MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals: Still A Solid Buy After Recent Rerating (NYSE:NEWP)Seeking Alpha report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NEWP Stock advanced +0.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.87 +0.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86
New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $900.1M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEWP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NEWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NYSE: NEWP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.87 (+0.21% 1D, market cap $900.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEWP ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NEWP compare to VMET and ASA in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NEWP carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $901.1M) and ASA (ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $888.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MUX leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEWP?
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For New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #109 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86 (-0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEWP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEWP SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($25.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$6.24+4.6% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$6.53-13.8% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$5.63-13.5% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D$4.87-5.9% Hist 90D α
47
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEWP Turnaround Squeeze
While NEWP currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.20) and Max Pain ($5.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.93.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEWP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEWP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NEWP Stock advanced +0.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) advanced +0.21% to $4.87, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($2.02 – $7.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($2.02 – $7.55) with RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.87 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $25.2M annual free cash flow.
Live NEWP Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals (TSX:NUAG) Stock Could Be Overvalued After Bolivia Contract NewsYahoo Finance report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREKitco • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals targets 2028 permitting finish at Carangas as Bolivia reworks its mining rules, Jalen YuanKitco report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 1d ago
From Silver Sands To Carangas: Analyst Site Visit Highlights New Pacific Metals’ Development PotentialBenzinga report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting News Network • 2d ago
Discover the Top Canadian Silver Stocks of 2026Investing News Network report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREkalkine.ca • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals Corp (TSX:NUAG): Why This Canadian TSX Stock Is in Focus on 14 October 2026kalkine.ca report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREKalkine Media • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals (TSX: NUAG) Advances Carangas and Silver Sand as Bolivia’s Mining Landscape EvolvesKalkine Media report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 20d ago
Reported Earlier, Allied Gold Begins Ore Processing At Sadiola Phase 1 Expansion And Advances Capital Efficient Phase 2 PlansMARKET WIREBenzinga • 1d ago
Americas Silver Reports Q2 Silver Production 1.7M Silver Equivalent Oz., 345.7K Silver Oz., Up 15% Year Over YearON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEWP)
- ✓Walkthrough of NEWP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NEWP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.34H $5.34L $4.86C $4.87VOL 593.0K
RES: $6.64SUP: $4.70SMA50: $6.20SMA200: $5.08
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NEWP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEWP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEWP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEWP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEWP)
Materials Rank #109 of 270
⚔️ VMET vs NEWP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEWP vs. VMET, ASA, MUX, ELE)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) ranks #109 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #143 by equity capitalization ($900.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEWP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.3% ROIC and 24.1% gross margin. NEWP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEWP
ACTIVE
New Pacific Metals Corp. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +0.21% | $900.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| VMET Versamet Royalties Corporation | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | +2.90% | $901.1M | /vmet-vs-newp → |
| ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $888.2M | /asa-vs-newp → |
| MUX McEwen Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 24.1% | 0.3% | +0.14% | $860.9M | /mux-vs-newp → |
| ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +0.69% | $1.05B | /ele-vs-newp → |
2. NEWP Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTNew Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $900.1M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. NEWP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NEWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NYSE: NEWP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.87 (+0.21% 1D, market cap $900.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEWP ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NEWP compare to VMET and ASA in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NEWP carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $901.1M) and ASA (ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $888.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MUX leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEWP?
For New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #109 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NEWP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NEWP last traded at $4.87 (+0.21% on volume of 330,772 shares), positioning the stock -21.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.20) and -4.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.02 to $7.55, NEWP sits at the 51.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.26 to $5.48).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
NEWP — New Pacific Metals Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.87 (+0.21% 1D, market capitalization $900.1M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. (NEWP) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating within the Precious Metals industry. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.02 – $7.55 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as "NONE," with an empty set of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data. The news wire's references to Bolivian mining rules are the only regulatory ripple mentioned, but the source does not map how they propagate to other holdings or suppliers.
- Key Question #1: Can NEWP sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $7.55 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NEWP's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
NEWP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals: Still A Solid Buy After Recent Rerating (NYSE:NEWP) Seeking Alpha report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals (TSX:NUAG) Stock Could Be Overvalued After Bolivia Contract News Yahoo Finance report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Kitco • 1d ago
New Pacific Metals targets 2028 permitting finish at Carangas as Bolivia reworks its mining rules, Jalen Yuan Kitco report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago
From Silver Sands To Carangas: Analyst Site Visit Highlights New Pacific Metals’ Development Potential Benzinga report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing News Network • 2d ago
Discover the Top Canadian Silver Stocks of 2026 Investing News Network report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals Corp (TSX:NUAG): Why This Canadian TSX Stock Is in Focus on 14 October 2026 kalkine.ca report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine Media • 2d ago
New Pacific Metals (TSX: NUAG) Advances Carangas and Silver Sand as Bolivia’s Mining Landscape Evolves Kalkine Media report covering New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
NEWP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.87?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEWP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $5.64 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate The balance-sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 on an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest-relative area
Picked up a starter position in NEWP in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.86. The balance-sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 on an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest-relative area in the rating.. Trading inside a $2.02–$7.55 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Precious Metals multiples expand this quarter.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.86 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $4.03 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $4.86 ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the Cash Engine pillar scores 12 of 20, with no reported financials to show earnings capacity.
ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the Cash Engine pillar scores 12 of 20, with no reported financials to show earnings capacity.. Look at the math on NEWP: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Precious Metals demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.28 before getting long.