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $7.13.

LIVE TAPE