MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 11h ago
Nexa Resources Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsYahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NEXA Stock dropped -7.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.08 -7.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.59B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEXA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE: NEXA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEXA ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), NEXA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.34B) and IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEXA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?
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For Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #105 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91 (-1.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEXA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEXA SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.1% FCF Margin ($44.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$12.88-1.8% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$12.65-8% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$11.64-4.8% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D$11.08-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEXA Turnaround Squeeze
While NEXA currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.83) and Max Pain ($11.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.73.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEXA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEXA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NEXA Stock dropped -7.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) dropped -7.67% to $11.08, trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($5.05 – $16.89). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($5.05 – $16.89) with RSI-14 at 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $11.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $44.5M annual free cash flow.
Live NEXA Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTChartMill • 14h ago
Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Shows High Growth Leadership and MomentumChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 17h ago
Nexa Resources: Operational Recovery Balanced By Price Volatility (NYSE:NEXA)Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 20h ago
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue EstimatesYahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTChartMill • 23h ago
NEXA Resources (NYSE:NEXA): A High-Growth, High-RS Leadership Candidate Awaiting Momentum ConfirmationChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREQuiver Quantitative • 1d ago
NEXA RESOURCES SA ($NEXA) Releases Q3 2026 EarningsQuiver Quantitative report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Nexa Resources raised at Morgan Stanley on compelling valuation, Boliden tender offer (NEXA:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Revenue rose 23% at Nexa Resources (NEXA), but a $124M non-cash impairment hit earnings.Stock Titan report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Nexa (NEXA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptAdjusted EBITDA surged 62% on higher zinc prices and byproduct credits.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptNexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 30, 2026 8:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsRodrigo Cammarosano - Head of Treasury & Investor...
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEXA)
- ✓Walkthrough of NEXA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NEXA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $11.82H $12.00L $11.08C $11.08VOL 596.7K
RES: $15.38SUP: $11.06SMA50: $12.83SMA200: $13.03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NEXA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEXA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEXA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEXA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEXA)
Materials Rank #105 of 270
⚔️ IE vs NEXA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEXA vs. IE, IMC, TMC, CRML)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #120 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEXA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 65.3% gross margin. IMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NEXA at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXA
ACTIVE
Nexa Resources S.A. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -7.67% | $1.59B | Benchmark Subject |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 65.3% | -35.0% | -8.31% | $1.34B | /ie-vs-nexa → |
| IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -6.33% | $1.26B | /imc-vs-nexa → |
| TMC TMC the metals company Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -8.45% | $1.25B | /tmc-vs-nexa → |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -9.94% | $1.18B | /crml-vs-nexa → |
2. NEXA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTNexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $1.59B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. NEXA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE: NEXA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEXA ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), NEXA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.34B) and IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEXA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?
For Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #105 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NEXA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NEXA last traded at $11.08 (-7.67% on volume of 1,081,256 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.83) and -14.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.03). Across its 52-week range of $5.05 to $16.89, NEXA sits at the 50.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($10.23 to $11.93).
NEXA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NEXA stock moving today?
Why NEXA Stock dropped -7.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
NEXA — Nexa Resources S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:23Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEXA scores 49 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free-cash-flow generation to support the current valuation.
- Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score suggests weak institutional conviction in the source data.
- Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited insider-driven confidence signals in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is reflected in this score. The rating indicates a modest fit with the current macro regime as measured by the rating model.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating balance-sheet resilience relative to the other pillars, though it does not offset the weak cash-generation and signal scores.
Taken together, the rating reflects weak cash returns and soft institutional and insider signals, partly cushioned by a relatively sound balance sheet. A prospective investor should weigh the upside drivers (balance-sheet strength, recent positive headlines) against the valuation tradeoff implied by zero ROIC and zero FCF yield. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference NEXA, all from the past 15 hours:
- Q3 earnings coverage (Yahoo Finance, Quiver Quantitative): Multiple headlines reference Q3 earnings, including one stating the company "Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates." Signal light: YELLOW / GREEN depending on item.
- Growth and momentum commentary (ChartMill): Two items reference high growth leadership and momentum candidacy, with a GREEN signal light.
- Operational commentary (Seeking Alpha): One item titled "Operational Recovery Balanced By Price Volatility," signal light YELLOW.
Risk watch items: The Seeking Alpha headline itself flags price volatility as a balancing factor. The ChartMill item describes the stock as "Awaiting Momentum Confirmation," indicating the momentum thesis is not yet confirmed per that source.
Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.
Open Questions
- What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures for the most recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, since analyst data is not provided?
- Who are the major institutional holders and what are recent 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trades, given the holders section is empty?
- What are the trailing and forward earnings multiples, since P/E and EV/EBITDA are not reported?
- What is the nature and magnitude of the price volatility referenced in recent coverage, and what commodity or operational drivers underlie it?
NEXA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago
Nexa Resources Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Yahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 14h ago
Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Shows High Growth Leadership and Momentum ChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 17h ago
Nexa Resources: Operational Recovery Balanced By Price Volatility (NYSE:NEXA) Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates Yahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 23h ago
NEXA Resources (NYSE:NEXA): A High-Growth, High-RS Leadership Candidate Awaiting Momentum Confirmation ChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago
NEXA RESOURCES SA ($NEXA) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings Quiver Quantitative report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Nexa Resources raised at Morgan Stanley on compelling valuation, Boliden tender offer (NEXA:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Revenue rose 23% at Nexa Resources (NEXA), but a $124M non-cash impairment hit earnings. Stock Titan report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
NEXA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.08?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEXA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $12.96 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEXA (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $12.00?
Welcome to the NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $9.36 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $12.00 Pump the brakes on NEXA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEXA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nexa Resources S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $13.80 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $12.00 NEXA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEXA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.00 (52-wk range $5.05 - $16.89), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.